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Olimpia Milano vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 91-57
23-12 19-15 25-13 24-17
Position#1
Record15-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game69.9
vs
Position#9
Record7-11
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game84.2
ItalyLega ARound 20
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Pesaro
29 Oct 2023
MIL82
PES90
15 May 2023
MIL86
PES57
13 May 2023
MIL94
PES68
09 Apr 2023
MIL102
PES70
13 Feb 2022
MIL91
PES57
14 Feb 2021
MIL87
PES59
03 Jan 2021
MIL97
PES93
05 Apr 2020
MIL v PES
upcoming
10 Feb 2019
MIL111
PES74
29 Apr 2018
MIL70
PES75
02 Jan 2017
MIL88
PES84
17 Apr 2016
MIL82
PES78
30 Nov 2014
MIL96
PES61
31 Mar 2014
MIL95
PES64
06 Apr 2013
MIL93
PES65
31 May 2012
MIL84
PES68
29 May 2012
MIL84
PES75
29 Jan 2012
MIL81
PES70
16 Jan 2011
MIL94
PES84
29 Nov 2009
MIL89
PES86
25 Jan 2009
MIL91
PES81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#9
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
no box
A16/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#14
W
84-76
84
76
+8
81avg 73
H18/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#6
W
67-57
67
57
+10
61avg 73
A21/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
65-58
65
58
+7
60avg 73
H28/01
Euroleague
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
74-64
74
64
+10
70avg 73
H30/01
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#12
W
63-57
63
57
+6
no box
A01/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#13
L
60-71
60
71
-11
50avg 73
H03/02
Euroleague
Trento
#14
W
79-73
79
73
+6
75avg 73
A05/02
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
74-70
74
70
+4
70avg 73
A08/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#15
W
89-78
89
78
+11
85avg 73
H10/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
18-16
17-12
22-25
22-24
16-16
22-19
24-17
23-10
17-25
15-11
12-11
20-20
19-10
15-15
11-13
19-23
18-13
20-13
17-15
7-8
19-15
24-21
13-13
12-18
22-25
17-11
9-17
23-19
17-21
19-14
20-19
17-18
18-17
18-16
21-19
21-10
19-15
26-23
23-30
142.6Avg total
73.7Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.469.9152.3+12.488%
Season at home (9)84.267.1151.3+17.1100%
Season away (8)80.273.1153.4+7.175%
Last 10 (10)73.768.9142.6+4.880%
Last 5 (5)73.069.8142.8+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.372.7147.0+1.767%
vs Similar (10)72.371.8144.1+0.560%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)78.567.6146.1+10.882%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Cremona
#16
W
88-84
88
84
+4
89avg 70
A21/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
94-75
94
75
+19
84avg 70
H05/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
73-63
73
63
+10
70avg 70
A11/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
69-72
69
72
-3
63avg 70
H19/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
91-89
91
89
+2
80avg 70
A26/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
no box
H16/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
78-110
78
110
-32
66avg 70
A20/01
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
78-89
78
89
-11
62avg 70
A23/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
105-108 OT
105
108
-3
no box
H30/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
93-87
93
87
+6
82avg 70
H06/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
19-20
25-18
25-28
25-19
28-18
23-22
18-16
26-17
17-15
12-19
18-12
7-20
23-19
23-13
16-20
25-27
16-16
25-17
25-29
24-20
16-18
12-17
25-22
15-26
25-35
18-25
20-24
20-26
17-20
21-19
20-24
17-27
26-20
24-21
25-24
19-30
30-17
21-14
23-26
171.3Avg total
85.4Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.584.2164.7-3.739%
Season at home (9)84.383.8168.1+0.644%
Season away (9)76.784.7161.3-8.033%
Last 10 (10)85.485.9171.3-0.560%
Last 5 (5)87.895.2183.0-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.285.8159.0-12.610%
vs Similar (19)81.885.6167.4-3.837%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
Olimpia MilanoPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#14
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H18/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A21/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H28/01
Euroleague
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H30/01
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#12
W
26-23
26
23
+3
A01/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#13
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H03/02
Euroleague
Trento
#14
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A05/02
