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Pistoia vs Basket Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 81-76
19-21 20-19 14-18 28-18
Position#10
Record4-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game79.8
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
vs
Basket Napoli
Italy
Position#7
Record7-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game79.6
ItalyLega ARound 10· PalaCarrara
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Pistoia v Basket Napoli
29 Sep 2024
PIS88
NAP82
02 Dec 2023
PIS81
NAP76
28 May 2021
PIS74
NAP85
24 Feb 2021
PIS51
NAP65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#7
W
73-61
73
61
+12
no box
A17/06
Serie A2
Varese
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
74avg 69
A04/10
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
73-78
73
78
-5
58avg 69
H08/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
77-85
77
85
-8
64avg 69
A15/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
65avg 69
H22/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
78-72
78
72
+6
68avg 69
A29/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
85-77
85
77
+8
79avg 69
H05/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
82-95
82
95
-13
75avg 69
A12/11
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
68-63
68
63
+5
64avg 69
H19/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
86-81
86
81
+5
71avg 69
A26/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
21-15
14-16
18-16
24-27
26-17
23-18
9-21
14-25
28-12
20-25
11-16
16-21
14-22
23-22
24-20
12-19
19-19
17-28
24-18
18-18
19-18
23-20
18-16
25-17
18-19
22-24
20-17
30-29
18-19
10-21
24-26
24-17
18-17
10-15
16-14
19-28
20-25
29-10
18-18
155.5Avg total
77.6Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.179.8157.9-1.744%
Season at home (4)74.575.5150.0-1.050%
Season away (5)81.083.2164.2-2.240%
Last 10 (10)77.677.9155.5-0.350%
Last 5 (5)79.877.6157.4+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.080.7161.7+0.367%
vs Similar ◀ (22)71.574.5146.0-3.145%
vs Weaker (5)86.078.8164.8+7.280%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Verona
#16
W
88-82
88
82
+6
74avg 73
A07/05
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
111-90
111
90
+21
110avg 73
A01/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
77-68
77
68
+9
74avg 73
H08/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
71-80
71
80
-9
60avg 73
A15/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
90-71
90
71
+19
86avg 73
H22/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
75-88
75
88
-13
68avg 73
H30/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
97-77
97
77
+20
92avg 73
A04/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
97-96
97
96
+1
86avg 73
H11/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
79-76
79
76
+3
70avg 73
A19/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
77avg 73
H26/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
22-31
13-16
28-19
27-19
28-21
31-22
25-28
23-13
12-22
23-12
19-21
22-23
16-18
19-18
14-21
21-14
26-15
25-16
18-26
22-23
6-23
20-21
27-21
19-25
28-12
24-18
26-22
22-18
19-27
22-21
34-30
24-14
18-19
14-28
23-15
12-18
23-16
14-15
31-21
166.3Avg total
86.5Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.379.6165.9+6.878%
Season at home (5)83.878.6162.4+5.280%
Season away (4)89.580.8170.2+8.875%
Last 10 (10)86.579.8166.3+6.780%
Last 5 (5)85.681.4167.0+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)80.885.1165.9-4.436%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.580.9161.4-0.464%
vs Weaker (2)93.574.0167.5+19.5100%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.1+2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.1+2.1
PistoiaBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#7
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A17/06
Serie A2
Varese
#12
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A04/10
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H08/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A15/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H22/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A29/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A12/11
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H19/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A26/11
Lega A
80.1Avg total
40.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.439.678.1-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.334.071.3+3.364%-
Last 30 away (16)39.444.684.0-5.125%-
Last 10 (10)40.339.880.1+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.483.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.742.380.0-4.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)37.938.176.0-0.250%-
vs Weaker (5)41.444.886.2-3.420%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#16
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A07/05
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A01/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H08/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A15/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H22/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H30/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A04/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H11/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A19/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H26/11
Lega A
80.2Avg total
41.5Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.479.9-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.840.281.1+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)38.140.578.6-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)41.538.780.2+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.077.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.442.482.9-2.043%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.639.477.0-1.743%-
vs Weaker (2)47.033.080.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.417.9
47.9%
53.1%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.4
35.5%
35.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.213.1
72.0%
76.3%13.1
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.1
51.9%
53.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.411.5
39.1%
35.7%34.5
🏀 Free throws18.714.8
79.1%
76.3%14.8
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
WWLWWLLLLW
Basket Napoli
WWWWLWLWWW
#10
League position
#7
-5.1
Net rating
+8.4
103.1
Offensive rating
110.2
108.2
Defensive rating
101.8
50.1%
Effective FG%
55.0%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.3%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.5%
3-point %
39.1%
50.9%
Assist %
59.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 110.2Defence108.2 · 101.8Shooting50.1% · 55.0%3-point %35.5% · 39.1%Ball care15.5% · 17.3%Off. rebounds24.2% · 24.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Pistoia   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pistoia wins
5
Basket Napoli wins
DateGameScore
28/05/21Pistoia v Basket Napoli74-85
25/05/21Basket Napoli v Pistoia80-70
23/05/21Basket Napoli v Pistoia92-78
24/02/21Pistoia v Basket Napoli51-65
10/02/21Basket Napoli v Pistoia79-64
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23AOlimpia Milano86-81
19/11/23HSassari68-63
12/11/23AReggiana82-95
05/11/23HVenezia85-77
29/10/23ABrindisi78-72
22/10/23HBrescia72-84
15/10/23AScafati77-85
08/10/23HTrento73-78
04/10/23AVarese82-83
17/06/23ABasket Torino73-61
Basket Napolilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23HCremona80-70
19/11/23ATreviso79-76
11/11/23HVarese97-96
04/11/23APesaro97-77
30/10/23HVirtus Bologna75-88
22/10/23HBrindisi90-71
15/10/23ABrescia71-80
08/10/23HOlimpia Milano77-68
01/10/23ASassari111-90
07/05/23AVerona88-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW44%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game78.174.581.0
Allowed / game79.875.583.2
Point differential-1.7-1.0-2.2
Avg total157.9150.0164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Napoli
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW78%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%80%75%
Points / game86.383.889.5
Allowed / game79.678.680.8
Point differential+6.8+5.2+8.8
Avg total165.9162.4170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia97278%87.775.3+12.3
2 Virtus Bologna97278%87.978.2+9.7
3 Basket Napoli97278%86.379.6+6.8
4 Venezia97278%81.476.2+5.2
5 Trento96367%83.481.7+1.8
6 Olimpia Milano95456%80.675.8+4.8
7 Reggiana95456%83.983.7+0.2
8 Tortona95456%78.079.4-1.4
9 Cremona94544%88.185.2+2.9
10 Scafati94544%88.888.4+0.3
11 Pistoia94544%78.179.8-1.7
12 Pesaro94544%83.886.1-2.3
13 Sassari93633%76.183.8-7.7
14 Varese93633%85.694.3-8.8
15 Brindisi91811%69.380.8-11.4
16 Treviso9090%78.188.8-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia1920142881
Basket Napoli2119181876
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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