PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Treviso vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 86-89
19-23 23-21 18-21 26-24
Position#13
Record4-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game82.7
Treviso
Italy
vs
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
Position#10
Record6-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game81.2
ItalyLega ARound 14· PalaVerde
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Treviso v Pistoia
30 Nov 2024
TRV91
PIS88
30 Dec 2023
TRV86
PIS89
06 Oct 2019
TRV87
PIS72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviso
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
L
77-82
77
82
-5
70avg 74
H22/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
83-90
83
90
-7
69avg 74
A29/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
87-97
87
97
-10
69avg 74
H05/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
68avg 74
A11/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
64avg 74
H19/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
76-95
76
95
-19
63avg 74
A26/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
86-60
86
60
+26
86avg 74
H03/12
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
76-70
76
70
+6
70avg 74
A10/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
86-78
86
78
+8
79avg 74
H17/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
82-68
82
68
+14
80avg 74
A23/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
22-16
18-21
13-24
23-26
20-20
15-23
25-21
25-24
27-21
17-23
18-29
16-23
19-22
12-27
30-19
14-24
19-18
28-14
15-23
21-26
18-22
13-28
24-19
23-5
22-18
14-19
27-18
24-13
7-26
21-13
24-18
27-24
17-17
27-18
15-19
14-13
19-25
24-16
25-14
161.6Avg total
80.6Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.582.7162.2-3.231%
Season at home (6)80.582.5163.0-2.033%
Season away (7)78.682.9161.4-4.329%
Last 10 (10)80.681.0161.6-0.440%
Last 5 (5)81.274.2155.4+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)79.988.7168.6-8.831%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.684.1166.8-1.543%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
65avg 71
H22/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
78-72
78
72
+6
68avg 71
A29/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
85-77
85
77
+8
79avg 71
H05/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
82-95
82
95
-13
75avg 71
A12/11
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
68-63
68
63
+5
64avg 71
H19/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
86-81
86
81
+5
71avg 71
A26/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 71
H02/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
100-97
100
97
+3
94avg 71
A09/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
73-74
73
74
-1
70avg 71
H17/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
70-91
70
91
-21
59avg 71
H23/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
19-19
17-28
24-18
18-18
19-18
23-20
18-16
25-17
18-19
22-24
20-17
30-29
18-19
10-21
24-26
24-17
18-17
10-15
16-14
19-28
20-25
29-10
18-18
19-21
20-19
14-18
28-18
28-25
27-23
21-23
24-26
23-17
15-30
14-17
21-10
16-28
12-23
20-16
22-24
160.5Avg total
79.5Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.081.2160.2-2.246%
Season at home (7)74.677.6152.1-3.043%
Season away (6)84.285.5169.7-1.350%
Last 10 (10)79.581.0160.5-1.560%
Last 5 (5)82.083.8165.8-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.686.0168.6-3.460%
vs Similar ◀ (21)72.874.9147.6-2.152%
vs Weaker (4)88.280.0168.2+8.275%
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.8+2.8
TrevisoPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H22/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A29/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H05/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A11/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H19/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A26/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H03/12
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A10/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H17/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A23/12
Lega A
80.5Avg total
40.1Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.442.281.7-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.539.782.2+2.864%-
Last 30 away (16)36.844.481.2-7.712%-
Last 10 (10)40.140.480.5-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.876.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.843.782.4-4.938%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.240.680.8-0.436%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H22/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A29/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A12/11
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H19/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A26/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H02/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A09/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H17/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
28-51
28
51
-23
H23/12
Lega A
83.1Avg total
40.0Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.679.2-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.137.174.1+0.047%-
Last 30 away (15)40.144.284.3-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.043.183.1-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.847.887.6-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.245.284.4-6.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)38.139.277.3-1.143%-
vs Weaker (4)40.242.582.8-2.225%-
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.2
53.6%
53.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.3
31.7%
35.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.916.3
74.4%
76.3%16.3
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.6
51.6%
53.1%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.1
37.1%
35.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.813.4
71.3%
76.3%13.4
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Treviso
WWWWLLLLLL
Pistoia
LLWWWWLWWL
#13
League position
#10
-0.8
Net rating
-1.5
105.9
Offensive rating
107.3
106.7
Defensive rating
108.8
51.0%
Effective FG%
53.4%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
17.7%
Turnover %
16.0%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.7%
3-point %
37.1%
49.5%
Assist %
52.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 107.3Defence106.7 · 108.8Shooting51.0% · 53.4%3-point %31.7% · 37.1%Ball care17.7% · 16.0%Off. rebounds27.0% · 22.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Treviso   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Treviso wins
0
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
26/01/20Pistoia v Treviso75-86
06/10/19Treviso v Pistoia87-72
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23ATortona82-68
17/12/23HTrento86-78
10/12/23ACremona76-70
03/12/23HBrindisi86-60
26/11/23APesaro76-95
19/11/23HBasket Napoli76-79
11/11/23AVirtus Bologna77-91
05/11/23HScafati87-97
29/10/23AReggiana83-90
22/10/23HVenezia77-82
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HVirtus Bologna70-91
17/12/23HPesaro73-74
09/12/23ATortona100-97
02/12/23HBasket Napoli81-76
26/11/23AOlimpia Milano86-81
19/11/23HSassari68-63
12/11/23AReggiana82-95
05/11/23HVenezia85-77
29/10/23ABrindisi78-72
22/10/23HBrescia72-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviso
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW31%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%33%29%
Points / game79.580.578.6
Allowed / game82.782.582.9
Point differential-3.2-2.0-4.3
Avg total162.2163.0161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL46%
HomeWWWLL43%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%43%50%
Points / game79.074.684.2
Allowed / game81.277.685.5
Point differential-2.2-3.0-1.3
Avg total160.2152.1169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1411379%86.374.7+11.6
2 Venezia1411379%81.476.3+5.1
3 Virtus Bologna139469%88.177.8+10.3
4 Trento149564%84.681.6+3.0
5 Olimpia Milano148657%78.774.6+4.1
6 Basket Napoli148657%85.782.4+3.3
7 Reggiana148657%84.682.9+1.8
8 Cremona147750%81.979.3+2.6
9 Scafati147750%86.486.6-0.2
10 Pistoia136746%79.081.2-2.2
11 Pesaro135838%80.886.5-5.6
12 Varese145936%85.289.9-4.6
13 Tortona145936%77.182.9-5.7
14 Sassari145936%74.684.1-9.6
15 Treviso134931%79.582.7-3.2
16 Brindisi1421214%71.982.6-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Treviso1923182686
Pistoia2321212489
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.