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Treviso vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 78-71
14-17 22-21 19-12 23-21
Position#13
Record7-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game84.5
Treviso 🏆
Italy
vs
Cremona
Italy
Position#11
Record9-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game79.0
ItalyLega ARound 23· PalaVerde
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Treviso v Cremona
22 Mar 2026
TRV97
CRE94
15 Dec 2024
TRV87
CRE84
17 Mar 2024
TRV78
CRE71
14 Nov 2021
TRV96
CRE83
16 Dec 2020
TRV101
CRE90
18 Jan 2020
TRV84
CRE94
14 Jan 2012
TRV68
CRE62
23 Apr 2011
TRV88
CRE86
14 Mar 2010
TRV70
CRE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviso
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
W
82-68
82
68
+14
80avg 70
A23/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
86-89
86
89
-3
74avg 70
H30/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
96-101
96
101
-5
76avg 70
H06/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
67-88
67
88
-21
54avg 70
A14/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
77-70
77
70
+7
61avg 70
H21/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
93-95
93
95
-2
84avg 70
A27/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
61-100
61
100
-39
38avg 70
H05/02
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
85-82
85
82
+3
78avg 70
A11/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
81-95
81
95
-14
70avg 70
A03/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
71-63
71
63
+8
60avg 70
H09/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-13
19-25
24-16
25-14
19-23
23-21
18-21
26-24
26-24
24-33
20-23
26-21
23-18
17-18
9-33
18-19
21-18
18-19
25-16
13-17
17-30
23-26
20-23
33-16
25-21
9-30
16-29
11-20
17-21
33-13
14-23
21-25
26-18
18-19
24-30
13-28
7-24
18-6
22-12
24-21
165.0Avg total
79.9Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.584.5164.0-4.932%
Season at home (11)79.583.5162.9-4.036%
Season away (11)79.685.5165.1-5.827%
Last 10 (10)79.985.1165.0-5.240%
Last 5 (5)78.287.0165.2-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)76.691.1167.8-14.514%
vs Similar (16)83.682.8166.3+0.844%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
51-74
51
74
-23
38avg 73
A24/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
75-58
75
58
+17
76avg 73
H30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
60-64
60
64
-4
51avg 73
A07/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
99-80
99
80
+19
101avg 73
H13/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 73
A21/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
68avg 73
H28/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
76avg 73
A04/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
90-83
90
83
+7
87avg 73
H11/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
76-79
76
79
-3
62avg 73
A03/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
67-74
67
74
-7
51avg 73
H10/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-16
11-16
25-22
4-20
18-13
22-12
15-22
20-11
17-14
15-20
20-13
8-17
26-21
27-16
23-21
23-22
18-24
13-16
15-17
25-21
12-19
23-20
22-26
25-18
15-17
17-22
26-20
22-27
20-18
26-18
19-29
25-18
14-21
15-17
20-20
27-21
17-18
11-21
19-17
20-18
151.0Avg total
75.1Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.579.0159.5+1.641%
Season at home (11)84.776.5161.3+8.264%
Season away (11)76.481.4157.7-5.018%
Last 10 (10)75.175.9151.0-0.830%
Last 5 (5)79.081.0160.0-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.080.3153.3-7.333%
vs Similar (15)81.578.3159.7+3.253%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.876.2159.0+6.758%
This opponent (Treviso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
TrevisoCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A23/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H30/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H06/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A14/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H21/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A27/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H05/02
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A11/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A03/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H09/03
Lega A
81.7Avg total
39.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.043.383.3-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.542.585.0+0.050%-
Last 30 away (16)37.843.981.8-6.125%-
Last 10 (10)39.742.081.7-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.641.680.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.945.684.5-6.836%-
vs Similar (16)41.041.282.2-0.238%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A24/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A07/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H13/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A21/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H28/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H11/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A03/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H10/03
Lega A
70.7Avg total
34.8Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.137.275.4+0.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.135.778.8+7.464%-
Last 30 away (16)33.838.672.4-4.812%-
Last 10 (10)34.835.970.7-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)34.038.272.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.336.370.7-2.033%-
vs Similar (15)39.138.577.5+0.627%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)37.935.973.8+2.050%-
This opponent (Treviso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.3
49.2%
53.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.1
32.9%
35.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.915.2
76.4%
76.3%15.2
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.415.8
52.0%
53.1%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.4
33.4%
35.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws14.611.4
78.1%
76.3%11.4
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Treviso
WLWLLWLLLW
Cremona
LLWLLLWLWL
#13
League position
#11
-6.6
Net rating
-1.6
104.2
Offensive rating
105.1
110.8
Defensive rating
106.6
49.2%
Effective FG%
51.1%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.6%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.9%
3-point %
33.4%
47.8%
Assist %
59.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 105.1Defence110.8 · 106.6Shooting49.2% · 51.1%3-point %32.9% · 33.4%Ball care15.6% · 16.6%Off. rebounds26.7% · 25.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Treviso   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Treviso wins
4
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
10/12/23Cremona v Treviso70-76
27/03/22Cremona v Treviso74-67
14/11/21Treviso v Cremona96-83
21/03/21Cremona v Treviso85-86
16/12/20Treviso v Cremona101-90
18/01/20Treviso v Cremona84-94
29/09/19Cremona v Treviso89-87
06/05/12Cremona v Treviso84-82
14/01/12Treviso v Cremona68-62
23/04/11Treviso v Cremona88-86 OT
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HReggiana71-63
03/03/24ABasket Napoli81-95
11/02/24ATrento85-82
05/02/24HVirtus Bologna61-100
27/01/24AScafati93-95
21/01/24HSassari77-70
14/01/24ABrescia67-88
06/01/24HVarese96-101
30/12/23HPistoia86-89
23/12/23ATortona82-68
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HPistoia67-74
03/03/24ABrindisi76-79
11/02/24HBasket Napoli90-83
04/02/24ASassari80-86
28/01/24HVarese82-83
21/01/24AReggiana71-78
13/01/24HTrento99-80
07/01/24APistoia60-64
30/12/23HBrindisi75-58
24/12/23AOlimpia Milano51-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviso
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW32%
HomeLLWLW36%
AwayWLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%36%27%
Points / game79.579.579.6
Allowed / game84.583.585.5
Point differential-4.9-4.0-5.8
Avg total164.0162.9165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%9%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cremona
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL41%
HomeWWLWL64%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%64%18%
Points / game80.584.776.4
Allowed / game79.076.581.4
Point differential+1.6+8.2-5.0
Avg total159.5161.3157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%55%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia2317674%88.777.5+11.2
2 Virtus Bologna2316770%88.376.8+11.5
3 Venezia2316770%82.076.3+5.7
4 Olimpia Milano2315865%79.073.1+5.9
5 Reggiana23131057%81.281.0+0.2
6 Basket Napoli23121152%86.085.0+1.0
7 Pistoia23121152%78.782.3-3.6
8 Tortona23111248%80.179.0+1.1
9 Trento23111248%83.283.7-0.4
10 Scafati23111248%83.487.0-3.6
11 Sassari23111248%77.882.3-4.4
12 Cremona2291341%80.579.0+1.6
13 Varese2391439%84.290.0-5.8
14 Treviso2271532%79.584.5-4.9
15 Pesaro2371630%79.587.0-7.6
16 Brindisi2361726%74.282.2-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Treviso1422192378
Cremona1721122171
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