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Virtus Bologna vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 86-80
20-25 18-9 25-25 23-21
Position#1
Record14-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#5
Record13-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game84.7
ItalyLega ARound 20· Segafredo Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Olimpia Milano
24 Jan 2027
VIR v MIL
upcoming
30 Dec 2026
VIR v MIL
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
VIR104
MIL94
02 Jan 2026
VIR97
MIL85
27 Sep 2025
VIR86
MIL93
02 Jun 2025
VIR66
MIL85
31 May 2025
VIR68
MIL67
04 Apr 2025
VIR90
MIL70
02 Mar 2025
VIR86
MIL80
12 Feb 2025
VIR77
MIL91
08 Jun 2024
VIR72
MIL64
06 Jun 2024
VIR75
MIL86
10 Mar 2024
VIR84
MIL75
14 Nov 2023
VIR86
MIL79
21 Jun 2023
VIR85
MIL66
16 Jun 2023
VIR93
MIL89
14 Jun 2023
VIR69
MIL61
13 Apr 2023
VIR89
MIL84
02 Jan 2023
VIR74
MIL96
16 Jun 2022
VIR84
MIL78
10 Jun 2022
VIR75
MIL68
08 Jun 2022
VIR62
MIL66
10 Apr 2022
VIR83
MIL65
11 Jun 2021
VIR73
MIL62
09 Jun 2021
VIR76
MIL58
27 Dec 2020
VIR68
MIL73
29 Dec 2019
VIR83
MIL70
14 Oct 2018
VIR79
MIL88
11 Mar 2018
VIR67
MIL73
28 Feb 2016
VIR85
MIL101
22 May 2015
VIR65
MIL92
29 Dec 2014
VIR58
MIL81
10 Nov 2013
VIR79
MIL71
03 Oct 2012
VIR67
MIL64
16 Feb 2012
VIR77
MIL82
05 Feb 2012
VIR68
MIL80
19 Dec 2010
VIR81
MIL94
08 Nov 2009
VIR83
MIL87
01 Feb 2009
VIR70
MIL60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Cremona
#13
W
81-63
81
63
+18
83avg 79
H20/01
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
80-86
80
86
-6
71avg 79
H23/01
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
L
68-76
68
76
-8
67avg 79
A26/01
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
L
81-95
81
95
-14
78avg 79
A31/01
Euroleague
Venezia
#8
W
85-74
85
74
+11
78avg 79
H02/02
Lega A
Partizan
#12
L
71-81
71
81
-10
65avg 79
H05/02
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
71avg 79
H07/02
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
98-66
98
66
+32
102avg 79
A09/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
71avg 79
H12/02
Italian Cup
Olympiacos
#2
L
70-92
70
92
-22
57avg 79
H28/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
18-19
20-23
20-8
26-18
23-23
13-15
18-30
16-25
21-16
14-20
17-15
13-22
24-24
17-23
27-26
21-13
16-21
20-19
28-21
23-17
13-27
21-22
14-15
25-17
21-18
18-23
13-25
20-19
34-19
20-14
24-14
18-20
15-27
20-24
24-20
14-34
15-20
25-14
16-24
159.5Avg total
78.8Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.977.8162.7+7.274%
Season at home (9)87.476.9164.3+10.689%
Season away (10)82.778.6161.3+4.160%
Last 10 (10)78.880.7159.5-1.930%
Last 5 (5)78.682.6161.2-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.988.8168.7-8.99%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.178.9160.0+2.262%
vs Weaker (10)83.773.5157.2+10.270%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
W
87-74
87
74
+13
87avg 80
H26/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#3
W
87-75
87
75
+12
83avg 80
H30/01
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
119-92
119
92
+27
122avg 80
H02/02
Lega A
Bayern
#7
L
70-87
70
87
-17
60avg 80
A04/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
89-87
89
87
+2
90avg 80
A06/02
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
W
78-72
78
72
+6
72avg 80
A08/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
91-77
91
77
+14
84avg 80
A12/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#3
W
74-69
74
69
+5
64avg 80
A15/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#1
L
63-79
63
79
-16
46avg 80
H16/02
Italian Cup
Monaco
#4
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 80
H27/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
21-23
26-22
15-6
17-16
22-21
27-13
21-25
28-22
35-27
32-18
24-25
16-17
20-20
19-31
15-19
24-16
26-26
17-24
22-21
21-22
21-18
19-11
17-21
20-18
27-15
24-20
20-24
16-16
18-17
17-19
23-17
14-15
17-23
17-21
15-20
18-19
31-23
19-19
18-19
163.6Avg total
84.4Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)89.584.7174.3+4.868%
Season at home (10)94.286.2180.4+8.080%
Season away (9)84.383.1167.4+1.256%
Last 10 (10)84.479.2163.6+5.280%
Last 5 (5)78.475.4153.8+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.587.1167.6-6.650%
vs Similar ◀ (13)84.181.0165.1+3.162%
vs Weaker (8)99.486.4185.8+13.075%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
Virtus BolognaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#13
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H20/01
Lega A
Monaco
#4
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H23/01
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A26/01
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A31/01
Euroleague
Venezia
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H02/02