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A08/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#15
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H10/02
Euroleague
71.4Avg total
36.7Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.834.972.7+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.435.474.8+3.969%-
Last 30 away (14)36.034.370.3+1.743%-
Last 10 (10)36.734.771.4+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.033.268.2+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.332.366.7+2.067%-
vs Similar (10)39.035.974.9+3.170%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)37.734.872.5+2.947%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#16
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H05/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A11/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H19/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A26/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H16/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
40-61
40
61
-21
A20/01
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A23/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H30/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H06/02
Lega A
84.2Avg total
41.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.042.780.7-4.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.642.479.9-4.843%-
Last 30 away (16)38.442.981.4-4.531%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.884.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.847.889.6-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.042.978.9-6.940%-
vs Similar (19)40.442.482.8-2.137%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.216.5
49.7%
51.1%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.8
38.9%
35.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws12.510.0
80.0%
74.7%10.0
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.0
50.5%
51.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.3
33.9%
35.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.116.3
77.3%
74.7%16.3
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWWLWWWWWL
Pesaro
WLLLWWLWWW
#1
League position
#9
+8.2
Net rating
-5.4
107.6
Offensive rating
111.5
99.4
Defensive rating
116.8
53.4%
Effective FG%
50.6%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
17.8%
Turnover %
15.4%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.9%
3-point %
33.9%
58.6%
Assist %
52.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 111.5Defence99.4 · 116.8Shooting53.4% · 50.6%3-point %38.9% · 33.9%Ball care17.8% · 15.4%Off. rebounds28.3% · 32.3%Free throws0.21 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Olimpia Milano wins
3
Pesaro wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/22HBaskonia89-78
08/02/22AZalgiris Kaunas74-70
05/02/22ATrento79-73
03/02/22HFenerbahce60-71
01/02/22ACrvena zvezda63-57
30/01/22HFortitudo Bologna74-64
28/01/22HZalgiris Kaunas65-58
21/01/22ACSKA Moscow67-57
18/01/22HAlba Berlin84-76
16/01/22APesaro82-85 OT
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/22HCremona93-87
30/01/22HTreviso105-108 OT
23/01/22ATrieste78-89
20/01/22ABrescia78-110
16/01/22HOlimpia Milano85-82 OT
26/12/21ABrindisi91-89
19/12/21HReggiana69-72
11/12/21ATreviso73-63
05/12/21HVarese94-75
21/11/21ACremona88-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game82.484.280.2
Allowed / game69.967.173.1
Point differential+12.4+17.1+7.1
Avg total152.3151.3153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%89%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %12%11%12%
Pesaro
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW39%
HomeWLWLW44%
AwayWWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %39%44%33%
Points / game80.584.376.7
Allowed / game84.283.884.7
Point differential-3.7+0.6-8.0
Avg total164.7168.1161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %11%22%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1715288%82.469.9+12.4
2 Virtus Bologna1815383%89.179.2+9.9
3 Brescia1912763%83.678.5+5.2
4 Trieste1810856%78.079.6-1.6
5 Tortona1910953%80.679.6+1.0
6 Brindisi189950%81.282.7-1.6
7 Trento1991047%78.780.5-1.8
8 Reggiana178947%81.580.5+0.9
9 Sassari178947%83.183.7-0.6
10 Basket Napoli178947%82.683.9-1.3
11 Treviso178947%79.482.6-3.3
12 Venezia1771041%78.479.3-0.9
13 Pesaro1871139%80.584.2-3.7
14 Varese1761135%80.588.0-7.5
15 Cremona1851328%80.784.3-3.7
16 Fortitudo Bologna1851328%81.184.8-3.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2319252491
Pesaro1215131757
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