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Trieste vs Tortona Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game88.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.8/10
Above normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Position#12
Record2-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game91.0
ItalyLega ARound 24· PalaTrieste
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Trieste v Tortona
27 Mar 2027
TRI v TOR
upcoming
12 Nov 2025
TRI91
TOR81
01 Feb 2025
TRI86
TOR72
22 Oct 2022
TRI60
TOR88
17 Feb 2022
TRI82
TOR94
24 Oct 2021
TRI88
TOR57
06 Sep 2021
TRI73
TOR89
22 May 2017
TRI74
TOR60
20 May 2017
TRI78
TOR63
09 May 2016
TRI85
TOR64
07 May 2016
TRI74
TOR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
73avg 77
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
79avg 77
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
75-90
75
90
-15
67avg 77
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
64avg 77
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#9
L
82-87
82
87
-5
57avg 77
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
84-85
84
85
-1
75avg 77
A10/10
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
92-72
92
72
+20
88avg 77
H18/10
Lega A
Verona
#10
W
108-99
108
99
+9
101avg 77
H25/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
A02/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
116-100
116
100
+16
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
21-22
15-17
26-23
17-16
18-22
28-18
20-21
16-27
23-20
12-20
24-23
19-17
22-21
23-19
15-26
15-21
27-18
20-20
20-28
15-19
23-21
20-21
26-24
20-18
24-20
23-15
25-19
23-27
28-26
28-24
29-22
25-24
21-31
31-17
23-21
28-32
30-24
34-26
24-18
176.9Avg total
89.9Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.488.4182.9+6.057%
Season at home (4)99.589.5189.0+10.075%
Season away (3)87.787.0174.7+0.733%
Last 10 (10)89.987.0176.9+2.950%
Last 5 (5)100.089.8189.8+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.788.7170.3-7.027%
vs Similar (11)86.084.5170.5+1.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)99.589.5189.0+10.075%
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
L
86-93
86
93
-7
77avg 74
A11/10
Lega A
Aris
#4
L
68-88
68
88
-20
54avg 74
A14/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#4
L
75-89
75
89
-14
69avg 74
H18/10
Lega A
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
89-79
89
79
+10
75avg 74
H21/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
L
90-92
90
92
-2
82avg 74
H25/10
Lega A
Rostock
#28
W
86-83
86
83
+3
83avg 74
H28/10
Eurocup
Udine
#8
L
77-86
77
86
-9
68avg 74
A01/11
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
71-73 OT
71
73
-2
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Treviso
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
23-22
19-22
19-24
21-31
23-14
11-17
13-26
20-22
18-25
24-25
13-17
18-25
18-20
22-17
31-17
26-19
21-22
17-26
26-25
23-24
16-20
18-26
29-13
14-19
19-21
20-17
24-29
20-16
16-11
14-17
15-21
22-20
22-19
27-21
16-16
25-25
25-23
18-21
9-22
165.6Avg total
80.6Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.791.0174.7-7.329%
Season at home (4)88.287.5175.8+0.850%
Season away (3)77.795.7173.3-18.00%
Last 10 (10)80.685.0165.6-4.430%
Last 5 (5)79.681.8161.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.388.0168.3-7.730%
vs Similar (12)82.582.2164.7+0.342%
vs Weaker (8)90.885.2176.0+5.575%
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.5-1.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.5-1.5
TriesteTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/10
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H18/10
Lega A
Verona
#10
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H25/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A02/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H08/11
Lega A
88.1Avg total
43.3Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.045.389.3-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.645.089.6-0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)43.445.689.0-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)43.344.888.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)47.448.495.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.945.987.8-4.127%-
vs Similar (11)45.343.989.2+1.455%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)48.846.595.2+2.275%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A11/10
Lega A
Aris
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A14/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H18/10
Lega A
San Pablo Burgos
#30
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H21/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H25/10
Lega A
Rostock
#28
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H28/10
Eurocup
Udine
#8
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A01/11
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A04/11
Eurocup
Treviso
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H08/11
Lega A
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H11/11
Eurocup
83.8Avg total
41.5Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.584.7-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.941.284.2+1.762%-
Last 30 away (14)41.443.985.3-2.443%-
Last 10 (10)41.542.383.8-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.680.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)42.344.086.3-1.750%-
vs Similar (12)41.240.781.9+0.658%-
vs Weaker (8)43.643.286.9+0.450%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.3
54.8%
54.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.9
34.9%
34.3%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.816.4
75.2%
74.6%16.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.8
51.4%
54.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.9
31.2%
34.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.618.1
76.7%
74.6%18.1
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
WWWWLLLLWL
Tortona
LWLLWLWLLL
#7
League position
#12
+0.2
Net rating
-8.6
100.8
Offensive rating
95.7
100.6
Defensive rating
104.3
53.6%
Effective FG%
49.6%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
12.9%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.9%
3-point %
31.2%
56.5%
Assist %
52.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 95.7Defence100.6 · 104.3Shooting53.6% · 49.6%3-point %34.9% · 31.2%Ball care12.9% · 14.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Trieste   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Trieste wins
6
Tortona wins
DateGameScore
08/02/26Tortona v Trieste104-99
12/11/25Trieste v Tortona91-81
01/02/25Trieste v Tortona86-72
12/10/24Tortona v Trieste82-85
12/02/23Tortona v Trieste80-69
22/10/22Trieste v Tortona60-88
01/05/22Tortona v Trieste80-74
17/02/22Trieste v Tortona82-94
24/10/21Trieste v Tortona88-57
12/09/21Tortona v Trieste91-76
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HBC Roma116-100
02/11/26AVirtus Bologna100-93
25/10/26HVerona108-99
18/10/26HCantu92-72
10/10/26AVarese84-85
04/10/26HVenezia82-87
27/09/26AOlimpia Milano79-83
25/05/26ABrescia75-90
23/05/26HBrescia83-77
21/05/26HBrescia80-84
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HHapoel Jerusalem77-91
08/11/26HTreviso87-76
04/11/26ACedevita Olimpija71-73 OT
01/11/26AUdine77-86
28/10/26HRostock86-83
25/10/26HBasket Napoli90-92
21/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos89-79
18/10/26HMaxima Roma75-89
14/10/26AAris68-88
11/10/26AReggiana86-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game94.499.587.7
Allowed / game88.489.587.0
Point differential+6.0+10.0+0.7
Avg total182.9189.0174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tortona
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game83.788.277.7
Allowed / game91.087.595.7
Point differential-7.3+0.8-18.0
Avg total174.7175.8173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna76186%96.486.0+10.4
2 Basket Napoli76186%93.786.6+7.1
3 Olimpia Milano75271%90.982.7+8.1
4 Maxima Roma75271%88.183.7+4.4
5 Treviso75271%90.788.6+2.1
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Trieste74357%94.488.4+6.0
8 Udine74357%81.380.3+1.0
9 Venezia74357%87.988.6-0.7
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento73443%80.483.6-3.1
12 Tortona72529%83.791.0-7.3
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati71614%81.692.0-10.4
16 Cantu7070%76.990.9-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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