PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Turkey vs Iceland Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 29 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game72.6
vs
Position#60
Record3-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game93.8
EuropeWorld CupRound 4
Other2027
Meetings · Turkey v Iceland
29 Nov 2026
TURK v ICEL
upcoming
25 Feb 2024
TURK76
ICEL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Turkey win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Iceland win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece
#3
W
94-68
94
68
+26
A12/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
H14/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
W
93-71
93
71
+22
H27/11
World Cup
Switzerland
#43
W
85-60
85
60
+25
A30/11
World Cup
Serbia
#21
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A27/02
World Cup
Serbia
#21
W
94-86
94
86
+8
H02/03
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A02/07
World Cup
Switzerland
#43
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H06/07
World Cup
Lithuania
#41
W
94-66
94
66
+28
H28/08
World Cup
Iceland
#60
W
110-73
110
73
+37
A31/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
23-15
23-20
22-17
22-24
24-16
21-26
16-22
29-20
17-25
21-13
26-13
23-17
18-8
24-17
20-18
22-13
24-18
11-23
25-24
28-21
20-23
28-19
18-23
17-18
17-21
25-18
23-18
22-19
25-22
29-11
19-20
27-13
28-21
20-13
19-19
33-14
27-23
20-19
30-17
164.9Avg total
91.2Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.972.6164.5+19.2100%
Season at home (4)94.073.8167.8+20.2100%
Season away (4)89.871.5161.2+18.2100%
Last 10 (10)91.273.7164.9+17.590%
Last 5 (5)95.074.4169.4+20.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.083.0159.0-7.00%
vs Similar (5)80.270.2150.4+10.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.372.2161.6+17.195%
This opponent (Iceland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#8
L
79-87
79
87
-8
H02/09
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
74-114
74
114
-40
A04/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#29
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A27/11
World Cup
Great Britain
#81
L
84-90
84
90
-6
H30/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#41
W
86-85
86
85
+1
H27/02
World Cup
Lithuania
#41
L
82-99
82
99
-17
A02/03
World Cup
Italy
#29
L
83-102
83
102
-19
H02/07
World Cup
Great Britain
#81
W
88-86
88
86
+2
A05/07
World Cup
Serbia
#21
L
73-102
73
102
-29
A28/08
World Cup
Turkey
#4
L
73-110
73
110
-37
H31/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
15-15
11-24
33-27
9-36
25-30
12-24
28-24
21-21
17-13
23-20
20-22
17-17
18-26
16-26
33-21
24-21
19-23
11-24
32-17
14-26
19-26
23-27
26-20
25-27
21-31
16-26
21-18
19-24
22-25
21-20
26-17
27-25
15-27
19-18
12-32
14-33
23-27
19-20
17-30
175.4Avg total
80.3Scored
95.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.293.8175.0-12.538%
Season at home (4)81.596.8178.2-15.225%
Season away (4)81.090.8171.8-9.850%
Last 10 (10)80.395.1175.4-14.830%
Last 5 (5)79.899.8179.6-20.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)73.589.9163.4-16.419%
vs Similar (10)85.285.5170.7-0.350%
vs Weaker (4)73.573.8147.2-0.275%
This opponent (Turkey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.4+7.4Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.4+7.4Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
TurkeyIceland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TurkeyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece
#3
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A12/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H14/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H27/11
World Cup
Switzerland
#43
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A30/11
World Cup
Serbia
#21
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A27/02
World Cup
Serbia
#21
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H02/03
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A02/07
World Cup
Switzerland
#43
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H06/07
World Cup
Lithuania
#41
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H28/08
World Cup
Iceland
#60
W
60-37
60
37
+23
A31/08
World Cup
83.9Avg total
47.2Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.236.980.0+6.370%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.638.582.1+5.171%-
Last 30 away (13)42.634.877.4+7.869%-
Last 10 (10)47.236.783.9+10.590%-
Last 5 (5)48.839.087.8+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.244.884.0-5.620%-
vs Similar (5)39.235.474.6+3.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.135.280.4+9.985%-
This opponent (Iceland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IcelandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#8
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H02/09
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
34-66
34
66
-32
A04/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#29
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A27/11
World Cup
Great Britain
#81
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H30/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#41
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H27/02
World Cup
Lithuania
#41
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A02/03
World Cup
Italy
#29
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H02/07
World Cup
Great Britain
#81
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A05/07
World Cup
Serbia
#21
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A28/08