Lega A
Partizan
#12
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H05/02
Euroleague
Paris
#9
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H07/02
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A09/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H12/02
Italian Cup
Olympiacos
#2
L
29-54
29
54
-25
H28/02
Euroleague
81.1Avg total
39.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.180.4+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.839.478.1-0.653%-
Last 30 away (13)42.241.183.3+1.254%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.281.1-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.683.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.543.382.7-3.845%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.038.481.4+4.662%-
vs Weaker (10)39.737.377.0+2.460%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H26/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#3
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H30/01
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H02/02
Lega A
Bayern
#7
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A04/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A06/02
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A08/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A12/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#3
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A15/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H16/02
Italian Cup
Monaco
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H27/02
Euroleague
83.4Avg total
43.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.443.286.5+0.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.844.088.8+0.860%-
Last 30 away (15)41.942.384.3-0.460%-
Last 10 (10)43.739.783.4+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.277.8+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.944.583.4-5.638%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.740.883.5+1.862%-
vs Weaker (8)48.546.995.4+1.675%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.919.1
56.3%
52.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.2
32.9%
35.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.015.4
77.0%
76.8%15.4
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.5
54.2%
52.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.9
38.0%
35.8%26.7
🏀 Free throws21.917.9
81.7%
76.8%17.9
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LLWLLWLLLW
Olimpia Milano
WLWWWWLWWW
#1
League position
#5
-1.9
Net rating
+7.2
111.6
Offensive rating
116.3
113.4
Defensive rating
109.1
53.4%
Effective FG%
55.3%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.0%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.9%
3-point %
38.0%
71.8%
Assist %
53.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 116.3Defence113.4 · 109.1Shooting53.4% · 55.3%3-point %32.9% · 38.0%Ball care16.2% · 16.0%Off. rebounds27.4% · 28.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Virtus Bologna wins
7
Olimpia Milano wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25HOlympiacos70-92
12/02/25HOlimpia Milano77-91
09/02/25ATortona98-66
07/02/25HParis77-83
05/02/25HPartizan71-81
02/02/25HVenezia85-74
31/01/25AFenerbahce81-95
26/01/25ASassari68-76
23/01/25HMonaco80-86
20/01/25HCremona81-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25HMonaco86-80
16/02/25HTrento63-79
15/02/25ABrescia74-69
12/02/25AVirtus Bologna91-77
08/02/25ASassari78-72
06/02/25AZalgiris Kaunas89-87
04/02/25ABayern70-87
02/02/25HVarese119-92
30/01/25HPanathinaikos87-75
26/01/25HTrieste87-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW74%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %74%89%60%
Points / game84.987.482.7
Allowed / game77.876.978.6
Point differential+7.2+10.6+4.1
Avg total162.7164.3161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW68%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %68%80%56%
Points / game89.594.284.3
Allowed / game84.786.283.1
Point differential+4.8+8.0+1.2
Avg total174.3180.4167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento2015575%88.382.7+5.7
2 Virtus Bologna1914574%84.977.8+7.2
3 Brescia1914574%91.486.1+5.3
4 Trapani1913668%91.982.8+9.1
5 Olimpia Milano1913668%89.584.7+4.8
6 Reggiana2013765%80.877.1+3.7
7 Trieste2012860%86.283.7+2.5
8 Tortona2011955%85.385.5-0.1
9 Venezia20101050%79.377.5+1.8
10 Treviso2081240%85.387.9-2.5
11 Sassari2071335%79.584.2-4.7
12 Varese1961332%88.698.8-10.3
13 Scafati2061430%87.592.8-5.3
14 Cremona1951426%75.881.1-5.3
15 Basket Napoli2051525%81.886.5-4.8
16 Pistoia2051525%82.188.5-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2018252386
Olimpia Milano259252180
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