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Tubingen vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 81-97
27-29 22-20 16-26 16-22
Position#18
Record1-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game96.0
vs
Position#2
Record4-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game100.0
Allowed / game82.6
GermanyBBLRound 6· Paul Horn Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Tubingen v Alba Berlin
06 Nov 2023
TUB81
ABE97
20 Apr 2018
TUB72
ABE125
16 Dec 2016
TUB77
ABE82
13 Mar 2016
TUB64
ABE80
15 Dec 2014
TUB68
ABE90
05 Jan 2014
TUB64
ABE74
19 Dec 2012
TUB77
ABE78
14 Apr 2012
TUB62
ABE91
02 Jan 2011
TUB74
ABE70
23 Oct 2009
TUB70
ABE66
19 Apr 2009
TUB77
ABE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tubingen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TubingenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTubingen
Date
Competition
PS Karlsruhe
#3
W
83-70
83
70
+13
no box
A20/05
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
H23/05
Pro A
Vechta
#1
L
78-78
78
78
+0
no box
H02/06
Pro A
Vechta
#1
L
66-73
66
73
-7
no box
A04/06
Pro A
Basketball Braunschweig
#11
L
64-78
64
78
-14
54avg 68
H23/09
German Cup
Ulm
#5
L
84-99
84
99
-15
75avg 68
H01/10
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
88-76
88
76
+12
77avg 68
A04/10
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
72-103
72
103
-31
63avg 68
A07/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
84-94
84
94
-10
73avg 68
H21/10
BBL
Rostock
#15
L
103-108 OT
103
108
-5
no box
A29/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
26-23
17-14
25-17
25-20
16-15
24-24
21-21
26-26
28-17
10-16
14-19
19-15
12-22
12-14
23-22
17-22
15-16
13-19
19-21
26-27
22-25
22-19
14-28
23-19
16-9
28-21
21-27
20-32
22-23
16-25
14-23
29-28
12-25
23-20
20-21
17-22
16-17
26-21
34-33
166.7Avg total
80.8Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.296.0182.2-9.820%
Season at home (2)84.096.5180.5-12.50%
Season away (3)87.795.7183.3-8.033%
Last 10 (10)80.885.9166.7-5.130%
Last 5 (5)86.296.0182.2-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)86.896.5183.2-9.825%
vs Similar (4)76.878.2155.0-1.525%
vs Weaker (21)90.676.9167.5+13.881%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#15
L
68-80
68
80
-12
56avg 82
A05/10
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
L
88-100
88
100
-12
78avg 82
A07/10
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
86-91
86
91
-5
79avg 82
H12/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#11
W
96-71
96
71
+25
96avg 82
H15/10
German Cup
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
76-87
76
87
-11
70avg 82
A18/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
75-86
75
86
-11
65avg 82
A20/10
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
98-80
98
80
+18
96avg 82
H22/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
85-82
85
82
+3
83avg 82
H26/10
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
W
114-77
114
77
+37
121avg 82
A30/10
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
71-79
71
79
-8
64avg 82
A02/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
27-17
7-25
17-19
27-20
25-29
16-19
20-32
21-25
26-26
14-25
25-15
23-17
28-17
25-17
20-20
11-27
15-17
25-23
25-20
16-18
24-29
16-20
19-19
22-27
32-17
22-18
22-18
12-18
23-19
22-24
28-21
39-14
17-25
29-24
29-14
14-15
25-26
15-15
17-23
169.0Avg total
85.7Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)100.082.6182.6+17.480%
Season at home (2)104.077.5181.5+26.5100%
Season away (3)97.386.0183.3+11.367%
Last 10 (10)85.783.3169.0+2.440%
Last 5 (5)88.680.8169.4+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.783.8159.4-8.111%
vs Similar (4)90.583.8174.2+6.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)87.974.8162.8+13.182%
This opponent (Tubingen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
TubingenAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TubingenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PS Karlsruhe
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A20/05
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H23/05
Pro A
Vechta
#1
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H02/06
Pro A
Vechta
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A04/06
Pro A
Basketball Braunschweig
#11
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H23/09
German Cup
Ulm
#5
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H01/10
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A04/10
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A07/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H21/10
BBL
Rostock
#15
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A29/10
