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Trieste vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 80-78
16-20 29-25 19-14 16-19
Position#15
Record9-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game82.9
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Virtus Bologna
Italy
Position#2
Record19-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game76.7
ItalyLega ARound 24
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Trieste v Virtus Bologna
14 Feb 2027
TRI v VIR
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
TRI66
VIR74
22 Mar 2025
TRI85
VIR78
02 Apr 2023
TRI80
VIR78
02 Apr 2022
TRI81
VIR92
13 Dec 2020
TRI60
VIR77
17 Nov 2019
TRI85
VIR89
07 Oct 2018
TRI88
VIR92
19 Jun 2017
TRI66
VIR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Scafati
#11
W
64-59
64
59
+5
59avg 70
H08/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
88-69
88
69
+19
85avg 70
A14/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
81-72
81
72
+9
69avg 70
A22/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
85-68
85
68
+17
no box
H29/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
59-65
59
65
-6
47avg 70
H05/02
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
69-80
69
80
-11
62avg 70
A12/02
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
97-86
97
86
+11
90avg 70
H05/03
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
59-95
59
95
-36
no box
A12/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
75-80
75
80
-5
65avg 70
H18/03
Lega A
Scafati
#11
L
85-93
85
93
-8
84avg 70
A25/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
9-17
15-12
25-15
25-19
16-15
20-17
27-18
20-18
22-18
19-18
20-18
18-19
24-15
23-20
20-14
15-12
20-21
16-18
8-14
16-25
25-25
11-18
17-12
20-13
37-27
20-22
20-24
20-26
14-27
17-21
8-21
16-24
22-11
19-26
18-19
19-19
21-32
26-18
19-24
152.9Avg total
76.2Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.282.9161.1-4.739%
Season at home (12)74.879.3154.1-4.642%
Season away (11)82.086.8168.8-4.836%
Last 10 (10)76.276.7152.9-0.550%
Last 5 (5)77.086.8163.8-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)75.683.1158.7-7.628%
vs Similar (12)87.584.4171.9+3.167%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Tortona
#3
W
91-90
91
90
+1
88avg 78
H05/03
Lega A
Partizan
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
82avg 78
H07/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
96-74
96
74
+22
100avg 78
A09/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
W
83-68
83
68
+15
79avg 78
A12/03
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
68-81
68
81
-13
66avg 78
A16/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
75-69
75
69
+6
67avg 78
A19/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
79-96
79
96
-17
70avg 78
H24/03
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
W
88-76
88
76
+12
86avg 78
H26/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
80-111
80
111
-31
76avg 78
A28/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
67-86
67
86
-19
58avg 78
A30/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
26-18
23-18
24-29
26-28
21-17
16-20
16-23
22-14
27-19
28-26
19-15
24-12
14-14
26-17
19-25
22-21
15-20
16-22
15-18
26-15
23-21
8-19
18-14
12-26
21-24
25-18
21-28
32-24
13-18
23-12
20-22
13-28
20-34
20-25
27-24
13-13
14-23
11-24
29-26
164.5Avg total
80.6Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.076.7160.7+7.383%
Season at home (11)85.478.9164.3+6.582%
Season away (12)82.874.7157.4+8.183%
Last 10 (10)80.683.9164.5-3.350%
Last 5 (5)77.887.6165.4-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.088.5166.5-10.527%
vs Similar (8)79.178.6157.8+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)83.476.7160.1+6.780%
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.6-1.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.6-1.6
TriesteVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#11
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H08/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A14/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A22/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H29/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H05/02
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A12/02
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H05/03
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A12/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H18/03
Lega A
Scafati
#11
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A25/03
Lega A
79.2Avg total
39.4Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.980.9-1.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.940.279.1-1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)41.041.782.7-0.760%-
