PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Trieste vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Nov 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 85-89 (OT)
20-16 28-19 12-20 12-17 13-17
Position#14
Record2-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game78.1
Trieste
Italy
vs
Virtus Bologna 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game74.0
ItalyLega ARound 9
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Trieste v Virtus Bologna
14 Feb 2027
TRI v VIR
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
TRI66
VIR74
22 Mar 2025
TRI85
VIR78
02 Apr 2023
TRI80
VIR78
02 Apr 2022
TRI81
VIR92
13 Dec 2020
TRI60
VIR77
17 Nov 2019
TRI85
VIR89
07 Oct 2018
TRI88
VIR92
19 Jun 2017
TRI66
VIR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
L
65-86
65
86
-21
48avg 108
H05/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
88-93
88
93
-5
81avg 108
A12/05
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
69avg 108
A19/05
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
73-78
73
78
-5
59avg 108
A26/09
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
62-92
62
92
-30
51avg 108
H29/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
no box
A06/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
65-59
65
59
+6
54avg 108
A13/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
66avg 108
H19/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
72-76
72
76
-4
61avg 108
A03/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 108
H10/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
28-24
5-22
19-17
22-14
21-39
22-14
23-26
24-25
20-21
19-16
12-20
16-19
18-11
25-25
14-23
13-29
12-25
20-12
17-26
14-23
14-21
20-21
25-23
19-22
8-13
16-13
22-11
26-20
20-19
18-22
12-13
19-14
17-16
17-19
19-27
22-21
14-16
20-23
16-20
152.9Avg total
72.1Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)70.478.1148.6-7.729%
Season at home (3)70.082.0152.0-12.033%
Season away (4)70.875.2146.0-4.525%
Last 10 (10)72.180.8152.9-8.720%
Last 5 (5)71.675.4147.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)70.278.5148.7-8.333%
vs Similar (15)85.786.0171.7-0.333%
vs Weaker (9)90.979.4170.3+11.478%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
W
73-61
73
61
+12
no box
H05/05
Champions League
Varese
#7
W
84-72
84
72
+12
83avg 108
H12/05
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
74-67
74
67
+7
69avg 108
H25/09
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
88-78
88
78
+10
91avg 108
A29/09
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
75-70
75
70
+5
71avg 108
H06/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
94-79
94
79
+15
100avg 108
A13/10
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
87-80
87
80
+7
85avg 108
H19/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
82-80
82
80
+2
72avg 108
A26/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
79-59
79
59
+20
84avg 108
A03/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
84-79
84
79
+5
no box
H10/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-8
18-16
20-20
15-17
17-19
28-18
22-22
17-13
17-16
23-13
24-23
10-15
18-12
24-18
20-23
26-25
13-19
22-20
17-19
23-12
25-19
29-16
16-13
24-31
21-22
19-12
17-21
30-25
20-19
20-22
19-21
23-18
21-15
19-16
18-11
21-17
20-17
20-29
28-14
16-19
154.5Avg total
82.0Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.974.0156.9+8.9100%
Season at home (4)80.074.0154.0+6.0100%
Season away (4)85.874.0159.8+11.8100%
Last 10 (10)82.072.5154.5+9.5100%
Last 5 (5)85.275.4160.6+9.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.781.5159.2-3.833%
vs Similar (10)79.175.1154.2+4.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)80.571.8152.2+8.785%
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +1.3+1.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +1.3+1.3
TriesteVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H05/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A12/05
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A19/05
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A26/09
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
25-54
25
54
-29
H29/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A06/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A13/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H19/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A03/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H10/11
Lega A
77.5Avg total
36.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.083.2+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.743.289.9+3.554%-
Last 30 away (17)38.739.378.0-0.641%-
Last 10 (10)36.041.577.5-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)34.637.071.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)32.739.872.5-7.233%-
vs Similar (15)43.343.987.1-0.627%-
vs Weaker (9)46.737.083.7+9.789%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H05/05
Champions League
Varese
#7
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H12/05
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H25/09
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A29/09
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H06/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A13/10
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H19/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A26/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A03/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H10/11
Lega A
76.0Avg total
41.4Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.736.577.2+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.936.477.3+4.665%-
Last 30 away (13)40.436.777.1+3.754%-
Last 10 (10)41.434.676.0+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.480.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.739.079.7+1.750%-
vs Similar (10)39.036.275.2+2.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.035.677.6+6.477%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 66.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.918.5
48.8%
52.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.5
29.0%
35.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws13.79.9
72.3%
73.6%9.9
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.421.7
59.6%
52.0%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.4
33.8%
35.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.515.0
73.2%
73.6%15.0
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
LLWWLLLLLL
Virtus Bologna
WWWWWWWWWW
#14
League position
#1
-13.3
Net rating
+11.6
95.3
Offensive rating
115.6
108.7
Defensive rating
104.0
46.8%
Effective FG%
56.3%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
17.9%
Turnover %
17.3%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.35
29.0%
3-point %
33.8%
54.4%
Assist %
60.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence95.3 · 115.6Defence108.7 · 104.0Shooting46.8% · 56.3%3-point %29.0% · 33.8%Ball care17.9% · 17.3%Off. rebounds25.6% · 32.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 100%
■ Trieste   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Trieste wins
5
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
20/01/19Virtus Bologna v Trieste82-74
07/10/18Trieste v Virtus Bologna88-92
19/06/17Trieste v Virtus Bologna66-72
15/06/17Virtus Bologna v Trieste82-69
13/06/17Virtus Bologna v Trieste85-62
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/19HBrindisi72-80
03/11/19APistoia72-76
19/10/19HBrescia76-74
13/10/19ASassari65-59
06/10/19AOlimpia Milano73-88
29/09/19HVarese62-92
26/09/19AVenezia73-78
19/05/19ACremona75-82
12/05/19AOlimpia Milano88-93
05/05/19HSassari65-86
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/19HTreviso84-79
03/11/19AReggiana79-59
26/10/19ABrescia82-80
19/10/19HVarese87-80
13/10/19APesaro94-79
06/10/19HVenezia75-70
29/09/19APistoia88-78
25/09/19HVirtus Roma74-67
12/05/19HVarese84-72
05/05/19HTenerife73-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL29%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game70.470.070.8
Allowed / game78.182.075.2
Point differential-7.7-12.0-4.5
Avg total148.6152.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.980.085.8
Allowed / game74.074.074.0
Point differential+8.9+6.0+11.8
Avg total156.9154.0159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna880100%82.974.0+8.9
2 Sassari86275%82.168.4+13.8
3 Brindisi86275%84.080.4+3.6
4 Olimpia Milano85362%81.272.2+9.0
5 Brescia95456%81.675.4+6.1
6 Reggiana84450%81.179.5+1.6
7 Varese84450%80.679.5+1.1
8 Trento84450%79.981.5-1.6
9 Fortitudo Bologna84450%75.078.0-3.0
10 Cremona84450%76.880.5-3.8
11 Virtus Roma84450%76.081.0-5.0
12 Venezia94544%74.372.2+2.1
13 Treviso94544%77.077.2-0.2
14 Cantu73443%70.074.4-4.4
15 Trieste72529%70.478.1-7.7
16 Pistoia81712%71.883.1-11.4
17 Pesaro7070%80.693.9-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Trieste202812121385
Virtus Bologna161920171789
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.