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Trento vs Olimpia Milano Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 13 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 16:15
Postponed
Position#8
Record11-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game79.3
Trento
Italy
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
3.7/10
Below normal
Olimpia Milano
Italy
Position#4
Record14-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game74.0
ItalyLega ARound 31
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Trento v Olimpia Milano
11 Apr 2027
TRE v MIL
upcoming
10 May 2026
TRE84
MIL74
19 May 2025
TRE70
MIL67
17 May 2025
TRE70
MIL73
03 Nov 2024
TRE91
MIL57
19 May 2024
TRE69
MIL87
17 May 2024
TRE68
MIL83
07 Jan 2024
TRE74
MIL79
18 Dec 2022
TRE77
MIL75
05 Feb 2022
TRE73
MIL79
16 May 2021
TRE65
MIL74
07 Mar 2021
TRE61
MIL60
13 Apr 2020
TRE v MIL
upcoming
05 May 2019
TRE77
MIL79
15 Jun 2018
TRE71
MIL96
11 Jun 2018
TRE77
MIL74
09 Jun 2018
TRE72
MIL65
11 Nov 2017
TRE55
MIL74
31 May 2017
TRE88
MIL64
29 May 2017
TRE66
MIL87
04 Dec 2016
TRE74
MIL92
12 May 2016
TRE61
MIL62
15 Mar 2016
TRE83
MIL73
08 Oct 2015
TRE80
MIL73
01 Feb 2015
TRE84
MIL102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#15
L
82-88
82
88
-6
57avg 70
H14/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
69-81
69
81
-12
55avg 70
A22/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
80-53
80
53
+27
73avg 70
H26/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
86-81
86
81
+5
89avg 70
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
58avg 70
H05/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
74-71
74
71
+3
66avg 70
A12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
81-103
81
103
-22
71avg 70
H18/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
90-87
90
87
+3
89avg 70
A25/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
63-56
63
56
+7
57avg 70
H02/02
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
79-71
79
71
+8
no box
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-30
22-17
15-13
15-28
21-28
17-15
9-19
22-19
19-3
21-22
18-11
22-17
20-16
26-20
19-17
21-28
17-21
8-21
25-13
27-28
24-22
18-9
15-17
17-23
15-32
18-23
22-25
26-23
26-19
19-18
27-26
18-24
19-15
14-18
15-12
15-11
17-16
21-20
15-19
26-16
155.5Avg total
78.1Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.979.3157.1-1.452%
Season at home (11)77.875.6153.5+2.255%
Season away (10)77.983.3161.2-5.450%
Last 10 (10)78.177.4155.5+0.760%
Last 5 (5)77.477.6155.0-0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)71.777.7149.5-6.027%
vs Similar (13)79.579.4158.9+0.262%
vs Weaker (6)84.779.7164.3+5.083%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#17
W
71-65
71
65
+6
62avg 74
A08/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
71-70
71
70
+1
no box
A15/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
81-69
81
69
+12
80avg 74
H22/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
no box
A29/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
83-89
83
89
-6
68avg 74
H05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
91-67
91
67
+24
100avg 74
H12/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
72-78
72
78
-6
58avg 74
A19/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
85-67
85
67
+18
84avg 74
A26/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
A01/02
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
14-14
21-16
19-19
20-19
21-22
18-13
12-16
28-21
15-17
19-9
19-22
20-24
20-22
16-17
14-20
19-22
17-26
26-13
21-28
19-22
22-19
20-15
30-11
15-9
19-20
17-27
21-22
23-15
18-19
25-12
19-21
14-16
18-18
24-15
21-25
23-16
19-23
17-22
18-13
151.4Avg total
77.8Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.374.0154.4+6.367%
Season at home (11)84.575.0159.5+9.573%
Season away (10)75.873.0148.8+2.860%
Last 10 (10)77.873.6151.4+4.270%
Last 5 (5)80.472.0152.4+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.592.0174.5-9.50%
vs Similar (10)82.379.9162.2+2.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)81.173.8154.9+7.372%
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
TrentoOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#15
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H14/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H26/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H05/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
33-55
33
55
-22
H18/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A25/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H02/02
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H09/02
Lega A
77.7Avg total
39.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.739.076.8-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.940.177.9-2.253%-
Last 30 away (15)37.638.075.6-0.440%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.577.7+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.476.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)33.938.572.4-4.527%-
vs Similar (13)38.840.279.0-1.546%-
vs Weaker (6)42.537.580.0+5.083%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#17
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A08/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A15/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H22/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A29/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H12/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A19/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A26/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A01/02
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H09/02
Lega A
76.1Avg total
38.1Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.077.4+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.538.279.7+3.356%-
Last 30 away (14)37.037.974.9-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)38.138.076.1+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.035.473.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.544.090.5+2.550%-
vs Similar (10)40.138.878.9+1.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)38.236.975.2+1.356%-
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.721.5
48.1%
52.0%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.78.3
40.1%
35.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws13.69.4
69.1%
73.6%9.4
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.316.0
46.6%
52.0%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.7
37.2%
35.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws24.718.5
74.9%
73.6%18.5
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
WWWLWLWWLL
Olimpia Milano
WWWLWLLWWW
#8
League position
#4
+1.6
Net rating
+5.4
111.2
Offensive rating
109.1
109.7
Defensive rating
103.7
51.9%
Effective FG%
50.3%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
16.1%
Turnover %
19.3%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.43
40.1%
3-point %
37.2%
50.3%
Assist %
55.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 109.1Defence109.7 · 103.7Shooting51.9% · 50.3%3-point %40.1% · 37.2%Ball care16.1% · 19.3%Off. rebounds33.6% · 33.1%Free throws0.21 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Trento   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Trento wins
8
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
22/12/19Olimpia Milano v Trento81-69
05/05/19Trento v Olimpia Milano77-79 OT
06/01/19Olimpia Milano v Trento86-78
15/06/18Trento v Olimpia Milano71-96
13/06/18Olimpia Milano v Trento91-90
11/06/18Trento v Olimpia Milano77-74
09/06/18Trento v Olimpia Milano72-65
07/06/18Olimpia Milano v Trento90-80
05/06/18Olimpia Milano v Trento98-85
17/03/18Olimpia Milano v Trento88-80
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HCantu79-71
02/02/20HBrescia63-56
25/01/20ASassari90-87
18/01/20HReggiana81-103
12/01/20APistoia74-71
05/01/20HVirtus Bologna77-83
29/12/19AVarese86-81
26/12/19HTrieste80-53
22/12/19AOlimpia Milano69-81
14/12/19HVirtus Roma82-88
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HCremona77-74
01/02/20ABrindisi77-74
26/01/20ATrieste85-67
19/01/20ABrescia72-78
12/01/20HTreviso91-67
05/01/20HCantu83-89
29/12/19AVirtus Bologna70-83
22/12/19HTrento81-69
15/12/19AVenezia71-70
08/12/19APesaro71-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW52%
HomeWLLWW55%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%55%50%
Points / game77.977.877.9
Allowed / game79.375.683.3
Point differential-1.4+2.2-5.4
Avg total157.1153.5161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%73%60%
Points / game80.384.575.8
Allowed / game74.075.073.0
Point differential+6.3+9.5+2.8
Avg total154.4159.5148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%64%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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