Last 10 (10)39.439.879.2-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.045.887.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.641.779.3-4.144%-
vs Similar (12)43.439.883.2+3.675%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H05/03
Lega A
Partizan
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H07/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A09/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A12/03
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A19/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H24/03
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H26/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
33-62
33
62
-29
A28/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A30/03
Euroleague
81.6Avg total
40.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.279.3-1.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.240.080.2+0.253%-
Last 30 away (13)37.840.578.2-2.754%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.481.6-1.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.445.282.6-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.845.181.9-8.336%-
vs Similar (8)39.537.476.9+2.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.937.579.4+4.480%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.917.7
55.5%
51.3%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.27.8
36.8%
36.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws15.011.6
77.3%
76.1%11.6
They take 53.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.216.8
53.8%
51.3%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.5
38.5%
36.4%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.313.1
80.4%
76.1%13.1
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
LLLWLLWWWW
Virtus Bologna
LLWLWLWWLW
#15
League position
#2
+4.5
Net rating
-4.8
114.0
Offensive rating
109.6
109.5
Defensive rating
114.3
55.4%
Effective FG%
55.6%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
15.7%
Turnover %
18.2%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
22.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.8%
3-point %
38.5%
48.6%
Assist %
70.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 109.6Defence109.5 · 114.3Shooting55.4% · 55.6%3-point %36.8% · 38.5%Ball care15.7% · 18.2%Off. rebounds28.2% · 22.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Trieste   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Trieste wins
10
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
09/10/22Virtus Bologna v Trieste85-80
02/04/22Trieste v Virtus Bologna81-92
16/10/21Virtus Bologna v Trieste94-79
11/04/21Virtus Bologna v Trieste81-67
13/12/20Trieste v Virtus Bologna60-77
17/11/19Trieste v Virtus Bologna85-89 OT
20/01/19Virtus Bologna v Trieste82-74
07/10/18Trieste v Virtus Bologna88-92
19/06/17Trieste v Virtus Bologna66-72
15/06/17Virtus Bologna v Trieste82-69
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/23AScafati85-93
18/03/23HReggiana75-80
12/03/23ABrescia59-95
05/03/23HTreviso97-86
12/02/23ATortona69-80
05/02/23HOlimpia Milano59-65
29/01/23HBasket Napoli85-68
22/01/23AVenezia81-72
14/01/23ATreviso88-69
08/01/23HScafati64-59
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/23AAnadolu Efes67-86
28/03/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv80-111
26/03/23HPesaro88-76
24/03/23HReal Madrid79-96
19/03/23AOlimpia Milano75-69
16/03/23AMonaco68-81
12/03/23AVenezia83-68
09/03/23AAlba Berlin96-74
07/03/23HPartizan79-88
05/03/23HTortona91-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL39%
HomeWWLWL42%
AwayWWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %39%42%36%
Points / game78.274.882.0
Allowed / game82.979.386.8
Point differential-4.7-4.6-4.8
Avg total161.1154.1168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%17%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %13%8%18%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %83%82%83%
Points / game84.085.482.8
Allowed / game76.778.974.7
Point differential+7.3+6.5+8.1
Avg total160.7164.3157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%36%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2319483%84.076.7+7.3
2 Olimpia Milano2317674%82.073.4+8.7
3 Tortona2417771%81.477.0+4.4
4 Sassari24141058%86.080.5+5.5
5 Varese23131057%91.991.5+0.4
6 Brindisi24131154%83.282.5+0.8
7 Pesaro23121152%85.586.3-0.8
8 Venezia23111248%82.280.2+2.0
9 Trento23111248%75.177.4-2.3
10 Treviso23101343%80.785.8-5.1
11 Brescia24101442%82.781.7+1.0
12 Trieste2391439%78.282.9-4.7
13 Scafati2481633%77.879.5-1.7
14 Reggiana2481633%75.277.0-1.7
15 Basket Napoli2481633%77.384.0-6.7
16 Verona2481633%79.486.3-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste1629191680
Virtus Bologna2025141978
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