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Bayern vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 80-68
19-17 17-27 25-7 19-17
Position#15
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#18
Record-
FormWLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEuroleagueRound 1· BMW Park
European cup2023
Meetings · Bayern v Alba Berlin
26 Sep 2026
BAY95
ABE61
21 Jun 2026
BAY81
ABE84
14 Jun 2026
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2026
BAY102
ABE94
01 May 2026
BAY85
ABE79
02 Feb 2025
BAY99
ABE86
14 Nov 2024
BAY115
ABE88
10 Jun 2024
BAY70
ABE79
08 Jun 2024
BAY79
ABE67
05 May 2024
BAY77
ABE53
05 Oct 2023
BAY80
ABE68
17 Mar 2023
BAY75
ABE76
18 Feb 2023
BAY83
ABE77
08 Jan 2023
BAY79
ABE80
19 Jun 2022
BAY81
ABE96
14 Jun 2022
BAY58
ABE71
10 May 2022
BAY78
ABE83
28 Jan 2022
BAY62
ABE56
13 Jun 2021
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2021
BAY69
ABE81
16 May 2021
BAY85
ABE79
25 Apr 2021
BAY62
ABE100
05 Feb 2021
BAY101
ABE95
10 Nov 2019
BAY84
ABE80
23 Dec 2018
BAY70
ABE78
16 Dec 2018
BAY83
ABE81
16 Jun 2018
BAY106
ABE85
10 Jun 2018
BAY72
ABE66
03 Jun 2018
BAY95
ABE106
25 Mar 2018
BAY72
ABE91
13 May 2017
BAY80
ABE73
06 May 2017
BAY95
ABE68
18 Feb 2017
BAY78
ABE70
16 Oct 2016
BAY97
ABE58
01 Mar 2016
BAY84
ABE75
28 Feb 2016
BAY96
ABE65
21 Feb 2016
BAY65
ABE67
02 Jun 2015
BAY89
ABE83
28 May 2015
BAY85
ABE73
26 Apr 2015
BAY70
ABE68
15 Jun 2014
BAY92
ABE86
08 Jun 2014
BAY88
ABE81
04 May 2014
BAY72
ABE80
12 May 2013
BAY89
ABE83
04 May 2013
BAY88
ABE67
10 Feb 2013
BAY79
ABE61
26 Nov 2011
BAY79
ABE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#10
L
78-89
78
89
-11
67avg 72
H04/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
76-88
76
88
-12
69avg 72
A07/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
87-67
87
67
+20
92avg 72
H16/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
87-85
87
85
+2
82avg 72
H18/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
65-54
65
54
+11
56avg 72
A21/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
69-87
69
87
-18
61avg 72
H28/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
88-93
88
93
-5
87avg 72
H30/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
102-104 OT
102
104
-2
no box
A02/06
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
96-87
96
87
+9
97avg 72
H29/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
67-77
67
77
-10
62avg 72
A02/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
25-23
22-22
14-23
12-22
19-21
16-25
29-20
21-14
23-22
22-14
21-17
24-23
31-20
14-23
18-19
17-14
19-23
17-7
12-10
20-18
21-24
17-23
11-22
20-27
19-17
17-27
32-22
22-29
21-17
19-28
30-18
22-22
28-18
23-23
23-24
26-21
13-24
15-13
13-19
164.6Avg total
81.5Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.583.1164.6-1.640%
Last 5 (5)84.489.6174.0-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.088.3162.3-14.30%
vs Similar (11)79.083.5162.5-4.527%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)81.673.6155.2+8.181%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
W
104-79
104
79
+25
108avg 82
H23/04
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
77-84
77
84
-7
no box
A25/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
91-79
91
79
+12
93avg 82
H30/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
83-72
83
72
+11
77avg 82
A04/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
64-88
64
88
-24
58avg 82
H14/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
91-77
91
77
+14
94avg 82
A17/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
81-93
81
93
-12
74avg 82
H19/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
81-83
81
83
-2
81avg 82
A24/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
90-81
90
81
+9
96avg 82
A28/09
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
110-75
110
75
+35
113avg 82
H02/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
29-21
28-15
25-18
12-17
26-29
15-19
24-19
20-12
28-21
22-25
21-21
20-17
27-17
22-19
14-19
17-19
27-23
10-16
10-30
21-20
18-27
29-14
23-16
27-20
19-33
23-22
12-18
22-26
29-24
16-18
14-15
21-17
23-22
26-19
20-23
30-14
29-26
30-18
21-17
168.3Avg total
87.2Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.281.1168.3+6.160%
Last 5 (5)90.681.8172.4+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)77.886.0163.8-8.220%
vs Similar (6)76.778.0154.7-1.350%
vs Weaker (19)86.375.6161.9+10.784%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
BayernAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H04/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A07/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H16/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H18/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A21/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H28/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H30/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A02/06
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H29/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A02/10
BBL
84.0Avg total
42.0Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.880.1+0.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.838.381.1+4.553%-
Last 30 away (15)37.941.379.1-3.413%-
Last 10 (10)42.042.084.0+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.485.8-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.046.783.7-9.70%-
vs Similar (11)38.741.179.8-2.427%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.137.679.7+4.444%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H23/04
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A25/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H30/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A04/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H14/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A17/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H19/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A24/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/09
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H02/10
BBL
89.7Avg total
46.7Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.183.1+2.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.340.583.7+2.860%-
Last 30 away (15)42.639.882.4+2.880%-
Last 10 (10)46.743.089.7+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)47.845.893.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)42.841.284.0+1.680%-
vs Similar (6)38.040.078.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker (19)44.539.984.4+4.674%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.3
52.6%
53.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.9
33.6%
36.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.716.7
80.7%
77.4%16.7
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.6
59.4%
53.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.0
35.3%
36.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.015.2
80.0%
77.4%15.2
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWLLLWWWLL
Alba Berlin
WWLLWLWWLW
#15
League position
#18
-2.8
Net rating
+8.3
107.8
Offensive rating
114.0
110.5
Defensive rating
105.7
51.6%
Effective FG%
56.5%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
18.9%
Turnover %
22.4%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
38.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.6%
3-point %
35.3%
61.1%
Assist %
69.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 114.0Defence110.5 · 105.7Shooting51.6% · 56.5%3-point %33.6% · 35.3%Ball care18.9% · 22.4%Off. rebounds29.3% · 38.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Bayern   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bayern wins
6
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
17/03/23Bayern v Alba Berlin75-76
04/03/23Alba Berlin v Bayern71-76
18/02/23Bayern v Alba Berlin83-77
08/01/23Bayern v Alba Berlin79-80
10/11/22Alba Berlin v Bayern77-79
19/06/22Bayern v Alba Berlin81-96
17/06/22Alba Berlin v Bayern60-90
14/06/22Bayern v Alba Berlin58-71
10/06/22Alba Berlin v Bayern86-73
10/05/22Bayern v Alba Berlin78-83
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/23AOldenburg67-77
29/09/23HSyntainics MBC96-87
02/06/23AUlm102-104 OT
30/05/23HUlm88-93
28/05/23HUlm69-87
21/05/23AGottingen65-54
18/05/23HGottingen87-85
16/05/23HGottingen87-67
07/05/23AOldenburg76-88
04/05/23HHeidelberg78-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/23HCrailsheim Merlins110-75
28/09/23AHeidelberg90-81
24/05/23AUlm81-83
19/05/23HUlm81-93
17/05/23AUlm91-77
14/05/23HUlm64-88
04/05/23ABayreuth83-72
30/04/23HUlm91-79
25/04/23ABonn77-84
23/04/23HRostock104-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda110100%94.073.0+21.0
2 Maccabi Tel Aviv110100%96.081.0+15.0
3 Partizan1010%81.096.0-15.0
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne1010%73.094.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1917251980
Alba Berlin172771768
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