BBL
82.1Avg total
40.2Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.183.2+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.437.382.8+8.175%-
Last 30 away (14)40.443.483.7-3.029%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.982.1-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.645.486.0-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)40.543.584.0-3.025%-
vs Similar (4)43.841.084.8+2.850%-
vs Weaker (21)44.039.483.4+4.562%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#15
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A05/10
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A07/10
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H12/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#11
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H15/10
German Cup
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A18/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A20/10
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H22/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H26/10
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A30/10
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A02/11
Euroleague
86.6Avg total
44.4Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.840.885.6+4.070%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.640.487.0+6.269%-
Last 30 away (17)43.441.184.5+2.271%-
Last 10 (10)44.442.286.6+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.841.686.4+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.142.281.3-3.133%-
vs Similar (4)48.242.891.0+5.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.939.686.5+7.482%-
This opponent (Tubingen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tubingentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tubingen: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.4
51.3%
54.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.8
36.1%
35.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.612.8
68.8%
76.0%12.8
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.7
54.9%
54.6%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.8
37.4%
35.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.615.9
85.5%
76.0%15.9
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tubingen
LLLWLLLLWW
Alba Berlin
LWWWLLWLLL
#18
League position
#2
-13.9
Net rating
+2.9
100.2
Offensive rating
113.3
114.1
Defensive rating
110.3
52.4%
Effective FG%
55.4%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
18.8%
Turnover %
18.5%
22.2%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.1%
3-point %
37.4%
59.6%
Assist %
63.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 113.3Defence114.1 · 110.3Shooting52.4% · 55.4%3-point %36.1% · 37.4%Ball care18.8% · 18.5%Off. rebounds22.2% · 29.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Tubingen   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tubingen wins
10
Alba Berlin wins
Tubingenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23ARostock103-108 OT
21/10/23HHeidelberg84-94
07/10/23AVechta72-103
04/10/23ABonn88-76
01/10/23HUlm84-99
23/09/23HBasketball Braunschweig64-78
04/06/23AVechta66-73
02/06/23HVechta78-78
23/05/23HPS Karlsruhe86-80
20/05/23APS Karlsruhe83-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/23AValencia71-79
30/10/23AGottingen114-77
26/10/23HOlimpia Milano85-82
22/10/23HVechta98-80
20/10/23AMonaco75-86
18/10/23AVirtus Bologna76-87
15/10/23HBasketball Braunschweig96-71
12/10/23HBaskonia86-91
07/10/23AUlm88-100
05/10/23ABayern68-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tubingen
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game86.284.087.7
Allowed / game96.096.595.7
Point differential-9.8-12.5-8.0
Avg total182.2180.5183.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game100.0104.097.3
Allowed / game82.677.586.0
Point differential+17.4+26.5+11.3
Avg total182.6181.5183.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oldenburg65183%90.079.3+10.7
2 Chemnitz65183%83.574.3+9.2
3 Ulm65183%93.086.8+6.2
4 Alba Berlin54180%100.082.6+17.4
5 Bayern64267%86.375.3+11.0
6 Vechta64267%91.083.8+7.2
7 Ludwigsburg53260%87.677.0+10.6
8 Bonn63350%87.284.0+3.2
9 Basketball Braunschweig63350%84.385.2-0.8
10 Hamburg63350%79.284.2-5.0
11 Wurzburg52340%72.873.8-1.0
12 Rostock52340%95.498.2-2.8
13 Bamberg52340%88.895.6-6.8
14 Gottingen41325%84.898.0-13.2
15 Tubingen51420%86.296.0-9.8
16 Heidelberg61517%89.097.5-8.5
17 Syntainics MBC61517%80.889.7-8.8
18 Crailsheim Merlins61517%76.297.8-21.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tubingen2722161681
Alba Berlin2920262297
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