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Tortona vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 75-77
24-25 22-17 11-17 18-18
Position#3
Record18-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game77.8
Tortona
Italy
vs
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record21-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game73.2
ItalyLega ARound 29
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Tortona v Olimpia Milano
22 Nov 2026
TOR v MIL
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
TOR78
MIL87
27 Apr 2025
TOR68
MIL85
22 Oct 2023
TOR75
MIL79
30 Apr 2023
TOR75
MIL77
06 Mar 2022
TOR64
MIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
65-90
65
90
-25
no box
A18/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
90-91
90
91
-1
85avg 73
A05/03
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
73-69
73
69
+4
67avg 73
H12/03
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
75-73
75
73
+2
66avg 73
A18/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
72-84
72
84
-12
66avg 73
A26/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
81-77
81
77
+4
75avg 73
H02/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
80-89
80
89
-9
70avg 73
A08/04
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
77-90 OT
77
90
-13
no box
H16/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
74-68
74
68
+6
67avg 73
H19/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
69-82
69
82
-13
60avg 73
A23/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-29
21-23
18-21
14-17
25-18
18-26
18-23
29-24
24-17
21-18
18-13
10-21
18-22
16-20
27-23
14-8
20-19
20-20
16-27
16-18
22-17
17-22
25-13
17-25
25-25
22-24
16-21
17-19
20-24
19-20
17-14
15-13
21-12
22-19
21-19
10-18
24-16
9-19
20-27
16-20
156.9Avg total
75.6Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.577.8158.3+2.764%
Season at home (14)80.976.6157.6+4.379%
Season away (14)80.178.9159.0+1.150%
Last 10 (10)75.681.3156.9-5.740%
Last 5 (5)76.281.2157.4-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)76.885.2162.0-8.525%
vs Similar (16)79.277.9157.2+1.362%
vs Weaker (9)82.775.6158.2+7.178%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Brescia
#8
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 76
A26/03
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
69-89
69
89
-20
69avg 76
A28/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
66-85
66
85
-19
55avg 76
A30/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
L
73-76
73
76
-3
61avg 76
H02/04
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
W
84-76
84
76
+8
85avg 76
H07/04
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
W
102-70
102
70
+32
100avg 76
H09/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
84-89
84
89
-5
83avg 76
A13/04
Euroleague
Verona
#16
W
83-61
83
61
+22
72avg 76
A16/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
88-76
88
76
+12
85avg 76
H19/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
92-78
92
78
+14
83avg 76
H23/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-11
14-26
15-23
24-23
16-22
16-25
16-21
21-21
21-29
15-24
20-13
10-19
22-15
18-16
12-27
21-18
18-21
21-15
19-12
26-28
19-22
31-9
30-27
22-12
26-22
21-17
21-26
16-24
24-8
15-16
21-20
23-17
24-17
20-18
25-14
19-27
14-21
19-12
27-18
32-27
159.8Avg total
81.5Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.073.2156.2+9.975%
Season at home (14)84.673.1157.7+11.486%
Season away (14)81.573.2154.7+8.364%
Last 10 (10)81.578.3159.8+3.250%
Last 5 (5)89.874.8164.6+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.577.9157.4+1.662%
vs Similar (7)82.981.0163.9+1.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.172.6154.7+9.471%
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -0.2-0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -0.2-0.2
TortonaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A18/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A05/03
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H12/03
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A18/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A26/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H02/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A08/04
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H16/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H19/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A23/04
Lega A
80.6Avg total
39.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.539.680.1+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.538.179.5+3.453%-
Last 30 away (15)39.541.280.7-1.733%-
Last 10 (10)39.641.080.6-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.679.8+0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.242.080.2-3.825%-
vs Similar (16)40.940.681.4+0.338%-
vs Weaker (9)41.037.378.3+3.756%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A26/03
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A28/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A30/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H02/04
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H07/04
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H09/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A13/04
Euroleague
Verona
#16
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A16/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H19/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H23/04
Lega A
76.1Avg total
39.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.278.3+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.135.875.9+4.276%-
Last 30 away (13)40.241.281.5-1.031%-
Last 10 (10)39.536.676.1+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.632.475.0+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.138.574.6-2.462%-
vs Similar (7)43.742.085.7+1.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.435.677.0+5.957%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.121.0
56.6%
51.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.7
34.8%
36.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws15.111.4
75.5%
76.1%11.4
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.816.4
53.2%
51.3%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.811.2
40.3%
36.4%33.6
🏀 Free throws18.114.4
79.6%
76.1%14.4
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
LWLLWLWWLL
Olimpia Milano
WWWLWWLLLL
#3
League position
#1
+1.1
Net rating
+4.5
111.8
Offensive rating
116.0
110.6
Defensive rating
111.6
54.8%
Effective FG%
56.7%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
15.0%
Turnover %
15.6%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.8%
3-point %
40.3%
50.2%
Assist %
59.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 116.0Defence110.6 · 111.6Shooting54.8% · 56.7%3-point %34.8% · 40.3%Ball care15.0% · 15.6%Off. rebounds24.3% · 24.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Tortona   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tortona wins
4
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
15/01/23Olimpia Milano v Tortona79-63
06/03/22Tortona v Olimpia Milano64-81
20/02/22Olimpia Milano v Tortona78-61
09/01/22Olimpia Milano v Tortona72-60
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/23ABasket Napoli69-82
19/04/23HReggiana74-68
16/04/23HBrescia77-90 OT
08/04/23AVenezia80-89
02/04/23HBrindisi81-77
26/03/23ASassari72-84
18/03/23ATrento75-73
12/03/23HVerona73-69
05/03/23AVirtus Bologna90-91
18/02/23AVirtus Bologna65-90
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/23HTreviso92-78
19/04/23HBasket Napoli88-76
16/04/23AVerona83-61
13/04/23AVirtus Bologna84-89
09/04/23HPesaro102-70
07/04/23HBarcelona84-76
02/04/23HVenezia73-76
30/03/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv66-85
28/03/23AAnadolu Efes69-89
26/03/23ABrescia74-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL64%
HomeWWWLW79%
AwayLWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %64%79%50%
Points / game80.580.980.1
Allowed / game77.876.678.9
Point differential+2.7+4.3+1.1
Avg total158.3157.6159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%21%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)67% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeLLWWW86%
AwayWWWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %75%86%64%
Points / game83.084.681.5
Allowed / game73.273.173.2
Point differential+9.9+11.4+8.3
Avg total156.2157.7154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%64%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2822679%84.177.2+6.9
2 Olimpia Milano2821775%83.073.2+9.9
3 Tortona28181064%80.577.8+2.7
4 Sassari28161257%84.880.6+4.2
5 Venezia28161257%82.880.1+2.7
6 Varese28161257%91.090.8+0.2
7 Brindisi28141450%83.382.2+1.1
8 Trento28141450%76.177.0-0.9
9 Brescia28131546%82.580.9+1.6
10 Pesaro29131645%84.487.4-3.0
11 Scafati28111739%78.879.7-0.9
12 Treviso28111739%81.186.2-5.1
13 Basket Napoli29111838%79.083.9-4.9
14 Reggiana28101836%75.676.9-1.3
15 Trieste28101836%78.283.9-5.7
16 Verona2891932%78.485.6-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona2422111875
Olimpia Milano2517171877
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