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Trento vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-75
21-16 18-12 18-19 20-28
Position#7
Record6-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game74.6
Trento 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#1
Record9-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game71.4
ItalyLega ARound 11
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Trento v Olimpia Milano
11 Apr 2027
TRE v MIL
upcoming
10 May 2026
TRE84
MIL74
19 May 2025
TRE70
MIL67
17 May 2025
TRE70
MIL73
03 Nov 2024
TRE91
MIL57
19 May 2024
TRE69
MIL87
17 May 2024
TRE68
MIL83
07 Jan 2024
TRE74
MIL79
18 Dec 2022
TRE77
MIL75
05 Feb 2022
TRE73
MIL79
16 May 2021
TRE65
MIL74
07 Mar 2021
TRE61
MIL60
13 Apr 2020
TRE v MIL
upcoming
05 May 2019
TRE77
MIL79
15 Jun 2018
TRE71
MIL96
11 Jun 2018
TRE77
MIL74
09 Jun 2018
TRE72
MIL65
11 Nov 2017
TRE55
MIL74
31 May 2017
TRE88
MIL64
29 May 2017
TRE66
MIL87
04 Dec 2016
TRE74
MIL92
12 May 2016
TRE61
MIL62
15 Mar 2016
TRE83
MIL73
08 Oct 2015
TRE80
MIL73
01 Feb 2015
TRE84
MIL102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#5
L
63-93
63
93
-30
50avg 62
A02/11
Eurocup
Verona
#16
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
no box
A06/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
64-71
64
71
-7
53avg 62
H20/11
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#3
L
66-81
66
81
-15
55avg 62
A23/11
Eurocup
Venezia
#6
W
73-72
73
72
+1
74avg 62
A26/11
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#1
W
75-72
75
72
+3
70avg 62
H30/11
Eurocup
Pesaro
#10
W
79-75
79
75
+4
69avg 62
H04/12
Lega A
Buducnost
#11
L
58-73
58
73
-15
47avg 62
A07/12
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#12
L
58-69
58
69
-11
47avg 62
A10/12
Lega A
Hamburg
#16
W
85-80
85
80
+5
78avg 62
H13/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
15-20
11-31
19-14
24-30
15-20
23-12
15-15
10-20
17-24
18-16
19-11
22-20
13-23
9-11
22-27
14-20
19-15
24-18
16-19
19-22
15-16
19-17
22-17
18-24
20-15
17-19
24-17
18-14
11-28
17-12
12-19
15-16
14-14
16-18
13-21
16-20
25-22
23-20
21-18
148.5Avg total
71.3Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.774.6149.3+0.160%
Season at home (4)71.067.8138.8+3.275%
Season away (6)77.279.2156.3-2.050%
Last 10 (10)71.377.2148.5-5.950%
Last 5 (5)71.073.8144.8-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)72.182.9154.9-10.813%
vs Similar (13)78.380.2158.5-1.846%
vs Weaker (2)79.071.5150.5+7.5100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Trieste
#15
W
98-81
98
81
+17
94avg 70
H20/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
51-80
51
80
-29
34avg 70
H22/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
72-82
72
82
-10
65avg 70
H24/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
93-80
93
80
+13
91avg 70
A27/11
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
L
62-78
62
78
-16
no box
A01/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
92-63
92
63
+29
no box
A04/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#15
L
77-90 OT
77
90
-13
no box
A08/12
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
81-63
81
63
+18
74avg 70
H11/12
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
63avg 70
H13/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
71-67
71
67
+4
64avg 70
A15/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
13-23
27-15
33-24
18-18
16-16
7-21
10-25
21-15
16-17
11-26
24-24
26-16
19-20
23-23
25-21
9-24
18-14
18-16
17-24
22-20
28-6
32-20
10-17
22-13
20-20
17-19
13-20
21-13
22-20
25-17
13-13
21-21
19-11
19-27
12-18
26-16
17-13
14-20
14-18
152.9Avg total
76.8Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.271.4154.6+11.890%
Season at home (5)83.671.4155.0+12.2100%
Season away (5)82.871.4154.2+11.480%
Last 10 (10)76.876.1152.9+0.750%
Last 5 (5)78.472.0150.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.078.4145.4-11.414%
vs Similar (11)74.974.5149.5+0.445%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)81.970.5152.5+11.491%
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -3.3-3.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -3.3-3.3
TrentoOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#5
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A02/11
Eurocup
Verona
#16
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A06/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H20/11
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A23/11
Eurocup
Venezia
#6
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A26/11
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H30/11
Eurocup
Pesaro
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H04/12
Lega A
Buducnost
#11
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A07/12
