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Treviso vs Virtus Roma Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 02 May 2021
Tip-off: 18:30
Scheduled
Position#7
Record14-14
FormWWLLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game88.1
vs
Position#16
Record2-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game87.7
ItalyLega ARound 30
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Treviso v Virtus Roma
02 May 2021
TRV v VRO
upcoming
22 Mar 2020
TRV v VRO
upcoming
10 Dec 2011
TRV93
VRO79
27 Feb 2011
TRV86
VRO72
17 Oct 2009
TRV92
VRO85
08 Apr 2009
TRV79
VRO62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviso win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Roma win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A28/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H07/03
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H14/03
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A21/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
95-76
95
76
+19
H28/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
97-89
97
89
+8
A03/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
89-85
89
85
+4
H11/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
94-103
94
103
-9
H18/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
68-97
68
97
-29
A21/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
62-82
62
82
-20
A25/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
22-26
12-23
16-17
20-25
18-14
11-20
29-13
24-21
17-23
19-17
24-17
22-13
26-25
22-22
16-25
19-19
24-13
28-26
24-18
28-30
22-21
26-16
21-22
19-22
32-16
23-26
15-21
28-25
24-21
25-33
17-24
15-27
17-24
20-24
16-22
15-19
9-22
19-16
19-25
167.9Avg total
82.9Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)84.088.1172.2-4.150%
Season at home (14)86.986.9173.9+0.057%
Season away (14)81.189.4170.5-8.243%
Last 10 (10)82.985.0167.9-2.160%
Last 5 (5)82.091.2173.2-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.494.0172.4-15.610%
vs Similar (19)86.484.1170.5+2.374%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)80.062.0142.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#4
L
62-98
62
98
-36
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H27/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A04/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
72-92
72
92
-20
H11/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A18/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H25/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A31/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
71-89
71
89
-18
H08/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
88-98
88
98
-10
A15/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
85-101
85
101
-16
A22/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
20-20
12-32
17-27
20-20
24-12
20-28
17-16
15-22
14-25
20-27
18-18
10-21
13-23
21-18
28-30
16-25
14-28
17-24
24-16
14-18
18-22
17-23
20-21
18-29
16-12
20-10
16-13
15-28
28-24
10-14
18-23
17-20
16-28
28-23
27-27
21-23
15-23
27-28
22-27
162.3Avg total
73.6Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.987.7162.6-12.822%
Season at home (4)73.285.2158.5-12.025%
Season away (5)76.289.6165.8-13.420%
Last 10 (10)73.688.7162.3-15.120%
Last 5 (5)76.687.2163.8-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)74.490.9165.3-16.415%
vs Similar (2)81.076.5157.5+4.550%
vs Weaker (1)92.083.0175.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Treviso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -6.6-6.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.1-1.1
TrevisoVirtus Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A28/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H07/03
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H14/03
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A21/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H28/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A03/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H11/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H18/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A21/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A25/04
Lega A
85.0Avg total
42.7Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.542.686.1+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.643.187.7+1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)42.442.284.6+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.385.0+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.845.487.2-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.145.086.1-3.930%-
vs Similar (19)44.741.886.6+2.953%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)44.034.078.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H27/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A04/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H11/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A18/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H25/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A31/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H08/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A15/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A22/11
Lega A
77.9Avg total
33.7Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.947.184.0-10.220%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.445.381.6-8.929%-
Last 30 away (16)37.348.786.0-11.412%-
Last 10 (10)33.744.277.9-10.510%-
Last 5 (5)35.645.481.0-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)35.948.284.1-12.311%-
vs Similar (2)46.535.582.0+11.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)44.040.084.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Treviso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.920.1
48.0%
51.2%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.2
32.9%
35.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.017.5
79.5%
75.8%17.5
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.9
52.8%
51.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.4
31.5%
35.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.011.2
65.9%
75.8%11.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Treviso
LLLWWWWWWL
Virtus Roma
LLLWLLLLWL
#7
League position
#16
-2.5
Net rating
-16.4
109.2
Offensive rating
100.3
111.7
Defensive rating
116.7
48.5%
Effective FG%
50.7%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
13.9%
Turnover %
16.6%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.9%
3-point %
31.5%
52.3%
Assist %
56.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 100.3Defence111.7 · 116.7Shooting48.5% · 50.7%3-point %32.9% · 31.5%Ball care13.9% · 16.6%Off. rebounds29.0% · 21.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Treviso   ■ Virtus Roma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Treviso wins
4
Virtus Roma wins
DateGameScore
24/11/19Virtus Roma v Treviso69-81
01/04/12Virtus Roma v Treviso102-99 OT
10/12/11Treviso v Virtus Roma93-79
27/02/11Treviso v Virtus Roma86-72
14/11/10Virtus Roma v Treviso84-73
07/02/10Virtus Roma v Treviso100-76
17/10/09Treviso v Virtus Roma92-85
08/04/09Treviso v Virtus Roma79-62
14/12/08Virtus Roma v Treviso96-75
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/21AVenezia62-82
21/04/21AVirtus Bologna68-97
18/04/21HVarese94-103
11/04/21HSassari89-85
03/04/21APesaro97-89
28/03/21HTrieste95-76
21/03/21ACremona86-85
14/03/21HFortitudo Bologna84-78
07/03/21HReggiana78-72
28/02/21ACantu76-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/20ACantu85-101
15/11/20AVarese88-98
08/11/20HVenezia71-89
31/10/20ABrescia70-64
25/10/20HPesaro69-84
18/10/20AOlimpia Milano71-93
11/10/20HSassari72-92
04/10/20ABrindisi67-92
27/09/20HFortitudo Bologna81-76
14/09/20ABrindisi62-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviso
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWWWWL57%
AwayLWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %50%57%43%
Points / game84.086.981.1
Allowed / game88.186.989.4
Point differential-4.1+0.0-8.2
Avg total172.2173.9170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%21%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Roma
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game74.973.276.2
Allowed / game87.785.289.6
Point differential-12.8-12.0-13.4
Avg total162.6158.5165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2822679%85.975.1+10.7
2 Brindisi2620677%85.277.5+7.7
3 Virtus Bologna2719870%85.776.9+8.8
4 Venezia2819968%81.276.7+4.5
5 Sassari2718967%89.785.7+4.0
6 Treviso28141450%84.088.1-4.1
7 Trieste27131448%80.280.3-0.1
8 Trento26111542%77.679.7-2.1
9 Cremona27111641%85.386.0-0.6
10 Pesaro28111739%81.183.8-2.7
11 Varese28111739%81.686.2-4.6
12 Reggiana27101737%76.281.1-4.9
13 Brescia28101836%81.384.8-3.5
14 Fortitudo Bologna28101836%77.681.6-4.0
15 Cantu2891932%77.682.0-4.4
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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