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Panathinaikos vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 75-76
19-14 17-26 15-23 24-13
Position#16
Record7-18
FormWWLWL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game79.9
Panathinaikos
vs
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Position#3
Record17-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game70.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 28
European cup2021
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano
27 Oct 2026
PAO80
MIL75
06 Jan 2026
PAO74
MIL87
17 Dec 2024
PAO103
MIL74
31 Jan 2024
PAO79
MIL62
08 Dec 2022
PAO90
MIL77
04 Mar 2022
PAO75
MIL76
01 Apr 2021
PAO86
MIL83
21 Dec 2018
PAO83
MIL86
15 Dec 2017
PAO80
MIL72
21 Mar 2017
PAO74
MIL61
07 Nov 2014
PAO90
MIL63
02 Jan 2014
PAO73
MIL57
23 Feb 2012
PAO58
MIL67
22 Dec 2010
PAO93
MIL62
03 Dec 2009
PAO80
MIL68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Aris
#7
W
103-83
103
83
+20
104avg 78
H30/01
Basket League
Monaco
#8
L
83-91
83
91
-8
73avg 78
H01/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
60-86
60
86
-26
70avg 78
A03/02
Euroleague
Larisa
#6
W
90-86
90
86
+4
87avg 78
A06/02
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
76-63
76
63
+13
69avg 78
A11/02
Euroleague
Iraklis
#12
W
70-58
70
58
+12
68avg 78
H14/02
Basket League
Promitheas
#8
W
85-68
85
68
+17
no box
A18/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
73-81
73
81
-8
no box
H20/02
Greek Cup
Crvena zvezda
#12
W
79-73
79
73
+6
79avg 78
H25/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
L
83-96
83
96
-13
76avg 78
H01/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
25-21
24-32
25-18
27-19
15-30
19-16
22-26
15-17
10-28
17-18
18-23
16-29
21-21
19-16
34-20
23-15
23-17
13-21
17-10
12-18
20-17
16-13
22-10
13-27
25-12
20-11
27-18
17-21
28-18
22-19
6-23
17-23
25-18
17-18
20-14
10-29
24-23
27-24
22-20
158.7Avg total
80.2Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)73.879.9153.6-6.128%
Season at home (13)78.579.6158.2-1.146%
Season away (12)68.680.2148.8-11.68%
Last 10 (10)80.278.5158.7+1.760%
Last 5 (5)78.075.2153.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)73.182.6155.7-9.515%
vs Similar (7)73.174.1147.3-1.057%
vs Weaker (9)90.370.2160.6+20.1100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#12
W
63-57
63
57
+6
no box
A01/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#13
L
60-71
60
71
-11
50avg 72
H03/02
Euroleague
Trento
#14
W
79-73
79
73
+6
75avg 72
A05/02
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
74-70
74
70
+4
70avg 72
A08/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#15
W
89-78
89
78
+11
85avg 72
H10/02
Euroleague
Pesaro
#9
W
91-57
91
57
+34
93avg 72
H13/02
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
88-68
88
68
+20
no box
H16/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#4
W
69-63
69
63
+6
no box
H19/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#2
W
78-61
78
61
+17
no box
H20/02
Italian Cup
Olympiacos
#5
L
58-67
58
67
-9
53avg 72
A24/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-8
19-15
24-21
13-13
12-18
22-25
17-11
9-17
23-19
17-21
19-14
20-19
17-18
18-17
18-16
21-19
21-10
19-15
26-23
23-30
23-12
19-15
25-13
24-17
27-18
15-19
23-9
23-22
21-12
15-25
18-13
15-13
25-13
16-20
12-14
25-14
15-7
12-18
16-14
15-28
141.4Avg total
74.9Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)73.470.3143.7+3.168%
Season at home (13)75.971.2147.2+4.777%
Season away (12)70.769.2139.9+1.458%
Last 10 (10)74.966.5141.4+8.480%
Last 5 (5)76.863.2140.0+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.074.0148.0+0.050%
vs Similar (9)70.475.6146.0-5.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)77.866.4144.2+11.483%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
PanathinaikosOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#7
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H30/01
Basket League
Monaco
#8
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H01/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A03/02
Euroleague
Larisa
#6
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A06/02
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A11/02
Euroleague
Iraklis
#12
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H14/02
Basket League
Promitheas
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A18/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#1
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H20/02
Greek Cup
Crvena zvezda
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H01/03
Euroleague
81.0Avg total
39.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.379.5+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.240.482.5+1.859%-
Last 30 away (13)37.538.075.5-0.546%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.581.0-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.279.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.242.179.3-4.846%-
vs Similar (7)38.038.676.6-0.643%-
vs Weaker (9)44.636.180.7+8.467%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#12
W
26-23
26
23
+3
A01/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#13
