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Tortona vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 64-81
22-19 15-21 14-23 13-18
Position#5
Record10-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game79.6
Tortona
Italy
vs
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record16-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game69.2
ItalyLega ARound 21
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Tortona v Olimpia Milano
22 Nov 2026
TOR v MIL
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
TOR78
MIL87
27 Apr 2025
TOR68
MIL85
22 Oct 2023
TOR75
MIL79
30 Apr 2023
TOR75
MIL77
06 Mar 2022
TOR64
MIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#8
W
89-84
89
84
+5
84avg 71
A06/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
60-72
60
72
-12
48avg 71
A09/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
97-92
97
92
+5
no box
H15/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
92-74
92
74
+18
no box
A23/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
93-98 OT
93
98
-5
no box
H30/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
70-72
70
72
-2
68avg 71
A05/02
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
76-50
76
50
+26
75avg 71
H12/02
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
94-82
94
82
+12
no box
A17/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#3
W
94-82
94
82
+12
no box
H19/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
61-78
61
78
-17
no box
A20/02
Italian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
20-20
20-19
29-23
19-4
12-28
16-19
13-21
22-18
25-30
27-19
23-25
32-15
19-19
22-20
19-20
12-18
24-26
30-13
16-25
18-15
26-16
12-22
14-19
22-14
16-11
21-15
17-10
21-23
25-13
25-17
23-29
24-18
26-23
30-15
14-26
13-25
20-16
14-12
14-25
161.0Avg total
82.6Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.679.6160.3+1.053%
Season at home (9)84.479.2163.7+5.267%
Season away (10)77.280.0157.2-2.840%
Last 10 (10)82.678.4161.0+4.260%
Last 5 (5)79.072.8151.8+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)71.777.1148.9-5.457%
vs Similar (13)80.878.6159.4+2.254%
vs Weaker (9)82.978.6161.4+4.367%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#13
L
60-71
60
71
-11
50avg 72
H03/02
Euroleague
Trento
#14
W
79-73
79
73
+6
75avg 72
A05/02
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
74-70
74
70
+4
70avg 72
A08/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#15
W
89-78
89
78
+11
85avg 72
H10/02
Euroleague
Pesaro
#9
W
91-57
91
57
+34
93avg 72
H13/02
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
88-68
88
68
+20
no box
H16/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#4
W
69-63
69
63
+6
no box
H19/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#2
W
78-61
78
61
+17
no box
H20/02
Italian Cup
Olympiacos
#5
L
58-67
58
67
-9
53avg 72
A24/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
76-75
76
75
+1
74avg 72
A04/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
22-25
17-11
9-17
23-19
17-21
19-14
20-19
17-18
18-17
18-16
21-19
21-10
19-15
26-23
23-30
23-12
19-15
25-13
24-17
27-18
15-19
23-9
23-22
21-12
15-25
18-13
15-13
25-13
16-20
12-14
25-14
15-7
12-18
16-14
15-28
14-19
26-17
23-15
13-24
144.5Avg total
76.2Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.869.2152.1+13.689%
Season at home (10)84.966.1151.0+18.8100%
Season away (8)80.273.1153.4+7.175%
Last 10 (10)76.268.3144.5+7.980%
Last 5 (5)73.866.8140.6+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.074.0148.0+0.050%
vs Similar (9)70.475.6146.0-5.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)77.366.4143.8+10.983%
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
TortonaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#8
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A06/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A09/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H15/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A23/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H30/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A05/02
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H12/02
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A17/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#3
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H19/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A20/02
Italian Cup
79.0Avg total
41.6Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.779.2+1.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.639.880.4+0.836%-
Last 30 away (16)40.337.878.1+2.538%-
Last 10 (10)41.637.479.0+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.234.877.0+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.341.981.1-2.614%-
vs Similar (13)38.338.676.9-0.323%-
vs Weaker (9)43.836.880.6+7.067%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#13
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H03/02
Euroleague
Trento
#14
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A05/02
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A08/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#15
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H10/02
Euroleague
Pesaro
#9
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H13/02
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H16/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#4
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H19/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/02
Italian Cup
Olympiacos
#5
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A24/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A04/03
Euroleague
71.5Avg total
37.7Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.834.771.5+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.435.373.8+3.162%-
Last 30 away (14)34.934.068.9+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)37.733.871.5+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.233.670.8+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.531.562.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (9)37.437.474.9+0.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)36.933.670.4+3.350%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.9
53.3%
51.1%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.0
38.5%
35.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws14.010.6
75.7%
74.7%10.6
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.2 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.0
51.6%
51.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.3
36.6%
35.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws11.18.2
73.9%
74.7%8.2
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
LWWWLLWWLW
Olimpia Milano
WLWWWWWWWL
#5
League position
#1
+7.9
Net rating
+8.8
113.2
Offensive rating
107.0
105.3
Defensive rating
98.2
55.2%
Effective FG%
53.0%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
13.7%
Turnover %
17.3%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.18
38.5%
3-point %
36.6%
63.8%
Assist %
62.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 107.0Defence105.3 · 98.2Shooting55.2% · 53.0%3-point %38.5% · 36.6%Ball care13.7% · 17.3%Off. rebounds25.8% · 29.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Tortona   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tortona wins
2
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
20/02/22Olimpia Milano v Tortona78-61
09/01/22Olimpia Milano v Tortona72-60
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/22AOlimpia Milano61-78
19/02/22HVirtus Bologna94-82
17/02/22ATrieste94-82
12/02/22HTrento76-50
05/02/22ATreviso70-72
30/01/22HReggiana93-98 OT
23/01/22AFortitudo Bologna92-74
15/01/22HCremona97-92
09/01/22AOlimpia Milano60-72
06/01/22AReggiana89-84
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/22APanathinaikos76-75
24/02/22AOlympiacos58-67
20/02/22HTortona78-61
19/02/22HBrescia69-63
16/02/22HSassari88-68
13/02/22HPesaro91-57
10/02/22HBaskonia89-78
08/02/22AZalgiris Kaunas74-70
05/02/22ATrento79-73
03/02/22HFenerbahce60-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW53%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %53%67%40%
Points / game80.684.477.2
Allowed / game79.679.280.0
Point differential+1.0+5.2-2.8
Avg total160.3163.7157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%44%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %11%11%10%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %89%100%75%
Points / game82.884.980.2
Allowed / game69.266.173.1
Point differential+13.6+18.8+7.1
Avg total152.1151.0153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%90%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %11%10%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1816289%82.869.2+13.6
2 Virtus Bologna1916384%88.978.9+10.0
3 Brescia2013765%83.878.7+5.2
4 Tortona1910953%80.679.6+1.0
5 Trieste1910953%77.379.5-2.2
6 Reggiana20101050%81.079.6+1.4
7 Sassari189950%82.682.7-0.1
8 Brindisi20101050%80.882.2-1.4
9 Venezia2091145%78.779.1-0.5
10 Trento2091145%78.080.2-2.1
11 Varese2091145%81.886.9-5.2
12 Basket Napoli1981142%81.983.9-2.0
13 Treviso1981142%79.282.7-3.5
14 Pesaro2071335%79.284.7-5.5
15 Fortitudo Bologna2061430%81.284.6-3.4
16 Cremona1951426%80.584.6-4.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona2215141364
Olimpia Milano1921231881
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