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Treviso vs Virtus Roma Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 17:15
Postponed
Position#13
Record8-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#15
Record7-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game85.5
ItalyLega ARound 27
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Treviso v Virtus Roma
02 May 2021
TRV v VRO
upcoming
22 Mar 2020
TRV v VRO
upcoming
10 Dec 2011
TRV93
VRO79
27 Feb 2011
TRV86
VRO72
17 Oct 2009
TRV92
VRO85
08 Apr 2009
TRV79
VRO62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviso win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Roma win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#12
W
91-83
91
83
+8
H08/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A15/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
79-101
79
101
-22
H27/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A29/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H05/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
67-91
67
91
-24
A12/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
84-94
84
94
-10
H18/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A26/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H02/02
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
22-28
26-14
28-17
17-20
24-15
17-21
16-21
18-29
16-22
25-28
20-22
20-17
17-21
16-26
21-17
17-23
27-14
11-22
24-25
22-19
19-22
15-20
11-30
19-29
27-18
18-19
20-28
29-13
20-20
9-24
28-18
18-15
21-14
21-22
18-15
23-25
14-13
14-15
22-26
161.6Avg total
78.5Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.179.2156.4-2.138%
Season at home (10)79.879.7159.5+0.160%
Season away (11)74.778.8153.5-4.118%
Last 10 (10)78.583.1161.6-4.630%
Last 5 (5)77.681.0158.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.082.4156.4-8.422%
vs Similar (8)76.978.9155.8-2.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)80.565.4145.8+15.1100%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A14/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
53-83
53
83
-30
H22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
68-97
68
97
-29
H12/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
A19/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
92-103
92
103
-11
A26/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H02/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
92-95
92
95
-3
A08/02
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H07/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-30
17-22
13-15
28-15
15-25
13-22
12-16
13-20
17-10
26-30
21-18
13-21
19-31
22-27
25-16
22-22
14-22
15-28
21-21
18-26
15-20
20-12
23-23
18-21
22-32
29-26
24-22
17-23
21-21
27-15
14-25
18-20
18-22
23-19
16-28
35-26
19-24
16-30
27-19
26-20
170.4Avg total
80.7Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.585.5164.0-7.032%
Season at home (11)76.783.2159.9-6.536%
Season away (11)80.387.7168.0-7.527%
Last 10 (10)80.789.7170.4-9.010%
Last 5 (5)86.692.0178.6-5.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.587.8166.3-9.420%
vs Similar (5)75.275.2150.4+0.040%
vs Weaker (5)88.275.4163.6+12.8100%
This opponent (Treviso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
TrevisoVirtus Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#12
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H08/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A15/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H27/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A29/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H05/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A12/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H18/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A26/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H02/02
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A09/02
Lega A
80.6Avg total
40.5Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.535.576.0+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.635.373.9+3.464%-
Last 30 away (16)42.135.677.8+6.562%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.180.6+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.680.0+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.338.276.6+0.133%-
vs Similar (8)41.640.482.0+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.330.571.8+10.892%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A14/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H12/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A19/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A26/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H02/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A08/02
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H07/03
Lega A
86.6Avg total
39.8Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.443.283.6-2.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.741.782.3-1.067%-
Last 30 away (15)40.144.884.9-4.727%-
Last 10 (10)39.846.886.6-7.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.044.286.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)38.546.084.5-7.530%-
vs Similar (5)42.835.478.2+7.480%-
vs Weaker (5)45.639.885.4+5.880%-
This opponent (Treviso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.3
49.1%
52.0%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.5
36.0%
35.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws14.911.4
76.5%
73.6%11.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.524.3
54.6%
52.0%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.7
32.1%
35.1%20.1
🏀 Free throws16.511.3
68.5%
73.6%11.3
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Treviso
LWWLLLLLLW
Virtus Roma
LLLLLLLLLW
#13
League position
#15
-6.6
Net rating
-9.5
110.6
Offensive rating
107.4
117.2
Defensive rating
116.9
51.3%
Effective FG%
52.5%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.9%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.0%
3-point %
32.1%
54.0%
Assist %
51.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 107.4Defence117.2 · 116.9Shooting51.3% · 52.5%3-point %36.0% · 32.1%Ball care15.8% · 16.9%Off. rebounds30.6% · 29.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Treviso   ■ Virtus Roma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Treviso wins
4
Virtus Roma wins
DateGameScore
24/11/19Virtus Roma v Treviso69-81
01/04/12Virtus Roma v Treviso102-99 OT
10/12/11Treviso v Virtus Roma93-79
27/02/11Treviso v Virtus Roma86-72
14/11/10Virtus Roma v Treviso84-73
07/02/10Virtus Roma v Treviso100-76
17/10/09Treviso v Virtus Roma92-85
08/04/09Treviso v Virtus Roma79-62
14/12/08Virtus Roma v Treviso96-75
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20AVenezia73-79
02/02/20HFortitudo Bologna78-66
26/01/20APistoia86-75
18/01/20HCremona84-94
12/01/20AOlimpia Milano67-91
05/01/20HVarese79-84
29/12/19ABrindisi74-81
27/12/19HSassari79-101
15/12/19ACantu74-77
08/12/19HReggiana91-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HSassari88-93
08/02/20AFortitudo Bologna92-95
02/02/20HPistoia80-81
26/01/20ACremona92-103
19/01/20ABrindisi81-88 OT
12/01/20HVirtus Bologna68-97
29/12/19AReggiana88-96
26/12/19AVenezia77-79
22/12/19HBrescia53-83
14/12/19ATrento88-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviso
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeWLLLW60%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%60%18%
Points / game77.179.874.7
Allowed / game79.279.778.8
Point differential-2.1+0.1-4.1
Avg total156.4159.5153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Roma
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL32%
HomeWLLLL36%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%36%27%
Points / game78.576.780.3
Allowed / game85.583.287.7
Point differential-7.0-6.5-7.5
Avg total164.0159.9168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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