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Ulm vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-81
23-21 15-19 16-18 23-23
Position#6
Record10-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#4
Record12-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game78.3
GermanyBBLRound 17
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Ulm v Bayern
30 Apr 2027
ULM v BAY
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
ULM77
BAY81
24 Jun 2025
ULM53
BAY67
18 Jun 2025
ULM79
BAY64
08 Apr 2025
ULM109
BAY94
01 May 2024
ULM74
BAY81
02 Jun 2023
ULM104
BAY102
04 Apr 2023
ULM59
BAY77
06 May 2022
ULM65
BAY77
15 May 2021
ULM102
BAY104
09 Feb 2021
ULM77
BAY81
19 Apr 2020
ULM v BAY
upcoming
28 Sep 2018
ULM77
BAY83
30 Dec 2017
ULM75
BAY89
08 Apr 2017
ULM68
BAY83
04 Jan 2017
ULM57
BAY68
10 Feb 2016
ULM74
BAY65
07 Feb 2016
ULM91
BAY72
05 Apr 2015
ULM76
BAY87
06 Apr 2014
ULM59
BAY70
27 Jan 2013
ULM83
BAY75
04 Jan 2012
ULM76
BAY75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
80avg 80
H26/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
84-86
84
86
-2
77avg 80
A29/12
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
73-72
73
72
+1
73avg 80
H02/01
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
67-74
67
74
-7
54avg 80
H06/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
87-89
87
89
-2
88avg 80
A09/01
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
98-74
98
74
+24
no box
A17/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
102-63
102
63
+39
104avg 80
H24/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
104-92
104
92
+12
102avg 80
A30/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
80-76
80
76
+4
70avg 80
H02/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
92-94
92
94
-2
88avg 80
A07/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
25-23
23-21
16-26
16-19
17-22
36-26
15-19
13-22
22-19
15-19
23-12
18-19
16-16
17-18
16-21
17-17
29-22
23-23
18-27
29-14
20-27
22-19
27-14
23-8
25-17
29-21
25-17
34-26
17-26
34-23
19-17
18-27
21-15
15-12
26-22
30-31
24-15
17-21
21-27
168.2Avg total
87.3Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)87.779.9167.6+7.862%
Season at home (7)83.774.7158.4+9.071%
Season away (9)90.883.9174.7+6.956%
Last 10 (10)87.380.9168.2+6.450%
Last 5 (5)95.279.8175.0+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.582.5162.0-3.017%
vs Weaker (18)86.977.1164.0+9.978%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#7
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
no box
H15/01
Euroleague
Hamburg
#7
W
85-71
85
71
+14
80avg 77
H17/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
51-75
51
75
-24
38avg 77
A21/01
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#10
W
98-78
98
78
+20
92avg 77
A23/01
BBL
Khimki M.
#18
W
95-93
95
93
+2
96avg 77
A26/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
69-66
69
66
+3
57avg 77
A29/01
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
103-105 OT
103
105
-2
no box
H31/01
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
74-70
74
70
+4
63avg 77
A03/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#15
W
101-95 OT
101
95
+6
no box
H05/02
Euroleague
Bamberg
#8
W
93-92
93
92
+1
86avg 77
A07/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
19-16
16-12
22-21
21-19
27-18
16-17
21-17
10-20
10-22
15-21
16-12
24-21
25-22
26-19
23-16
26-15
18-29
29-31
22-18
25-27
15-12
10-21
19-6
22-21
24-23
26-21
20-27
11-17
16-16
22-20
25-17
10-26
23-17
25-23
29-21
17-23
28-23
22-26
26-20
167.1Avg total
84.5Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)87.978.3166.1+9.680%
Season at home (8)89.476.6166.0+12.888%
Season away (7)86.180.1166.3+6.071%
Last 10 (10)84.582.6167.1+1.970%
Last 5 (5)88.085.6173.6+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.277.6154.8-0.460%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.280.5162.8+1.746%
vs Weaker (12)85.976.1162.0+9.892%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +4.8+4.8
UlmBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H26/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A29/12
BBL
Bonn
#13
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H02/01
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H06/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A09/01
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A17/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H24/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A30/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A07/02
BBL
84.0Avg total
43.6Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.080.7+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.836.876.5+3.056%-
Last 30 away (14)44.141.585.6+2.650%-
Last 10 (10)43.640.484.0+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)48.241.289.4+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.139.580.6+1.658%-
vs Weaker (18)42.238.680.8+3.650%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#7
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H15/01
Euroleague
Hamburg
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H17/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
20-42
20
42
-22
A21/01
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#10
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A23/01
BBL
Khimki M.
