PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Toyama vs Nara Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 04:05
Final 98-79
28-25 23-11 23-26 24-17
Position#3
Record23-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game79.5
Toyama 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#9
Record11-22
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game80.5
JapanB2.League· Toyama City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Toyama v Nara
26 Jan 2025
TOYA98
NARA79
25 Jan 2025
TOYA106
NARA68
29 Dec 2013
TOYA78
NARA66
28 Dec 2013
TOYA79
NARA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#13
W
121-79
121
79
+42
119avg 74
A18/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
96-92
96
92
+4
91avg 74
A21/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
70avg 74
A22/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
104-66
104
66
+38
112avg 74
H27/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
106-79
106
79
+27
111avg 74
H28/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
84-91
84
91
-7
76avg 74
H04/01
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
82-96
82
96
-14
76avg 74
H05/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
87-77
87
77
+10
76avg 74
A11/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
86-75
86
75
+11
82avg 74
A12/01
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
106-68
106
68
+38
106avg 74
H25/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
26-21
34-20
35-19
31-26
20-27
26-25
19-14
21-22
28-16
18-22
18-25
28-22
24-19
28-7
24-18
22-18
20-16
28-24
36-21
20-20
27-20
18-19
19-32
24-27
21-21
24-21
13-27
20-12
14-16
34-23
19-26
20-15
18-20
28-21
20-19
20-23
28-15
36-12
22-18
178.0Avg total
96.1Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)89.179.5168.6+9.670%
Season at home (16)87.679.6167.2+8.162%
Season away (17)90.579.4169.9+11.176%
Last 10 (10)96.181.9178.0+14.270%
Last 5 (5)89.081.4170.4+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.091.0173.0-9.00%
vs Similar (8)80.681.0161.6-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)93.376.7170.1+16.685%
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
78-87
78
87
-9
69avg 69
A18/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
62-73
62
73
-11
43avg 69
A21/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
79avg 69
A22/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
77-89
77
89
-12
65avg 69
H28/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
64avg 69
H29/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
68-91
68
91
-23
55avg 69
A04/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
98-79
98
79
+19
100avg 69
A05/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
61-81
61
81
-20
46avg 69
H12/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
52-92
52
92
-40
38avg 69
H13/01
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
68-106
68
106
-38
62avg 69
A25/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
15-21
19-20
24-21
18-28
13-18
8-12
23-15
21-20
18-16
16-25
28-16
20-24
27-18
18-26
12-21
18-24
16-21
19-10
20-24
18-20
16-32
14-23
20-16
28-22
24-19
18-24
28-14
22-19
11-17
17-19
11-26
19-22
9-25
17-16
7-29
23-20
15-28
12-36
18-22
157.4Avg total
72.0Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)74.880.5155.3-5.733%
Season at home (17)71.880.9152.7-9.218%
Season away (16)78.180.1158.1-2.050%
Last 10 (10)72.085.4157.4-13.420%
Last 5 (5)69.489.8159.2-20.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)70.782.5153.2-11.821%
vs Similar (5)83.478.4161.8+5.060%
vs Weaker (6)76.270.0146.2+6.267%
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +8.0+8.0Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +8.0+8.0Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
ToyamaNara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#13
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A18/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A21/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A22/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H27/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H28/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H04/01
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H05/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A11/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A12/01
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H25/01
B2.League
85.3Avg total
45.8Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.539.384.8+6.373%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.939.783.6+4.164%-
Last 30 away (16)47.038.985.9+8.181%-
Last 10 (10)45.839.585.3+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.880.2+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.044.086.0-2.050%-
vs Similar (8)44.140.985.0+3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.538.184.6+8.385%-
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A18/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A21/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H28/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H29/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A04/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A05/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H12/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H13/01
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A25/01
B2.League
81.0Avg total
37.1Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.740.277.9-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.940.575.4-5.727%-
Last 30 away (15)40.539.980.5+0.653%-
Last 10 (10)37.143.981.0-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.044.881.8-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.042.378.3-6.326%-
vs Similar (5)43.238.882.0+4.460%-
vs Weaker (6)38.535.073.5+3.567%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 95.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.125.1
54.4%
51.0%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.5
33.7%
32.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws23.016.8
73.0%
70.7%16.8
They take 74.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.615.5
41.2%
51.0%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.3
34.7%
32.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.312.1
69.9%
70.7%12.1
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
WWWLLWWLWW
Nara
LLLWLLLWLL
#3
League position
#9
+18.0
Net rating
-18.8
119.1
Offensive rating
98.4
101.1
Defensive rating
117.2
53.0%
Effective FG%
45.7%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
13.3%
Turnover %
16.2%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.7%
3-point %
34.7%
70.8%
Assist %
71.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence119.1 · 98.4Defence101.1 · 117.2Shooting53.0% · 45.7%3-point %33.7% · 34.7%Ball care13.3% · 16.2%Off. rebounds34.8% · 30.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Toyama   ■ Nara
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Toyama wins
0
Nara wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Toyama v Nara106-68
29/12/13Toyama v Nara78-66
28/12/13Toyama v Nara79-76
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HNara106-68
12/01/25AYamagata Wyverns86-75
11/01/25AYamagata Wyverns87-77
05/01/25HFukui82-96
04/01/25HFukui84-91
28/12/24HAomori106-79
27/12/24HAomori104-66
22/12/24AShinshu89-96 OT
21/12/24AShinshu96-92
18/12/24AFukushima121-79
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25AToyama68-106
13/01/25HAltiri Chiba52-92
12/01/25HAltiri Chiba61-81
05/01/25AFukuoka98-79
04/01/25AFukuoka68-91
29/12/24HShinshu73-79
28/12/24HShinshu77-89
22/12/24AFukushima83-77
21/12/24AFukushima62-73
18/12/24AKagoshima Rebnise78-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW70%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayWWLWW76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %70%62%76%
Points / game89.187.690.5
Allowed / game79.579.679.4
Point differential+9.6+8.1+11.1
Avg total168.6167.2169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%44%59%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Nara
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeLLLLL18%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %33%18%50%
Points / game74.871.878.1
Allowed / game80.580.980.1
Point differential-5.7-9.2-2.0
Avg total155.3152.7158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%12%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba3331294%91.975.6+16.3
2 Fukuoka3425974%83.173.9+9.3
3 Kagoshima Rebnise3324973%83.076.4+6.6
4 Toyama33231070%89.179.5+9.6
5 Shinshu33221167%87.176.7+10.4
6 Fukui33201361%82.680.5+2.2
7 Shizuoka33191458%77.275.3+1.9
8 Aomori33141942%79.486.4-7.0
9 Yamagata Wyverns33122136%80.284.4-4.2
10 Kobe34122235%79.984.4-4.4
11 Nara33112233%74.880.5-5.7
12 Kumamoto33112233%78.183.8-5.8
13 Fukushima3472721%72.682.8-10.3
14 Ehime Orange Vikings342326%74.092.1-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toyama2823232498
Nara2511261779
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.