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Brindisi vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 88-79
19-21 22-19 26-23 21-16
Position#15
Record2-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game82.6
Brindisi 🏆
Italy
vs
Brescia
Italy
Position#3
Record11-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game74.7
ItalyLega ARound 15· PalaPentassuglia
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Brindisi v Brescia
07 Jan 2024
BRI88
BRE79
23 Oct 2022
BRI82
BRE81
06 Mar 2022
BRI83
BRE88
22 Nov 2020
BRI74
BRE71
05 Oct 2019
BRI88
BRE78
18 Nov 2018
BRI72
BRE65
29 Oct 2017
BRI69
BRE78
13 Nov 2016
BRI83
BRE91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brindisi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#11
L
72-91
72
91
-19
62avg 70
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
71-79
71
79
-8
62avg 70
A12/11
Lega A
BC Kalev/Cramo
#20
W
82-69
82
69
+13
76avg 70
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
71-81
71
81
-10
62avg 70
A18/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
83-75
83
75
+8
83avg 70
H26/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
60-86
60
86
-26
37avg 70
A03/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
86-81
86
81
+5
77avg 70
H10/12
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
81-84
81
84
-3
75avg 70
A17/12
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
no box
H23/12
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
58-75
58
75
-17
46avg 70
A30/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
12-19
27-27
15-20
24-21
14-27
22-11
11-20
25-20
19-16
17-16
21-17
9-19
21-28
20-13
21-21
24-13
16-26
30-18
13-18
5-23
18-22
19-14
18-27
27-21
13-12
17-26
29-22
25-22
26-28
16-14
14-20
26-19
20-19
25-18
19-34
13-18
12-22
22-15
11-20
158.6Avg total
76.2Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.982.6154.5-10.614%
Season at home (7)75.384.6159.9-9.329%
Season away (7)68.680.6149.1-12.00%
Last 10 (10)76.282.4158.6-6.230%
Last 5 (5)76.685.8162.4-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)74.088.1162.1-14.18%
vs Similar (15)78.079.9157.9-1.927%
vs Weaker (2)80.575.0155.5+5.550%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#82
L
72-90
72
90
-18
no box
A14/11
NCAA
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
76-88
76
88
-12
59avg 72
A20/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
116-73
116
73
+43
121avg 72
H26/11
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
89-83
89
83
+6
80avg 72
A03/12
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
110-65
110
65
+45
113avg 72
H10/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
77-70
77
70
+7
76avg 72
A16/12
Lega A
Kennesaw State
#227
L
59-91
59
91
-32
no box
A20/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
47-85
47
85
-38
no box
A21/12
NCAA
Venezia
#4
L
71-86
71
86
-15
61avg 72
A23/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
72-64
72
64
+8
1avg 72
H30/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
38-46
0-0
34-44
20-26
24-23
19-23
13-16
33-11
31-22
27-15
25-25
21-25
17-17
25-17
26-24
29-17
33-8
26-13
22-27
23-22
19-16
19-25
16-7
0-0
22-50
0-0
37-41
0-0
23-47
0-0
24-38
22-18
21-20
13-21
15-27
15-18
18-14
19-16
20-16
158.4Avg total
78.9Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.374.7161.0+11.679%
Season at home (7)89.373.9163.1+15.486%
Season away (7)83.375.6158.9+7.771%
Last 10 (10)78.979.5158.4-0.650%
Last 5 (5)65.279.2144.4-14.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)61.686.4148.0-24.914%
vs Similar (8)78.178.0156.1+0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.174.4161.6+12.786%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -3.3-3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -3.3-3.3
BrindisiBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#11
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A12/11
Lega A
BC Kalev/Cramo
#20
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A18/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H26/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A03/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H10/12
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A17/12
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H23/12
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A30/12
Lega A
78.7Avg total
36.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.042.080.0-4.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.438.978.3+0.560%-
Last 30 away (15)36.545.281.7-8.720%-
Last 10 (10)36.742.078.7-5.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.041.278.2-4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.446.282.6-9.817%-
