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Ulm vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 84-67
23-19 14-18 22-11 25-19
Position#9
Record4-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game87.0
Ulm 🏆
vs
Position#13
Record2-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game77.5
EuropeEurocupRound 7· Ratiopharm Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Ulm v Buducnost
03 Feb 2026
ULM90
BUD103
22 Jan 2025
ULM82
BUD85
14 Nov 2023
ULM84
BUD67
12 Apr 2023
ULM92
BUD83
20 Oct 2021
ULM79
BUD86
08 Dec 2020
ULM73
BUD77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buducnost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#6
L
82-111
82
111
-29
78avg 81
A11/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
73avg 81
A14/10
German Cup
Lietkabelis
#17
W
99-74
99
74
+25
95avg 81
H17/10
Eurocup
Hamburg
#10
W
94-78
94
78
+16
94avg 81
A21/10
BBL
Turk Telekom
#15
W
91-78
91
78
+13
84avg 81
A25/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
70-99
70
99
-29
62avg 81
H28/10
BBL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
108-103 OT
108
103
+5
108avg 81
H01/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
105-87
105
87
+18
109avg 81
H05/11
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
75-86
75
86
-11
58avg 81
A08/11
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#8
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
no box
A11/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-30
20-32
32-22
14-27
21-20
23-12
17-19
15-21
27-17
26-25
18-18
28-14
30-12
24-25
17-19
23-22
16-21
29-12
24-25
22-20
20-14
15-25
21-26
14-34
25-22
24-24
15-31
30-17
31-22
27-18
21-26
26-21
14-26
10-25
24-13
27-22
23-16
24-25
21-28
19-18
178.0Avg total
89.8Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)89.287.0176.2+2.267%
Season at home (3)95.782.3178.0+13.3100%
Season away (3)82.791.7174.3-9.033%
Last 10 (10)89.888.2178.0+1.670%
Last 5 (5)91.293.8185.0-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)84.185.0169.1-0.955%
vs Similar ◀ (12)89.084.0173.0+5.083%
vs Weaker (7)106.091.6197.6+14.4100%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBuducnost
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#15
L
77-79
77
79
-2
69avg 74
A11/10
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
82-69
82
69
+13
71avg 74
H14/10
ABA League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
103-89
103
89
+14
97avg 74
H17/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#12
W
93-85
93
85
+8
78avg 74
H20/10
ABA League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
74-89
74
89
-15
67avg 74
A25/10
Eurocup
Mega Basket
#4
W
73-71
73
71
+2
66avg 74
H28/10
ABA League
JL Bourg
#2
L
73-78
73
78
-5
69avg 74
A01/11
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
86-95
86
95
-9
78avg 74
A05/11
ABA League
Aris
#11
L
63-65
63
65
-2
53avg 74
H08/11
Eurocup
Split
#8
W
72-58
72
58
+14
66avg 74
H11/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
18-25
20-19
19-10
24-20
21-14
19-23
18-12
21-20
29-24
24-22
29-23
19-16
24-25
24-15
26-29
25-25
18-23
15-20
16-21
18-13
23-18
17-22
15-18
21-17
22-21
13-21
17-19
18-21
24-32
21-16
23-26
20-11
19-23
17-17
7-14
18-16
19-19
22-10
13-13
157.4Avg total
79.6Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.777.5155.2+0.233%
Season at home (3)80.773.0153.7+7.767%
Season away (3)74.782.0156.7-7.30%
Last 10 (10)79.677.8157.4+1.850%
Last 5 (5)73.473.4146.8+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.789.9160.6-19.10%
vs Similar ◀ (5)74.275.6149.8-1.420%
vs Weaker (18)89.274.6163.8+14.794%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
UlmBuducnost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#6
L
36-62
36
62
-26
A11/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#8
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A14/10
German Cup
Lietkabelis
#17
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H17/10
Eurocup
Hamburg
#10
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A21/10
BBL
Turk Telekom
#15
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A25/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H28/10
BBL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H01/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H05/11
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
24-51
24
51
-27
A08/11
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A11/11
BBL
86.8Avg total
44.5Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.742.687.3+2.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.942.390.2+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)41.542.984.4-1.360%-