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#12
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A10/12
Lega A
Hamburg
#16
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H13/12
Eurocup
74.9Avg total
33.8Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.541.177.7-4.620%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.239.675.8-3.423%-
Last 30 away (17)36.842.379.1-5.518%-
Last 10 (10)33.841.174.9-7.30%-
Last 5 (5)34.238.272.4-4.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)33.943.577.3-9.67%-
vs Similar (13)39.738.978.6+0.831%-
vs Weaker (2)36.038.074.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#15
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H20/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#10
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H22/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H24/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A27/11
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A01/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
50-26
50
26
+24
A04/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#15
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A08/12
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H11/12
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H13/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A15/12
Euroleague
73.4Avg total
39.9Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.136.976.0+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.135.674.7+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)39.138.177.2+0.940%-
Last 10 (10)39.933.573.4+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.630.674.2+13.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.939.376.1-2.443%-
vs Similar (11)37.937.575.4+0.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.936.179.0+6.864%-
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 69.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.917.7
43.3%
51.3%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.5
32.1%
36.4%22.5
🏀 Free throws14.511.5
79.3%
76.1%11.5
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.615.8
50.0%
51.3%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.1
34.9%
36.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws15.812.6
79.7%
76.1%12.6
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
WLLWWWLLWL
Olimpia Milano
WLWLWLWLLW
#7
League position
#1
-7.6
Net rating
+1.9
96.0
Offensive rating
107.8
103.6
Defensive rating
105.9
45.0%
Effective FG%
51.2%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
19.7%
Turnover %
16.1%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.1%
3-point %
34.9%
54.8%
Assist %
62.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 107.8Defence103.6 · 105.9Shooting45.0% · 51.2%3-point %32.1% · 34.9%Ball care19.7% · 16.1%Off. rebounds30.4% · 26.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Trento   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Trento wins
9
Olimpia Milano wins
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/22HHamburg85-80
10/12/22ABasket Napoli58-69
07/12/22ABuducnost58-73
04/12/22HPesaro79-75
30/11/22HGran Canaria75-72
26/11/22AVenezia73-72
23/11/22ATurk Telekom66-81
20/11/22HVirtus Bologna64-71
06/11/22AVerona92-86 OT
02/11/22AHapoel Tel-Aviv63-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/22ACrvena zvezda71-67
13/12/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv71-77
11/12/22HReggiana81-63
08/12/22APanathinaikos77-90 OT
04/12/22ASassari92-63
01/12/22ABaskonia62-78
27/11/22ATreviso93-80
24/11/22HFenerbahce72-82
22/11/22HAnadolu Efes51-80
20/11/22HTrieste98-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%75%50%
Points / game74.771.077.2
Allowed / game74.667.879.2
Point differential+0.1+3.2-2.0
Avg total149.3138.8156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game83.283.682.8
Allowed / game71.471.471.4
Point differential+11.8+12.2+11.4
Avg total154.6155.0154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%60%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna109190%86.373.8+12.5
2 Olimpia Milano109190%83.271.4+11.8
3 Tortona107370%79.272.7+6.5
4 Pesaro106460%88.884.6+4.2
5 Varese106460%92.091.2+0.8
6 Trento106460%74.774.6+0.1
7 Brescia105550%86.583.3+3.2
8 Venezia105550%79.177.4+1.7
9 Brindisi105550%80.283.9-3.7
10 Sassari115645%78.578.8-0.3
11 Scafati104640%77.979.4-1.5
12 Basket Napoli114736%77.282.0-4.8
13 Trieste103730%78.388.0-9.7
14 Verona103730%78.688.7-10.1
15 Reggiana102820%70.873.4-2.6
16 Treviso102820%76.083.6-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento2118182077
Olimpia Milano1612192875
← all games of the day
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