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Trento vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 85-70
21-23 21-16 20-14 23-17
Position#5
Record15-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game76.4
Trento 🏆
Italy
vs
Pistoia
Italy
Position#13
Record9-17
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game80.9
ItalyLega ARound 27
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Trento v Pistoia
16 Mar 2025
TRE87
PIS64
28 Apr 2024
TRE80
PIS105
25 Sep 2019
TRE88
PIS75
20 Apr 2019
TRE82
PIS73
22 Apr 2018
TRE85
PIS70
18 Mar 2017
TRE99
PIS91
18 Oct 2015
TRE54
PIS74
15 Nov 2014
TRE86
PIS72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
78-70
78
70
+8
177avg 110
A04/02
Lega A
Lokomotiv Kuban
#1
L
71-74
71
74
-3
no box
H07/02
Eurocup
Cantu
#9
W
87-76
87
76
+11
115avg 110
H10/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
82-68
82
68
+14
114avg 110
A03/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
82-74
82
74
+8
106avg 110
H10/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
80-88
80
88
-8
108avg 110
A17/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
77-62
77
62
+15
no box
A25/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
107-59
107
59
+48
139avg 110
H31/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
85-68
85
68
+17
no box
H08/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
96-89
96
89
+7
122avg 110
A15/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
11-12
20-9
27-27
14-19
13-17
18-21
26-17
16-22
22-20
26-17
23-17
27-11
15-19
23-26
17-12
17-20
24-11
19-21
22-22
20-18
16-20
25-23
19-27
15-17
28-10
17-14
17-21
27-9
20-15
34-15
26-20
21-15
25-15
16-23
23-15
22-22
27-17
27-20
20-30
157.3Avg total
84.5Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.276.4156.6+3.858%
Season at home (13)81.873.6155.4+8.269%
Season away (13)78.679.2157.8-0.646%
Last 10 (10)84.572.8157.3+11.780%
Last 5 (5)89.073.2162.2+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.884.5156.2-12.80%
vs Similar (17)83.980.2164.1+3.865%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)86.271.9158.1+14.389%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#14
L
74-88
74
88
-14
164avg 111
A28/01
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
76-65
76
65
+11
176avg 111
H04/02
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
71-101
71
101
-30
171avg 111
A11/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
74-65
74
65
+9
108avg 111
H04/03
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
85-106
85
106
-21
116avg 111
A11/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
74-78
74
78
-4
96avg 111
H17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
93-83
93
83
+10
123avg 111
H25/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
84-77
84
77
+7
114avg 111
A31/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
72-80 OT
72
80
-8
no box
A08/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
94avg 111
H15/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
23-19
19-33
11-16
24-13
11-21
22-17
19-14
17-24
18-27
21-29
15-21
17-16
16-14
22-18
19-17
20-26
22-33
22-19
21-28
18-21
21-20
27-17
8-20
27-13
18-20
25-24
23-26
31-11
12-16
20-28
21-22
14-27
19-16
24-16
12-10
28-19
12-13
16-29
13-19
159.5Avg total
77.2Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.880.9156.8-5.135%
Season at home (13)78.577.6156.2+0.954%
Season away (13)73.284.2157.4-11.115%
Last 10 (10)77.282.3159.5-5.140%
Last 5 (5)78.479.6158.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)73.883.8157.6-9.917%
vs Similar (10)78.679.3157.9-0.750%
vs Weaker (2)82.063.0145.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -3.1-3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -3.1-3.1
TrentoPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A04/02
Lega A
Lokomotiv Kuban
#1
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H07/02
Eurocup
Cantu
#9
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H10/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A03/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H10/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A17/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A25/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H31/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H08/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A15/04
Lega A
73.1Avg total
40.0Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.437.477.8+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.236.178.3+6.164%-
Last 30 away (16)38.938.677.4+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)40.033.173.1+6.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.231.675.8+12.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.839.572.2-6.80%-
vs Similar (17)39.938.878.8+1.153%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.833.878.6+11.089%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/01
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H04/02
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A11/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H04/03
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A11/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H25/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A31/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A08/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H15/04
Lega A
77.8Avg total
38.9Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.140.578.6-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.338.477.7+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)36.942.679.5-5.720%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.977.8+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.035.275.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)36.842.379.1-5.622%-
vs Similar (10)39.738.878.5+0.950%-
vs Weaker (2)41.532.574.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.522.4
51.5%
51.6%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.3
35.8%
34.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.314.6
65.5%
73.0%14.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.420.1
47.4%
51.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.9
33.0%
34.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.811.4
64.0%
73.0%11.4
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
WWWWLWWWLW
Pistoia
LLWWLLWLWL
#5
League position
#13
+15.4
Net rating
-2.7
111.6
Offensive rating
104.7
96.3
Defensive rating
107.4
52.2%
Effective FG%
48.2%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.1%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.8%
3-point %
33.0%
43.3%
Assist %
55.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 104.7Defence96.3 · 107.4Shooting52.2% · 48.2%3-point %35.8% · 33.0%Ball care15.8% · 16.1%Off. rebounds33.8% · 34.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Trento   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Trento wins
3
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
23/12/17Pistoia v Trento79-86
18/03/17Trento v Pistoia99-91
20/11/16Pistoia v Trento84-78 OT
19/02/16Pistoia v Trento74-81
31/01/16Pistoia v Trento64-69
18/10/15Trento v Pistoia54-74
18/03/15Pistoia v Trento86-69
15/11/14Trento v Pistoia86-72
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/18ACremona96-89
08/04/18HBrindisi85-68
31/03/18HCapo d'Orlando107-59
25/03/18APesaro77-62
17/03/18AOlimpia Milano80-88
10/03/18HVarese82-74
03/03/18AReggiana82-68
10/02/18HCantu87-76
07/02/18HLokomotiv Kuban71-74
04/02/18ABrescia78-70
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/18HSassari69-80
08/04/18APesaro72-80 OT
31/03/18ATorino84-77
25/03/18HVenezia93-83
17/03/18HReggiana74-78
11/03/18ACantu85-106
04/03/18HVarese74-65
11/02/18AAvellino71-101
04/02/18HCremona76-65
28/01/18ABrindisi74-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW58%
HomeLWWWW69%
AwayWWLWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %58%69%46%
Points / game80.281.878.6
Allowed / game76.473.679.2
Point differential+3.8+8.2-0.6
Avg total156.6155.4157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%54%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL35%
HomeWWLWL54%
AwayLLLWL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %35%54%15%
Points / game75.878.573.2
Allowed / game80.977.684.2
Point differential-5.1+0.9-11.1
Avg total156.8156.2157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2721678%81.774.3+7.4
2 Venezia2721678%82.078.4+3.6
3 Brescia2719870%78.874.4+4.4
4 Avellino2718967%84.377.6+6.7
5 Trento26151158%80.276.4+3.8
6 Varese27141352%78.375.4+2.9
7 Virtus Bologna27141352%78.476.2+2.2
8 Cantu27141352%87.488.1-0.7
9 Sassari27131448%85.783.4+2.2
10 Cremona27131448%84.082.4+1.6
11 Torino26121446%79.882.0-2.2
12 Reggiana26111542%76.177.5-1.5
13 Pistoia2691735%75.880.9-5.1
14 Brindisi2781930%77.582.3-4.8
15 Pesaro2762122%76.984.9-7.9
16 Capo d'Orlando2762122%70.483.4-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento2121202385
Pistoia2316141770
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