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Olimpia Milano vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 81-86
28-19 25-20 10-29 18-18
Position#1
Record5-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game74.5
vs
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
Position#10
Record3-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game79.6
ItalyLega ARound 9· Unipol Forum
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Pistoia
13 Apr 2025
MIL95
PIS80
26 Nov 2023
MIL81
PIS86
11 Nov 2019
MIL83
PIS63
21 Oct 2018
MIL107
PIS83
06 May 2018
MIL101
PIS74
27 Nov 2016
MIL104
PIS70
01 Nov 2015
MIL89
PIS71
10 May 2015
MIL78
PIS77
27 May 2014
MIL88
PIS78
21 May 2014
MIL87
PIS67
19 May 2014
MIL73
PIS59
04 Nov 2013
MIL75
PIS55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#16
L
82-90
82
90
-8
76avg 79
H29/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
90-98
90
98
-8
86avg 79
H31/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
66-72
66
72
-6
63avg 79
H02/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
W
87-57
87
57
+30
83avg 79
A05/11
Lega A
Valencia
#14
W
83-52
83
52
+31
79avg 79
H09/11
Euroleague
Scafati
#14
L
68-77
68
77
-9
57avg 79
A12/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
79-86
79
86
-7
74avg 79
A14/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
92-76
92
76
+16
96avg 79
H16/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
95-72
95
72
+23
98avg 79
H19/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
93-71
93
71
+22
88avg 79
A24/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
28-15
19-23
18-25
32-25
20-25
20-25
18-23
18-13
19-22
11-17
18-20
15-8
21-20
28-11
23-18
23-12
21-19
20-8
19-13
20-21
16-20
16-21
16-15
26-21
14-24
23-20
16-21
19-18
24-21
20-22
29-15
24-16
20-12
30-18
21-26
20-19
18-20
25-17
30-15
158.6Avg total
83.5Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.574.5155.0+6.062%
Season at home (4)85.577.5163.0+8.075%
Season away (4)75.571.5147.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)83.575.1158.6+8.450%
Last 5 (5)85.476.4161.8+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.088.0159.0-17.00%
vs Similar (16)79.974.8154.7+5.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.874.8157.5+8.067%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#7
L
67-78
67
78
-11
no box
A15/06
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
73-61
73
61
+12
no box
A17/06
Serie A2
Varese
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
74avg 68
A04/10
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
73-78
73
78
-5
58avg 68
H08/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
77-85
77
85
-8
64avg 68
A15/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
65avg 68
H22/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
78-72
78
72
+6
68avg 68
A29/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
85-77
85
77
+8
79avg 68
H05/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
82-95
82
95
-13
75avg 68
A12/11
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
68-63
68
63
+5
64avg 68
H19/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
15-21
19-12
8-17
20-14
21-15
14-16
18-16
24-27
26-17
23-18
9-21
14-25
28-12
20-25
11-16
16-21
14-22
23-22
24-20
12-19
19-19
17-28
24-18
18-18
19-18
23-20
18-16
25-17
18-19
22-24
20-17
30-29
18-19
10-21
24-26
24-17
18-17
10-15
16-14
153.3Avg total
75.7Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.179.6156.8-2.538%
Season at home (4)74.575.5150.0-1.050%
Season away (4)79.883.8163.5-4.025%
Last 10 (10)75.777.6153.3-1.940%
Last 5 (5)77.078.2155.2-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)78.580.5159.0-2.050%
vs Similar (22)71.574.5146.0-3.145%
vs Weaker (6)86.078.7164.7+7.383%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
Olimpia MilanoPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#16
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H29/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H31/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H02/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A05/11
Lega A
Valencia
#14
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H09/11
Euroleague
Scafati
#14
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A12/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H16/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H19/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/11
Euroleague
79.3Avg total
41.5Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.536.876.2+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.335.675.9+4.775%-
Last 30 away (14)38.538.176.6+0.436%-
Last 10 (10)41.537.879.3+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.478.6+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.042.084.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (16)38.837.876.6+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.835.275.9+5.675%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#7
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A15/06
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A17/06
Serie A2
Varese
#12
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A04/10
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H08/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A15/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H22/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A29/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A12/11
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H19/11
Lega A
79.8Avg total
40.4Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.139.277.3-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.834.471.2+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)39.544.083.5-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)40.439.479.8+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.478.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)37.037.074.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (22)37.938.176.0-0.250%-
vs Weaker (6)39.544.083.5-4.517%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.817.3
51.2%
53.1%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.911.2
41.6%
35.7%33.6
🏀 Free throws18.113.5
74.6%
76.3%13.5
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.1
49.7%
53.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.9
34.9%
35.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.712.4
70.1%
76.3%12.4
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWWLLWWLLL
Pistoia
WLWWLLLLWL
#1
League position
#10
+9.5
Net rating
-4.3
115.3
Offensive rating
105.1
105.8
Defensive rating
109.4
56.2%
Effective FG%
50.8%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
17.2%
Turnover %
15.5%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
41.6%
3-point %
34.9%
59.6%
Assist %
50.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 105.1Defence105.8 · 109.4Shooting56.2% · 50.8%3-point %41.6% · 34.9%Ball care17.2% · 15.5%Off. rebounds30.0% · 25.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Pistoia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/23ACrvena zvezda93-71
19/11/23HVenezia95-72
16/11/23HAnadolu Efes92-76
14/11/23AVirtus Bologna79-86
12/11/23AScafati68-77
09/11/23HValencia83-52
05/11/23ABrindisi87-57
02/11/23HMonaco66-72
31/10/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv90-98
29/10/23HPesaro82-90
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23HSassari68-63
12/11/23AReggiana82-95
05/11/23HVenezia85-77
29/10/23ABrindisi78-72
22/10/23HBrescia72-84
15/10/23AScafati77-85
08/10/23HTrento73-78
04/10/23AVarese82-83
17/06/23ABasket Torino73-61
15/06/23ABasket Torino67-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game80.585.575.5
Allowed / game74.577.571.5
Point differential+6.0+8.0+4.0
Avg total155.0163.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW38%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game77.174.579.8
Allowed / game79.675.583.8
Point differential-2.5-1.0-4.0
Avg total156.8150.0163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna87188%89.577.6+11.9
2 Venezia97278%81.476.2+5.2
3 Brescia86275%84.175.6+8.5
4 Basket Napoli86275%87.180.8+6.4
5 Trento86275%83.981.5+2.4
6 Olimpia Milano85362%80.574.5+6.0
7 Reggiana95456%83.983.7+0.2
8 Cremona84450%90.485.9+4.5
9 Tortona84450%77.479.4-2.0
10 Scafati94544%88.888.4+0.3
11 Pistoia83538%77.179.6-2.5
12 Varese83538%87.191.6-4.5
13 Pesaro83538%82.487.4-5.0
14 Sassari93633%76.183.8-7.7
15 Treviso8080%78.488.0-9.6
16 Brindisi8080%67.681.5-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2825101881
Pistoia1920291886
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