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Treviso vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 94-103
28-25 24-21 25-33 17-24
Position#7
Record14-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game87.4
vs
Varese 🏆
Italy
Position#12
Record10-16
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game86.2
ItalyLega ARound 28
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Treviso v Varese
14 Feb 2027
TRV v VAR
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
TRV86
VAR83
23 Mar 2025
TRV88
VAR86
06 Jan 2024
TRV96
VAR101
02 Apr 2023
TRV95
VAR97
31 Oct 2021
TRV96
VAR78
18 Apr 2021
TRV94
VAR103
05 Jan 2020
TRV79
VAR84
25 Apr 2012
TRV55
VAR71
06 Nov 2010
TRV67
VAR72
21 Nov 2009
TRV86
VAR94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviso
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
64avg 77
H24/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
94-91
94
91
+3
94avg 77
A31/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
90-108
90
108
-18
77avg 77
H07/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
76-83
76
83
-7
67avg 77
A28/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
78-72
78
72
+6
66avg 77
H07/03
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
84-78
84
78
+6
82avg 77
H14/03
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
86-85
86
85
+1
69avg 77
A21/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
95-76
95
76
+19
96avg 77
H28/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
97-89
97
89
+8
88avg 77
A03/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
89-85
89
85
+4
80avg 77
H11/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
20-22
23-20
12-17
36-17
25-16
20-29
13-29
27-25
20-23
15-26
28-34
26-17
22-26
12-23
16-17
20-25
18-14
11-20
29-13
24-21
17-23
19-17
24-17
22-13
26-25
22-22
16-25
19-19
24-13
28-26
24-18
28-30
22-21
26-16
21-22
19-22
32-16
23-26
15-21
171.5Avg total
86.6Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)85.287.4172.6-2.356%
Season at home (13)86.485.7172.1+0.762%
Season away (12)83.889.3173.2-5.550%
Last 10 (10)86.684.9171.5+1.770%
Last 5 (5)90.282.6172.8+7.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.895.1176.9-13.412%
vs Similar ◀ (20)85.982.6168.5+3.375%
vs Weaker (2)78.571.5150.0+7.050%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Cremona
#9
W
110-105 OT
110
105
+5
no box
H07/02
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
83-98
83
98
-15
74avg 71
A10/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
67-79
67
79
-12
58avg 71
H14/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 71
A27/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
89-74
89
74
+15
84avg 71
H06/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
81-68
81
68
+13
80avg 71
H14/03
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
88-70
88
70
+18
no box
H28/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
83-81
83
81
+2
81avg 71
A05/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
77-95
77
95
-18
70avg 71
A11/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
75-77
75
77
-2
68avg 71
H14/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
27-31
19-15
20-23
16-24
20-24
22-24
25-26
26-19
12-20
8-22
21-18
21-19
8-20
19-29
28-17
18-22
23-17
21-17
27-18
26-18
14-10
21-21
20-19
21-13
20-23
21-14
26-20
24-18
21-23
24-22
14-18
19-23
19-23
17-21
22-28
18-16
21-19
17-27
19-15
166.1Avg total
82.9Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.186.2167.3-5.038%
Season at home (14)82.683.1165.7-0.650%
Season away (12)79.489.7169.1-10.225%
Last 10 (10)82.983.2166.1-0.350%
Last 5 (5)80.878.2159.0+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)81.387.5168.8-6.238%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.986.1167.0-5.136%
vs Weaker (3)84.782.0166.7+2.767%
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
TrevisoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H24/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
61-33
61
33
+28
A31/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H07/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A28/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H07/03
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H14/03
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A21/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H28/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A03/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H11/04
Lega A
88.0Avg total
46.9Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.041.585.5+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.442.085.4+1.444%-
Last 30 away (14)44.741.085.7+3.757%-
Last 10 (10)46.941.188.0+5.850%-
Last 5 (5)46.640.687.2+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)44.444.889.1-0.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)44.240.684.9+3.655%-
vs Weaker (2)40.037.577.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#9
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H07/02
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A10/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H14/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A27/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H06/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H14/03
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H28/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A05/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A11/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H14/04
Lega A
79.5Avg total
39.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.642.882.4-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.440.781.1-0.344%-
Last 30 away (14)38.745.384.0-6.621%-
Last 10 (10)39.540.079.5-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.277.8+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.446.886.2-7.531%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.640.379.9-0.636%-
vs Weaker (3)40.337.377.7+3.033%-
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.2
51.8%
51.2%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.0
38.5%
35.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.615.6
79.6%
75.8%15.6
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.715.8
51.5%
51.2%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.911.5
38.5%
35.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws18.112.8
70.7%
75.8%12.8
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Treviso
WWWWWWLLWL
Varese
LLWWWWLLLW
#7
League position
#12
+2.5
Net rating
-0.6
114.3
Offensive rating
109.7
111.8
Defensive rating
110.3
54.2%
Effective FG%
54.5%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
14.8%
Turnover %
17.9%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.5%
3-point %
38.5%
52.0%
Assist %
57.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 109.7Defence111.8 · 110.3Shooting54.2% · 54.5%3-point %38.5% · 38.5%Ball care14.8% · 17.9%Off. rebounds27.0% · 26.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Treviso   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Treviso wins
7
Varese wins
DateGameScore
27/12/20Varese v Treviso79-80
05/01/20Treviso v Varese79-84
25/04/12Treviso v Varese55-71
03/01/12Varese v Treviso96-80
19/02/11Varese v Treviso74-68
06/11/10Treviso v Varese67-72
21/03/10Varese v Treviso90-82
21/11/09Treviso v Varese86-94
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/21HSassari89-85
03/04/21APesaro97-89
28/03/21HTrieste95-76
21/03/21ACremona86-85
14/03/21HFortitudo Bologna84-78
07/03/21HReggiana78-72
28/02/21ACantu76-83
07/02/21HBrindisi90-108
31/01/21ABrescia94-91
24/01/21HOlimpia Milano77-82
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/21HVenezia75-77
11/04/21AReggiana77-95
05/04/21AOlimpia Milano83-81
28/03/21HTrento88-70
14/03/21HPesaro81-68
06/03/21HSassari89-74
27/02/21AVirtus Bologna76-85
14/02/21HFortitudo Bologna67-79
10/02/21ABrescia83-98
07/02/21HCremona110-105 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviso
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW56%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game85.286.483.8
Allowed / game87.485.789.3
Point differential-2.3+0.7-5.5
Avg total172.6172.1173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL38%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game81.182.679.4
Allowed / game86.283.189.7
Point differential-5.0-0.6-10.2
Avg total167.3165.7169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)60% (5)100% (3)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brindisi2520580%86.077.5+8.5
2 Olimpia Milano2721678%85.874.9+10.9
3 Virtus Bologna2618869%85.377.3+8.0
4 Venezia2718967%81.277.3+4.0
5 Sassari2516964%89.586.2+3.3
6 Treviso25141156%85.287.4-2.3
7 Trieste26121446%80.280.5-0.3
8 Trento25111444%77.679.1-1.5
9 Pesaro27111641%81.183.7-2.6
10 Cremona25101540%85.586.4-0.9
11 Varese26101638%81.186.2-5.0
12 Reggiana2591636%76.181.2-5.1
13 Cantu2691735%78.382.7-4.4
14 Brescia2791833%80.984.7-3.8
15 Fortitudo Bologna2791833%77.782.1-4.4
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Treviso2824251794
Varese25213324103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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