Last 10 (10)44.542.386.8+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.643.486.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.243.886.0-1.645%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.040.783.7+2.367%-
vs Weaker (7)51.644.095.6+7.6100%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#15
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A11/10
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H14/10
ABA League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H17/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H20/10
ABA League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A25/10
Eurocup
Mega Basket
#4
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H28/10
ABA League
JL Bourg
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A01/11
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A05/11
ABA League
Aris
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H08/11
Eurocup
Split
#8
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H11/11
ABA League
82.9Avg total
42.1Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.482.5+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.339.082.3+4.371%-
Last 30 away (13)40.642.282.8-1.646%-
Last 10 (10)42.140.882.9+1.370%-
Last 5 (5)40.438.278.6+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.146.782.9-10.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.240.678.8-2.440%-
vs Weaker (18)45.637.983.4+7.783%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.9
56.6%
54.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.6
39.8%
35.5%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.513.4
72.4%
74.5%13.4
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.9
54.6%
54.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.0
34.9%
35.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.613.0
73.9%
74.5%13.0
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WLWWLWWWWL
Buducnost
WLLLWLWWWL
#9
League position
#13
+3.1
Net rating
+3.0
113.7
Offensive rating
108.2
110.6
Defensive rating
105.1
57.9%
Effective FG%
53.8%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
17.8%
Turnover %
16.3%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.8%
3-point %
34.9%
69.2%
Assist %
54.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 108.2Defence110.6 · 105.1Shooting57.9% · 53.8%3-point %39.8% · 34.9%Ball care17.8% · 16.3%Off. rebounds27.7% · 26.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Ulm   ■ Buducnost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ulm wins
3
Buducnost wins
DateGameScore
12/04/23Ulm v Buducnost92-83
19/01/22Buducnost v Ulm68-89
20/10/21Ulm v Buducnost79-86
08/12/20Ulm v Buducnost73-77
21/10/20Buducnost v Ulm73-68
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23AOldenburg98-94 OT
08/11/23ACluj-Napoca75-86
05/11/23HBonn105-87
01/11/23HSlask Wroclaw108-103 OT
28/10/23HLudwigsburg70-99
25/10/23ATurk Telekom91-78
21/10/23AHamburg94-78
17/10/23HLietkabelis99-74
14/10/23AWurzburg76-72
11/10/23AGran Canaria82-111
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HSplit72-58
08/11/23HAris63-65
05/11/23ACrvena zvezda86-95
01/11/23AJL Bourg73-78
28/10/23HMega Basket73-71
25/10/23ACluj-Napoca74-89
20/10/23HCibona93-85
17/10/23HSlask Wroclaw103-89
14/10/23HKK Krka Novo mesto82-69
11/10/23ATurk Telekom77-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game89.295.782.7
Allowed / game87.082.391.7
Point differential+2.2+13.3-9.0
Avg total176.2178.0174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
Buducnost
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game77.780.774.7
Allowed / game77.573.082.0
Point differential+0.2+7.7-7.3
Avg total155.2153.7156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris660100%101.281.7+19.5
2 Gran Canaria660100%89.073.8+15.2
3 Besiktas65183%80.072.3+7.7
4 Cluj-Napoca65183%79.073.0+6.0
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv64267%97.088.0+9.0
6 London Lions64267%92.388.3+4.0
7 JL Bourg64267%85.281.8+3.3
8 Ulm64267%89.287.0+2.2
9 BC Wolves53260%87.489.8-2.4
10 Joventut Badalona63350%84.281.7+2.5
11 Aris63350%68.769.8-1.2
12 Trento63350%82.284.8-2.7
13 Lietkabelis73443%83.687.4-3.9
14 Prometey73443%84.688.7-4.1
15 Buducnost62433%77.777.5+0.2
16 Venezia62433%77.879.8-2.0
17 Turk Telekom71614%77.984.6-6.7
18 Cedevita Olimpija6060%79.088.7-9.7
19 Slask Wroclaw6060%78.589.2-10.7
20 Hamburg6060%77.7101.8-24.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2314222584
Buducnost1918111967
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