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Pesaro vs Treviso Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 89-97
30-28 21-22 16-26 22-21
Position#10
Record10-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Treviso 🏆
Italy
Position#7
Record12-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game87.5
ItalyLega ARound 25
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Pesaro v Treviso
26 Nov 2023
PES95
TRV76
08 Jan 2023
PES101
TRV72
30 Jan 2022
PES105
TRV108
03 Apr 2021
PES89
TRV97
08 Mar 2020
PES v TRV
upcoming
20 Nov 2011
PES83
TRV73
19 Mar 2011
PES65
TRV71
14 Feb 2010
PES84
TRV94
29 Mar 2009
PES54
TRV81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Treviso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
W
107-83
107
83
+24
H24/01
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H31/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A07/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
115-110 OT
115
110
+5
A12/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#3
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A13/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
59-87
59
87
-28
A14/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#9
L
78-100
78
100
-22
A07/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A14/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H20/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A29/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
27-18
29-14
25-31
20-19
14-13
15-15
16-31
26-15
13-21
19-15
23-19
24-26
25-27
21-23
29-23
15-12
26-16
11-17
22-24
15-21
6-27
15-26
23-13
16-24
15-22
22-27
25-27
18-26
10-14
21-21
19-20
9-15
19-22
21-20
21-18
16-25
19-22
21-22
23-22
164.0Avg total
79.6Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.482.5163.9-1.143%
Season at home (11)81.878.7160.5+3.155%
Season away (12)81.086.0167.0-5.033%
Last 10 (10)79.684.4164.0-4.840%
Last 5 (5)70.886.8157.6-16.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.285.3163.5-7.130%
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.680.9161.5-0.250%
vs Weaker (3)92.361.7154.0+30.7100%
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
L
86-88
86
88
-2
H03/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A17/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H24/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
94-91
94
91
+3
A31/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
90-108
90
108
-18
H07/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A28/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H07/03
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H14/03
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A21/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
95-76
95
76
+19
H28/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
27-20
22-16
15-24
15-21
26-15
16-18
25-22
22-23
20-22
23-20
12-17
36-17
25-16
20-29
13-29
27-25
20-23
15-26
28-34
26-17
22-26
12-23
16-17
20-25
18-14
11-20
29-13
24-21
17-23
19-17
24-17
22-13
26-25
22-22
16-25
19-19
24-13
28-26
24-18
168.7Avg total
84.8Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.587.5172.0-3.052%
Season at home (12)86.285.8171.9+0.458%
Season away (11)82.689.4172.0-6.745%
Last 10 (10)84.883.9168.7+0.960%
Last 5 (5)83.878.8162.6+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.894.4174.1-14.60%
vs Similar ◀ (20)84.882.6167.4+2.270%
vs Weaker (2)78.571.5150.0+7.050%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
PesaroTreviso
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H24/01
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H31/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A07/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A12/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#3
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A13/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
21-48
21
48
-27
A14/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#9
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A07/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A14/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H20/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A29/03
Lega A
76.4Avg total
35.9Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.078.1+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.536.574.9+2.054%-
Last 30 away (17)39.641.080.6-1.441%-
Last 10 (10)35.940.576.4-4.640%-
Last 5 (5)28.643.672.2-15.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.139.478.5-0.360%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.440.077.4-2.631%-
vs Weaker (3)45.028.073.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H03/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A17/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H24/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
61-33
61
33
+28
A31/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H07/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A28/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H07/03
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H14/03
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A21/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H28/03
Lega A
86.4Avg total
45.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.484.7+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.942.385.1+0.640%-
Last 30 away (15)43.740.584.2+3.353%-
Last 10 (10)45.840.686.4+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.282.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.644.887.4-2.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)43.940.484.3+3.555%-
vs Weaker (2)40.037.577.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.617.7
47.1%
51.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.6
35.7%
35.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.912.9
76.3%
75.8%12.9
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.7
51.7%
51.2%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.6
38.2%
35.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.016.0
80.0%
75.8%16.0
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLLLWWWLW
Treviso
WWWWLLWLWL
#10
League position
#7
-7.4
Net rating
+1.7
108.2
Offensive rating
112.2
115.6
Defensive rating
110.4
49.9%
Effective FG%
54.0%
58.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
14.5%
Turnover %
15.3%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.7%
3-point %
38.2%
63.3%
Assist %
52.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 112.2Defence115.6 · 110.4Shooting49.9% · 54.0%3-point %35.7% · 38.2%Ball care14.5% · 15.3%Off. rebounds27.5% · 25.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Pesaro   ■ Treviso
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pesaro wins
8
Treviso wins
DateGameScore
06/12/20Treviso v Pesaro91-81
03/11/19Treviso v Pesaro85-75
07/03/12Treviso v Pesaro66-77
20/11/11Pesaro v Treviso83-73
19/03/11Pesaro v Treviso65-71
27/11/10Treviso v Pesaro91-59
14/02/10Pesaro v Treviso84-94
25/10/09Treviso v Pesaro86-84
29/03/09Pesaro v Treviso54-81
06/12/08Treviso v Pesaro103-97 OT
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/21AReggiana79-91
20/03/21HVirtus Bologna70-75
14/03/21AVarese68-81
07/03/21ACremona78-100
14/02/21AOlimpia Milano59-87
13/02/21ABrindisi74-69
12/02/21ASassari115-110 OT
07/02/21ATrento81-70
31/01/21HVenezia65-78
24/01/21HCantu107-83
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/21HTrieste95-76
21/03/21ACremona86-85
14/03/21HFortitudo Bologna84-78
07/03/21HReggiana78-72
28/02/21ACantu76-83
07/02/21HBrindisi90-108
31/01/21ABrescia94-91
24/01/21HOlimpia Milano77-82
17/01/21ATrento82-76
03/01/21HVenezia86-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL43%
HomeWWWLL55%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %43%55%33%
Points / game81.481.881.0
Allowed / game82.578.786.0
Point differential-1.1+3.1-5.0
Avg total163.9160.5167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%45%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Treviso
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW52%
HomeLLWWW58%
AwayLWWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %52%58%45%
Points / game84.586.282.6
Allowed / game87.585.889.4
Point differential-3.0+0.4-6.7
Avg total172.0171.9172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2319483%86.374.0+12.3
2 Brindisi2318578%86.278.4+7.8
3 Sassari2115671%90.985.3+5.6
4 Virtus Bologna2316770%84.577.0+7.5
5 Venezia2415962%80.477.0+3.4
6 Treviso23121152%84.587.5-3.0
7 Trieste23111248%80.480.2+0.2
8 Pesaro23101343%81.482.5-1.1
9 Trento2391439%77.679.7-2.2
10 Brescia2391439%81.284.2-3.0
11 Varese2391439%81.586.4-4.9
12 Cremona2381535%85.487.6-2.2
13 Fortitudo Bologna2381535%77.582.0-4.4
14 Reggiana2381535%75.581.0-5.5
15 Cantu2481633%78.683.5-5.0
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro3021162289
Treviso2822262197
← all games of the day
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