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Treviso vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 91-88
18-25 18-17 21-18 34-28
Position#11
Record3-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game85.1
Treviso 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record3-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game81.1
ItalyLega ARound 9· PalaVerde
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Treviso v Pistoia
30 Nov 2024
TRV91
PIS88
30 Dec 2023
TRV86
PIS89
06 Oct 2019
TRV87
PIS72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviso
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
100-95
100
95
+5
97avg 73
A28/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
87-74
87
74
+13
76avg 73
H05/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
78-75
78
75
+3
72avg 73
A29/09
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
71-87
71
87
-16
62avg 73
H05/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
64-88
64
88
-24
46avg 73
A12/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
76-83
76
83
-7
56avg 73
H20/10
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
95-100
95
100
-5
84avg 73
H26/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
97-104
97
104
-7
90avg 73
A03/11
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
104-75
104
75
+29
99avg 73
H10/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
84-69
84
69
+15
78avg 73
A17/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-19
27-30
19-25
23-21
25-15
28-22
19-22
15-15
24-23
21-15
19-16
14-21
19-21
22-18
12-23
18-25
12-17
26-16
12-24
14-31
16-23
16-25
24-18
20-17
29-27
28-25
12-22
26-26
27-27
27-21
21-36
22-20
26-17
9-28
35-14
34-16
15-15
22-22
18-16
29-16
170.6Avg total
85.6Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.685.1168.8-1.538%
Season at home (4)86.586.2172.8+0.225%
Season away (4)80.884.0164.8-3.250%
Last 10 (10)85.685.0170.6+0.650%
Last 5 (5)91.286.2177.4+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.587.3164.8-9.825%
vs Similar (17)84.882.3167.1+2.565%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)104.075.0179.0+29.0100%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
75-97
75
97
-22
62avg 70
A14/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
77-98
77
98
-21
63avg 70
H17/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 70
H29/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
68-84
68
84
-16
56avg 70
A06/10
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
66-65
66
65
+1
63avg 70
A13/10
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
64-77
64
77
-13
53avg 70
H20/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
95-102
95
102
-7
95avg 70
A27/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
73-70
73
70
+3
66avg 70
H03/11
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
75-77
75
77
-2
70avg 70
A10/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
88-92
88
92
-4
78avg 70
H17/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
15-16
17-25
24-26
13-31
17-28
25-16
22-23
29-24
27-19
10-20
22-19
19-32
20-19
10-17
19-16
12-14
21-11
16-20
17-20
18-20
14-14
17-24
15-19
18-26
32-21
14-31
31-24
16-24
15-16
23-14
19-16
21-15
16-14
18-32
20-16
21-22
27-23
24-27
16-20
161.3Avg total
76.9Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.181.1158.2-4.038%
Season at home (4)78.280.2158.5-2.050%
Season away (4)76.082.0158.0-6.025%
Last 10 (10)76.984.4161.3-7.530%
Last 5 (5)79.083.6162.6-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)75.982.6158.5-6.639%
vs Similar (11)86.189.6175.7-3.545%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
TrevisoPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A28/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H05/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A29/09
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H05/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A12/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H20/10
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H26/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A03/11
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H10/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A17/11
Lega A
87.6Avg total
45.0Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.783.3-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.241.782.9-0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)42.041.783.7+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)45.042.687.6+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.046.089.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.342.883.1-2.458%-
vs Similar (17)42.940.783.6+2.253%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)35.045.080.0-10.00%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A14/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
30-59
30
59
-29
H17/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H29/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A06/10
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A13/10
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H20/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A27/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H03/11
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A10/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H17/11
Lega A
80.9Avg total
39.0Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.144.082.1-5.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.443.681.9-5.229%-
Last 30 away (16)37.944.382.2-6.438%-
Last 10 (10)39.041.980.9-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.078.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)36.442.478.8-6.139%-
vs Similar (11)41.447.288.5-5.827%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.8
53.4%
52.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.7
40.1%
35.8%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.813.4
75.3%
76.8%13.4
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.419.5
47.1%
52.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.7
34.2%
35.8%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.114.0
73.3%
76.8%14.0
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Treviso
WWLLLLLWWW
Pistoia
LLWLLWLWLL
#11
League position
#16
+1.0
Net rating
-9.7
110.1
Offensive rating
100.8
109.1
Defensive rating
110.5
56.2%
Effective FG%
48.6%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
17.3%
Turnover %
16.6%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
40.1%
3-point %
34.2%
49.2%
Assist %
57.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 100.8Defence109.1 · 110.5Shooting56.2% · 48.6%3-point %40.1% · 34.2%Ball care17.3% · 16.6%Off. rebounds24.3% · 24.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Treviso   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Treviso wins
1
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
23/03/24Pistoia v Treviso83-84
30/12/23Treviso v Pistoia86-89
26/01/20Pistoia v Treviso75-86
06/10/19Treviso v Pistoia87-72
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24ABasket Napoli84-69
10/11/24HScafati104-75
03/11/24AVirtus Bologna97-104
26/10/24HTrieste95-100
20/10/24HTrento76-83
12/10/24AReggiana64-88
05/10/24HTrapani71-87
29/09/24AVenezia78-75
05/05/24HTortona87-74
28/04/24AVarese100-95
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24HTrento88-92
10/11/24ASassari75-77
03/11/24HReggiana73-70
27/10/24AVarese95-102
20/10/24HVenezia64-77
13/10/24ACremona66-65
06/10/24AVirtus Bologna68-84
29/09/24HBasket Napoli88-82
17/05/24HBrescia77-98
14/05/24ABrescia75-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviso
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game83.686.580.8
Allowed / game85.186.284.0
Point differential-1.5+0.2-3.2
Avg total168.8172.8164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game77.178.276.0
Allowed / game81.180.282.0
Point differential-4.0-2.0-6.0
Avg total158.2158.5158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento880100%88.277.0+11.2
2 Virtus Bologna87188%87.882.5+5.2
3 Trapani86275%93.985.4+8.5
4 Brescia86275%91.486.5+4.9
5 Olimpia Milano86275%83.682.0+1.6
6 Trieste85362%89.286.2+3.0
7 Reggiana85362%78.076.1+1.9
8 Tortona84450%82.981.2+1.6
9 Venezia83538%72.973.8-0.9
10 Treviso83538%83.685.1-1.5
11 Scafati83538%84.888.2-3.5
12 Pistoia83538%77.181.1-4.0
13 Sassari82625%81.686.5-4.9
14 Varese82625%95.1103.6-8.5
15 Cremona81712%76.582.2-5.8
16 Basket Napoli8080%79.888.8-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Treviso1818213491
Pistoia2517182888
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