#18
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A26/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A29/01
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H31/01
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A03/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#15
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H05/02
Euroleague
Bamberg
#8
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A07/02
BBL
79.6Avg total
38.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.479.6+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.337.078.3+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)39.041.880.8-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)38.641.079.6-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.079.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.039.279.2+0.860%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.140.880.9-0.846%-
vs Weaker (12)40.337.978.2+2.450%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.715.9
51.8%
54.2%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.611.0
41.4%
37.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws25.721.7
84.4%
78.0%21.7
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.4
51.1%
54.2%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.37.4
36.5%
37.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.816.4
78.8%
78.0%16.4
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LWWWWLLWLL
Bayern
WWWLWWWLWL
#6
League position
#4
+8.9
Net rating
+1.8
119.8
Offensive rating
107.8
110.9
Defensive rating
106.0
56.5%
Effective FG%
52.3%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
16.9%
Turnover %
18.0%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.35
41.4%
3-point %
36.5%
68.4%
Assist %
53.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence119.8 · 107.8Defence110.9 · 106.0Shooting56.5% · 52.3%3-point %41.4% · 36.5%Ball care16.9% · 18.0%Off. rebounds27.9% · 32.0%Free throws0.45 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Ulm   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ulm wins
8
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
06/06/20Bayern v Ulm85-95
26/11/19Bayern v Ulm83-69
10/05/19Bayern v Ulm95-72
28/09/18Ulm v Bayern77-83
04/04/18Bayern v Ulm100-95
30/12/17Ulm v Bayern75-89
08/04/17Ulm v Bayern68-83
01/02/17Bayern v Ulm101-98 OT
04/01/17Ulm v Bayern57-68
26/12/16Bayern v Ulm79-87
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/21ABasketball Braunschweig92-94
02/02/21HFrankfurt80-76
30/01/21ASyntainics MBC104-92
24/01/21HChemnitz102-63
17/01/21AGottingen98-74
09/01/21ALudwigsburg87-89
06/01/21HBamberg67-74
02/01/21HBonn73-72
29/12/20ACrailsheim Merlins84-86
26/12/20HOldenburg86-89
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/21ABamberg93-92
05/02/21HAlba Berlin101-95 OT
03/02/21As.Oliver Wurzburg74-70
31/01/21HCrailsheim Merlins103-105 OT
29/01/21ACSKA Moscow69-66
26/01/21AKhimki M.95-93
23/01/21ABayreuth98-78
21/01/21AOlimpia Milano51-75
17/01/21HHamburg85-71
15/01/21HReal Madrid76-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayLLWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %62%71%56%
Points / game87.783.790.8
Allowed / game79.974.783.9
Point differential+7.8+9.0+6.9
Avg total167.6158.4174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%29%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayLLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %80%88%71%
Points / game87.989.486.1
Allowed / game78.376.680.1
Point differential+9.6+12.8+6.0
Avg total166.1166.0166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg1615194%89.978.8+11.2
2 Alba Berlin1413193%85.475.1+10.3
3 Crailsheim Merlins1614288%90.781.9+8.8
4 Oldenburg1613381%92.982.4+10.5
5 Bayern1512380%87.978.3+9.6
6 Hamburg149564%85.478.7+6.6
7 Ulm1610662%87.779.9+7.8
8 Frankfurt167944%79.281.2-2.0
9 Basketball Braunschweig125742%87.492.3-4.9
10 Bamberg1771041%83.082.6+0.4
11 Bayreuth1661038%82.486.8-4.3
12 Syntainics MBC1651131%85.790.3-4.6
13 s.Oliver Wurzburg1651131%78.885.9-7.1
14 Gottingen1651131%81.990.9-9.0
15 Bonn1541127%81.685.9-4.3
16 Chemnitz1541127%80.490.0-9.6
17 Vechta1631319%79.987.3-7.4
18 Giessen1621412%84.395.6-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2315162377
Bayern2119182381
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