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Treviso vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 96-101
26-24 24-33 20-23 26-21
Position#13
Record4-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Varese 🏆
Italy
Position#12
Record5-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game89.9
ItalyLega ARound 15· PalaVerde
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Treviso v Varese
14 Feb 2027
TRV v VAR
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
TRV86
VAR83
23 Mar 2025
TRV88
VAR86
06 Jan 2024
TRV96
VAR101
02 Apr 2023
TRV95
VAR97
31 Oct 2021
TRV96
VAR78
18 Apr 2021
TRV94
VAR103
05 Jan 2020
TRV79
VAR84
25 Apr 2012
TRV55
VAR71
06 Nov 2010
TRV67
VAR72
21 Nov 2009
TRV86
VAR94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviso
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#5
L
83-90
83
90
-7
69avg 73
A29/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
87-97
87
97
-10
69avg 73
H05/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
68avg 73
A11/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
64avg 73
H19/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
76-95
76
95
-19
63avg 73
A26/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
86-60
86
60
+26
86avg 73
H03/12
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
76-70
76
70
+6
70avg 73
A10/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
86-78
86
78
+8
79avg 73
H17/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
82-68
82
68
+14
80avg 73
A23/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
86-89
86
89
-3
74avg 73
H30/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
20-20
15-23
25-21
25-24
27-21
17-23
18-29
16-23
19-22
12-27
30-19
14-24
19-18
28-14
15-23
21-26
18-22
13-28
24-19
23-5
22-18
14-19
27-18
24-13
7-26
21-13
24-18
27-24
17-17
27-18
15-19
14-13
19-25
24-16
25-14
19-23
23-21
18-21
26-24
163.2Avg total
81.5Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.983.1163.1-3.229%
Season at home (7)81.383.4164.7-2.129%
Season away (7)78.682.9161.4-4.329%
Last 10 (10)81.581.7163.2-0.240%
Last 5 (5)83.273.0156.2+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)79.988.7168.6-8.831%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.683.3166.9+0.443%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Scafati
#14
W
94-93
94
93
+1
92avg 84
H19/11
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
94-81
94
81
+13
94avg 84
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
L
73-116
73
116
-43
55avg 84
A26/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
68-75
68
75
-7
59avg 84
H03/12
Lega A
Chemnitz
#2
L
85-109
85
109
-24
72avg 84
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#15
L
81-86
81
86
-5
71avg 84
A10/12
Lega A
Leiden
#14
L
79-82
79
82
-3
74avg 84
H13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
70-74
70
74
-4
64avg 84
H17/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 84
A23/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
116-93
116
93
+23
121avg 84
H29/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
29-30
25-17
20-21
16-16
32-21
21-14
25-30
11-33
22-31
15-27
25-25
16-18
16-12
22-26
14-19
16-35
25-27
29-18
15-29
21-27
12-13
26-17
22-29
18-19
27-20
21-19
13-24
18-17
21-22
18-17
13-18
18-21
19-24
24-21
27-15
39-17
31-24
25-28
21-24
173.8Avg total
84.8Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.289.9175.1-4.636%
Season at home (8)85.482.6168.0+2.850%
Season away (6)85.099.5184.5-14.517%
Last 10 (10)84.889.0173.8-4.240%
Last 5 (5)86.883.2170.0+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.3102.3182.7-22.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)88.587.8176.3+0.744%
vs Weaker (7)92.182.4174.6+9.786%
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -3.9-3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -3.9-3.9
TrevisoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#5
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A29/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H05/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A11/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H19/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A26/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H03/12
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A10/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H17/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A23/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H30/12
Lega A
80.8Avg total
39.7Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.542.381.8-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.540.082.5+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)36.544.781.2-8.113%-
Last 10 (10)39.741.180.8-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.076.0+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.843.782.4-4.938%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.440.881.1-0.436%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#14
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H19/11
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
L
33-64
33
64
-31
A26/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H03/12
Lega A
Chemnitz
#2
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#15
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A10/12
Lega A
Leiden
#14
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H17/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A23/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
70-41
70
41
+29
H29/12
Lega A
87.9Avg total
42.7Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.044.688.6-0.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.242.689.8+4.653%-
Last 30 away (15)40.846.587.3-5.720%-
Last 10 (10)42.745.287.9-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)44.840.885.6+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.554.094.5-13.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)43.944.087.9-0.138%-
vs Weaker (7)48.438.687.0+9.971%-
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.2
52.2%
53.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.6
33.6%
35.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.916.3
74.4%
76.3%16.3
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.415.8
53.7%
53.1%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.512.1
37.2%
35.7%36.3
🏀 Free throws22.216.4
73.9%
76.3%16.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Treviso
LWWWWLLLLL
Varese
WWLLLLLLWW
#13
League position
#12
-0.5
Net rating
-4.7
107.0
Offensive rating
107.3
107.5
Defensive rating
112.0
51.4%
Effective FG%
54.8%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
17.4%
Turnover %
18.1%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
20.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.6%
3-point %
37.2%
48.9%
Assist %
55.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 107.3Defence107.5 · 112.0Shooting51.4% · 54.8%3-point %33.6% · 37.2%Ball care17.4% · 18.1%Off. rebounds27.2% · 20.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Treviso   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Treviso wins
7
Varese wins
DateGameScore
02/04/23Treviso v Varese95-97
30/10/22Varese v Treviso87-85
10/04/22Varese v Treviso80-89
31/10/21Treviso v Varese96-78
18/04/21Treviso v Varese94-103
27/12/20Varese v Treviso79-80
05/01/20Treviso v Varese79-84
25/04/12Treviso v Varese55-71
03/01/12Varese v Treviso96-80
19/02/11Varese v Treviso74-68
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HPistoia86-89
23/12/23ATortona82-68
17/12/23HTrento86-78
10/12/23ACremona76-70
03/12/23HBrindisi86-60
26/11/23APesaro76-95
19/11/23HBasket Napoli76-79
11/11/23AVirtus Bologna77-91
05/11/23HScafati87-97
29/10/23AReggiana83-90
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23HReggiana116-93
23/12/23APesaro88-81
17/12/23HOlimpia Milano70-74
13/12/23HLeiden79-82
10/12/23ABrindisi81-86
06/12/23AChemnitz85-109
03/12/23HCremona68-75
26/11/23ABrescia73-116
22/11/23ATSU94-81
19/11/23HScafati94-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviso
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL29%
HomeLLWWL29%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%29%29%
Points / game79.981.378.6
Allowed / game83.183.482.9
Point differential-3.2-2.1-4.3
Avg total163.1164.7161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW36%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %36%50%17%
Points / game85.285.485.0
Allowed / game89.982.699.5
Point differential-4.6+2.8-14.5
Avg total175.1168.0184.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)40% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1411379%86.374.7+11.6
2 Venezia1411379%81.476.3+5.1
3 Virtus Bologna1410471%87.776.9+10.8
4 Trento149564%84.681.6+3.0
5 Olimpia Milano148657%78.774.6+4.1
6 Basket Napoli148657%85.782.4+3.3
7 Reggiana148657%84.682.9+1.8
8 Cremona147750%81.979.3+2.6
9 Scafati147750%86.486.6-0.2
10 Pistoia147750%79.781.6-1.9
11 Varese145936%85.289.9-4.6
12 Tortona145936%77.182.9-5.7
13 Pesaro145936%79.886.2-6.4
14 Sassari145936%74.684.1-9.6
15 Treviso1441029%79.983.1-3.2
16 Brindisi1421214%71.982.6-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Treviso2624202696
Varese24332321101
← all games of the day
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