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H03/02
Euroleague
Trento
#14
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A05/02
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A08/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#15
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H10/02
Euroleague
Pesaro
#9
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H13/02
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H16/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#4
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H19/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/02
Italian Cup
Olympiacos
#5
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A24/02
Euroleague
68.8Avg total
36.3Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.135.072.1+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.135.974.9+3.265%-
Last 30 away (13)34.533.868.4+0.746%-
Last 10 (10)36.332.568.8+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.631.869.4+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.531.562.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (9)37.437.474.9+0.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)37.434.171.4+3.350%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.3
55.8%
52.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.18.2
38.9%
35.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.713.3
79.6%
77.2%13.3
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.817.2
50.9%
52.4%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.3
37.1%
35.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws11.68.9
76.7%
77.2%8.9
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LWLWWWWLLW
Olimpia Milano
LWWWWWWWLW
#16
League position
#3
+2.9
Net rating
+10.2
115.2
Offensive rating
106.3
112.3
Defensive rating
96.2
56.7%
Effective FG%
52.9%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.1%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.20
38.9%
3-point %
37.1%
53.0%
Assist %
60.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 106.3Defence112.3 · 96.2Shooting56.7% · 52.9%3-point %38.9% · 37.1%Ball care16.5% · 17.1%Off. rebounds26.4% · 27.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Panathinaikos wins
3
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
14/12/21Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos75-54
01/04/21Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano86-83 OT
03/12/20Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos77-80
22/03/19Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos83-95
21/12/18Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano83-86
05/04/18Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos95-96 OT
15/12/17Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano80-72
21/03/17Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano74-61
21/12/16Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos72-86
11/12/14Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos66-64
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/22HZalgiris Kaunas83-96
25/02/22HCrvena zvezda79-73
20/02/22HOlympiacos73-81
18/02/22APromitheas85-68
14/02/22HIraklis70-58
11/02/22ALyon-Villeurbanne76-63
06/02/22ALarisa90-86
03/02/22ABarcelona60-86
01/02/22HMonaco83-91
30/01/22HAris103-83
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/22AOlympiacos58-67
20/02/22HTortona78-61
19/02/22HBrescia69-63
16/02/22HSassari88-68
13/02/22HPesaro91-57
10/02/22HBaskonia89-78
08/02/22AZalgiris Kaunas74-70
05/02/22ATrento79-73
03/02/22HFenerbahce60-71
01/02/22ACrvena zvezda63-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL28%
HomeLWLWL46%
AwayLLLLW8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %28%46%8%
Points / game73.878.568.6
Allowed / game79.979.680.2
Point differential-6.1-1.1-11.6
Avg total153.6158.2148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)33% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL68%
HomeLWWLW77%
AwayWWWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %68%77%58%
Points / game73.475.970.7
Allowed / game70.371.269.2
Point differential+3.1+4.7+1.4
Avg total143.7147.2139.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%38%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2621581%83.075.3+7.7
2 Real Madrid2620677%78.072.0+6.0
3 Olimpia Milano2517868%73.470.3+3.1
4 Olympiacos2415962%79.073.4+5.6
5 Zenit Petersburg2314961%74.073.5+0.6
6 CSKA Moscow24141058%80.879.0+1.8
7 Anadolu Efes26141254%83.279.8+3.3
8 Unics Kazan25131252%76.775.5+1.2
9 Monaco28141450%83.482.2+1.2
10 Bayern24121250%74.073.5+0.4
11 Fenerbahce25121348%76.273.9+2.3
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv25121348%78.879.5-0.8
13 Crvena zvezda26111542%73.074.2-1.3
14 Alba Berlin26101638%75.579.4-4.0
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne2691735%73.279.7-6.5
16 Panathinaikos2571828%73.879.9-6.1
17 Baskonia2671927%73.580.5-7.0
18 Zalgiris Kaunas2662023%71.278.3-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos1917152475
Olimpia Milano1426231376
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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