World Cup
Turkey
#4
L
37-60
37
60
-23
H31/08
World Cup
87.8Avg total
38.4Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.543.378.8-7.823%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.342.478.7-6.121%-
Last 30 away (16)34.844.178.9-9.325%-
Last 10 (10)38.449.487.8-11.010%-
Last 5 (5)39.854.294.0-14.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)34.045.379.3-11.319%-
vs Similar (10)39.141.480.5-2.330%-
vs Weaker (4)32.540.272.8-7.825%-
This opponent (Turkey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Turkeytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Turkey: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.8
57.1%
-41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.510.3
40.4%
-30.9
🏀 Free throws21.316.2
76.1%
-16.2
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Icelandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iceland: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.5
51.2%
-35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.4
30.0%
-25.2
🏀 Free throws18.713.7
73.3%
-13.7
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Turkey
WWWWWWWWLW
Iceland
LLWLLWLWLL
#4
League position
#60
+22.6
Net rating
-13.1
123.2
Offensive rating
100.0
100.6
Defensive rating
113.1
58.6%
Effective FG%
48.4%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.2%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
40.4%
3-point %
30.0%
69.5%
Assist %
70.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Turkey   ■ Iceland
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Turkey wins
1
Iceland wins
DateGameScore
31/08/26Iceland v Turkey73-110
23/02/25Iceland v Turkey83-71
25/02/24Turkey v Iceland76-75
Turkeylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/08/26AIceland110-73
28/08/26HLithuania94-66
06/07/26HSwitzerland95-72
02/07/26ABosnia & Herzegovina82-75
02/03/26HSerbia94-86
27/02/26ASerbia82-78
30/11/25ASwitzerland85-60
27/11/25HBosnia & Herzegovina93-71
14/09/25HGermany83-88
12/09/25AGreece94-68
Icelandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/08/26HTurkey73-110
28/08/26ASerbia73-102
05/07/26AGreat Britain88-86
02/07/26HItaly83-102
02/03/26ALithuania82-99
27/02/26HLithuania86-85
30/11/25HGreat Britain84-90
27/11/25AItaly81-76
04/09/25AFrance74-114
02/09/25HSlovenia79-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Turkey
World Cup 2027
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.994.089.8
Allowed / game72.673.871.5
Point differential+19.2+20.2+18.2
Avg total164.5167.8161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Iceland
World Cup 2027
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game81.281.581.0
Allowed / game93.896.890.8
Point differential-12.5-15.2-9.8
Avg total175.0178.2171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%101.870.0+31.8
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada880100%100.981.1+19.8
4 Turkey880100%91.972.6+19.2
5 Croatia1211192%99.273.5+25.8
6 France87188%85.171.6+13.5
7 Poland87188%95.882.2+13.5
8 Germany87188%93.682.1+11.5
9 Dominican Republic65183%93.377.8+15.5
10 Mexico65183%93.781.8+11.8
11 Senegal97278%86.370.6+15.8
12 South Sudan97278%82.068.6+13.4
13 Ivory Coast97278%88.276.1+12.1
14 Cameroon97278%76.471.6+4.9
15 New Zealand86275%97.279.8+17.5
16 Japan86275%91.074.8+16.2
17 Argentina86275%87.271.5+15.8
18 Lebanon86275%89.674.6+15.0
19 Brazil86275%90.878.1+12.6
20 Uruguay86275%84.473.4+11.0
21 Serbia86275%87.178.1+9.0
22 Ukraine129375%83.275.9+7.3
23 Angola96367%86.873.0+13.8
24 Guinea96367%75.266.1+9.1
25 Mali96367%81.478.0+3.4
26 Jordan85362%85.571.0+14.5
27 Spain85362%90.178.8+11.4
28 Iran85362%74.967.8+7.1
29 Italy85362%83.076.9+6.1
30 China85362%84.581.6+2.9
31 Georgia85362%85.582.6+2.9
32 Finland85362%80.679.2+1.4
33 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
34 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
35 Nigeria95456%79.976.9+3.0
36 Tunisia95456%71.769.9+1.8
37 Portugal84450%83.879.5+4.2
38 Hungary126650%80.977.9+3.0
39 Greece84450%77.174.5+2.6
40 Latvia84450%83.481.2+2.1
41 Lithuania84450%85.984.6+1.2
42 Bahamas84450%93.292.1+1.1
43 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
44 Slovenia84450%84.083.8+0.2
45 Philippines84450%76.976.8+0.1
46 South Korea84450%78.479.1-0.8
47 Sweden84450%81.183.5-2.4
48 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
49 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
50 Qatar84450%75.981.5-5.6
51 Montenegro84450%71.879.1-7.4
52 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
53 Egypt94544%75.973.1+2.8
54 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
55 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
56 Netherlands125742%82.181.1+1.0
57 Bosnia & Herzegovina83538%78.177.1+1.0
58 Estonia83538%80.483.0-2.6
59 Saudi Arabia83538%76.479.6-3.2
60 Iceland83538%81.293.8-12.5
61 Cape Verde93633%75.681.3-5.8
62 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
63 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
64 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
65 D.R. Congo93633%68.885.7-16.9
66 Chile72529%71.380.6-9.3
67 Israel82625%79.283.5-4.2
68 Puerto Rico82625%85.990.2-4.4
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
71 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
72 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
73 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
74 Panama82625%75.488.9-13.5
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Syria82625%66.889.9-23.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.