vs Similar (15)38.139.377.3-1.253%-
vs Weaker (2)44.043.087.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#82
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A14/11
NCAA
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A20/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
64-33
64
33
+31
H26/11
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A03/12
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
62-25
62
25
+37
H10/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A16/12
Lega A
Kennesaw State
#227
L
22-50
22
50
-28
A20/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A21/12
NCAA
Venezia
#4
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A23/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H30/12
Lega A
80.9Avg total
40.9Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.978.8+1.163%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.135.780.8+9.492%-
Last 30 away (18)36.541.077.5-4.544%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.080.9+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)32.641.073.6-8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.644.374.9-13.729%-
vs Similar (8)38.239.477.6-1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.236.781.9+8.586%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.813.2
40.2%
53.1%26.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.6
36.5%
35.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.215.7
81.8%
76.3%15.7
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.023.0
56.1%
53.1%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.8
32.9%
35.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.116.0
79.6%
76.3%16.0
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brindisi
LLLWLWLWLL
Brescia
WLLLWWWWLL
#15
League position
#3
-13.0
Net rating
+14.9
99.0
Offensive rating
114.5
112.0
Defensive rating
99.6
46.7%
Effective FG%
53.6%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
17.8%
Turnover %
13.2%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.5%
3-point %
32.9%
60.1%
Assist %
58.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 114.5Defence112.0 · 99.6Shooting46.7% · 53.6%3-point %36.5% · 32.9%Ball care17.8% · 13.2%Off. rebounds23.1% · 26.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Brindisi   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Brindisi wins
4
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
30/04/23Brescia v Brindisi75-69
23/10/22Brindisi v Brescia82-81
06/03/22Brindisi v Brescia83-88
16/01/22Brescia v Brindisi88-67
28/03/21Brescia v Brindisi68-74
22/11/20Brindisi v Brescia74-71
26/01/20Brescia v Brindisi82-86
05/10/19Brindisi v Brescia88-78
17/03/19Brescia v Brindisi97-80 OT
18/11/18Brindisi v Brescia72-65
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23ACremona58-75
23/12/23HScafati98-103 OT
17/12/23ASassari81-84
10/12/23HVarese86-81
03/12/23ATreviso60-86
26/11/23HVirtus Bologna83-75
18/11/23ATrento71-81
15/11/23HBC Kalev/Cramo82-69
12/11/23AVenezia71-79
08/11/23ABasket Zaragoza72-91
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HOlimpia Milano72-64
23/12/23AVenezia71-86
21/12/23AWestern Carolina47-85
20/12/23AKennesaw State59-91
16/12/23AReggiana77-70
10/12/23HSassari110-65
03/12/23AScafati89-83
26/11/23HVarese116-73
20/11/23AVirtus Bologna76-88
14/11/23AUT Martin72-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brindisi
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL14%
HomeLLWWL29%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %14%29%0%
Points / game71.975.368.6
Allowed / game82.684.680.6
Point differential-10.6-9.3-12.0
Avg total154.5159.9149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayWLWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %79%86%71%
Points / game86.389.383.3
Allowed / game74.773.975.6
Point differential+11.6+15.4+7.7
Avg total161.0163.1158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%29%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1411379%86.374.7+11.6
2 Venezia1411379%81.476.3+5.1
3 Virtus Bologna1410471%87.776.9+10.8
4 Olimpia Milano159660%78.774.5+4.2
5 Trento159660%83.981.5+2.5
6 Basket Napoli148657%85.782.4+3.3
7 Reggiana148657%84.682.9+1.8
8 Cremona147750%81.979.3+2.6
9 Pistoia147750%79.781.6-1.9
10 Scafati157847%84.186.8-2.7
11 Tortona156940%77.980.8-2.9
12 Varese156940%86.390.3-4.0
13 Sassari156940%74.983.1-8.3
14 Pesaro1551033%79.185.7-6.7
15 Treviso1541127%81.084.3-3.3
16 Brindisi1421214%71.982.6-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brindisi1922262188
Brescia2119231679
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