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Trieste vs Virtus Bologna Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 14 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record4-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game88.4
Trieste
Italy
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.8/10
Above normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Virtus Bologna
Italy
Position#1
Record6-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game86.0
ItalyLega ARound 20· PalaTrieste
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Trieste v Virtus Bologna
14 Feb 2027
TRI v VIR
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
TRI66
VIR74
22 Mar 2025
TRI85
VIR78
02 Apr 2023
TRI80
VIR78
02 Apr 2022
TRI81
VIR92
13 Dec 2020
TRI60
VIR77
17 Nov 2019
TRI85
VIR89
07 Oct 2018
TRI88
VIR92
19 Jun 2017
TRI66
VIR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
73avg 77
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
79avg 77
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
75-90
75
90
-15
67avg 77
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
64avg 77
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#9
L
82-87
82
87
-5
57avg 77
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
84-85
84
85
-1
75avg 77
A10/10
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
92-72
92
72
+20
88avg 77
H18/10
Lega A
Verona
#10
W
108-99
108
99
+9
101avg 77
H25/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
A02/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#12
W
116-100
116
100
+16
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
21-22
15-17
26-23
17-16
18-22
28-18
20-21
16-27
23-20
12-20
24-23
19-17
22-21
23-19
15-26
15-21
27-18
20-20
20-28
15-19
23-21
20-21
26-24
20-18
24-20
23-15
25-19
23-27
28-26
28-24
29-22
25-24
21-31
31-17
23-21
28-32
30-24
34-26
24-18
176.9Avg total
89.9Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.488.4182.9+6.057%
Season at home (4)99.589.5189.0+10.075%
Season away (3)87.787.0174.7+0.733%
Last 10 (10)89.987.0176.9+2.950%
Last 5 (5)100.089.8189.8+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)81.788.7170.3-7.027%
vs Similar (10)86.284.4170.6+1.850%
vs Weaker (5)96.488.6185.0+7.860%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Paris
#12
W
96-94
96
94
+2
95avg 84
A14/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
W
86-78
86
78
+8
81avg 84
H16/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
108-83
108
83
+25
113avg 84
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#9
L
81-90
81
90
-9
65avg 84
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
90avg 84
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
74-91
74
91
-17
62avg 84
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#14
L
101-103
101
103
-2
97avg 84
H30/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
93-100
93
100
-7
no box
H02/11
Lega A
Dubai
#5
L
75-93
75
93
-18
no box
H06/11
Euroleague
Verona
#10
W
95-81
95
81
+14
no box
H09/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
20-12
18-27
32-29
24-12
22-22
22-19
18-25
32-17
18-19
23-20
35-27
25-23
23-13
14-28
19-26
20-22
17-30
22-15
22-14
22-14
13-23
18-28
21-26
24-24
30-23
20-23
27-33
24-25
31-21
17-31
21-23
17-21
17-27
19-28
22-17
21-22
21-14
26-27
27-18
181.4Avg total
90.7Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)96.486.0182.4+10.486%
Season at home (4)98.588.2186.8+10.275%
Season away (3)93.783.0176.7+10.7100%
Last 10 (10)90.790.7181.4+0.050%
Last 5 (5)87.693.6181.2-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.889.2168.0-10.420%
vs Similar (4)97.294.5191.8+2.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)91.384.1175.4+7.267%
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
TriesteVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/10
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H18/10
Lega A
Verona
#10
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H25/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A02/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#12
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H08/11
Lega A
88.1Avg total
43.3Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.045.389.3-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.645.089.6-0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)43.445.689.0-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)43.344.888.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)47.448.495.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)41.945.987.8-4.127%-
vs Similar (10)46.044.390.3+1.760%-
vs Weaker (5)46.645.291.8+1.460%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#12
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H16/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#9
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#14
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H30/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H02/11
Lega A
Dubai
#5
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H06/11
Euroleague
Verona
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H09/11
Lega A
85.7Avg total
44.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.441.887.2+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.242.490.6+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)42.141.283.4+0.957%-
Last 10 (10)44.741.085.7+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.886.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.842.082.8-1.220%-
vs Similar (4)47.245.092.2+2.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.141.287.3+5.071%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.3
54.8%
54.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.9
34.9%
34.3%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.816.4
75.2%
74.6%16.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.9
55.0%
54.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.8
36.3%
34.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.819.7
79.4%
74.6%19.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
WWWWLLLLWL
Virtus Bologna
WLLLLWLWWW
#6
League position
#1
+0.2
Net rating
+3.7
100.8
Offensive rating
102.2
100.6
Defensive rating
98.4
53.6%
Effective FG%
54.8%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
12.9%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.9%
3-point %
36.3%
56.5%
Assist %
57.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 102.2Defence100.6 · 98.4Shooting53.6% · 54.8%3-point %34.9% · 36.3%Ball care12.9% · 14.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Trieste   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Trieste wins
6
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
02/11/26Virtus Bologna v Trieste93-100
26/04/26Virtus Bologna v Trieste95-81
29/12/25Trieste v Virtus Bologna66-74
22/03/25Trieste v Virtus Bologna85-78
15/12/24Virtus Bologna v Trieste70-78
02/04/23Trieste v Virtus Bologna80-78
09/10/22Virtus Bologna v Trieste85-80
02/04/22Trieste v Virtus Bologna81-92
16/10/21Virtus Bologna v Trieste94-79
11/04/21Virtus Bologna v Trieste81-67
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HBC Roma116-100
02/11/26AVirtus Bologna100-93
25/10/26HVerona108-99
18/10/26HCantu92-72
10/10/26AVarese84-85
04/10/26HVenezia82-87
27/09/26AOlimpia Milano79-83
25/05/26ABrescia75-90
23/05/26HBrescia83-77
21/05/26HBrescia80-84
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HVerona95-81
06/11/26HDubai75-93
02/11/26HTrieste93-100
30/10/26HBesiktas101-103
28/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas74-91
25/10/26AOlimpia Milano98-94 OT
21/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv81-90
18/10/26HScafati108-83
16/10/26HBaskonia86-78
14/10/26AParis96-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game94.499.587.7
Allowed / game88.489.587.0
Point differential+6.0+10.0+0.7
Avg total182.9189.0174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%75%100%
Points / game96.498.593.7
Allowed / game86.088.283.0
Point differential+10.4+10.2+10.7
Avg total182.4186.8176.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna76186%96.486.0+10.4
2 Basket Napoli76186%93.786.6+7.1
3 Olimpia Milano75271%90.982.7+8.1
4 Maxima Roma75271%88.183.7+4.4
5 Treviso75271%90.788.6+2.1
6 Trieste74357%94.488.4+6.0
7 Udine74357%81.380.3+1.0
8 Varese74357%87.787.6+0.1
9 Venezia74357%87.988.6-0.7
10 Verona73443%88.491.1-2.7
11 Trento73443%80.483.6-3.1
12 BC Roma72529%100.199.3+0.9
13 Reggiana72529%81.783.7-2.0
14 Tortona72529%83.791.0-7.3
15 Scafati71614%81.692.0-10.4
16 Cantu7070%76.990.9-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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