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Unicaja vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-77
22-19 21-21 28-19 15-18
Position#4
Record9-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game84.1
Unicaja 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#13
Record4-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game84.3
SpainACBRound 13· Palacio de Deportes José María Martín Carpena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Unicaja v Breogan
31 Jan 2027
UNI v BRE
upcoming
23 May 2026
UNI101
BRE83
28 Dec 2024
UNI86
BRE77
28 Oct 2023
UNI87
BRE70
14 Jan 2023
UNI100
BRE66
09 Oct 2021
UNI72
BRE64
11 Nov 2018
UNI78
BRE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Unicaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UnicajaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnicaja
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
L
69-109
69
109
-40
50avg 83
A02/11
ACB
Petkim Spor
#11
W
108-56
108
56
+52
117avg 83
A06/11
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
68avg 83
A09/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
106-89
106
89
+17
108avg 83
A17/11
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
84-81
84
81
+3
76avg 83
H30/11
ACB
Oostende
#32
W
98-82
98
82
+16
97avg 83
H03/12
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
77-90
77
90
-13
69avg 83
A08/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
88-94
88
94
-6
77avg 83
H14/12
ACB
Szczecin
#49
W
91-67
91
67
+24
82avg 83
A17/12
Champions League
Baskonia
#7
W
90-88
90
88
+2
86avg 83
A22/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
18-28
19-30
14-26
27-18
21-4
34-19
26-15
18-17
14-16
25-26
22-16
17-19
31-17
30-28
28-25
17-24
19-10
16-25
32-22
33-21
20-20
25-25
20-16
13-18
21-21
18-21
25-30
17-17
23-20
24-26
24-31
23-14
19-13
26-20
23-20
20-23
22-17
27-16
21-32
172.1Avg total
89.0Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.484.1172.5+4.375%
Season at home (5)93.281.4174.6+11.880%
Season away (7)85.086.0171.0-1.071%
Last 10 (10)89.083.1172.1+5.970%
Last 5 (5)88.884.2173.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.090.0167.0-13.00%
vs Similar (4)83.890.2174.0-6.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)89.875.9165.7+13.983%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
76-70
76
70
+6
68avg 65
A19/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
L
77-81
77
81
-4
71avg 65
H27/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
53-111
53
111
-58
32avg 65
A02/11
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
78-79
78
79
-1
74avg 65
H07/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
77-70
77
70
+7
68avg 65
H10/11
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
63-79
63
79
-16
53avg 65
A16/11
ACB
Granada
#17
L
74-92
74
92
-18
63avg 65
H30/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
82-73
82
73
+9
76avg 65
A08/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
69-106
69
106
-37
49avg 65
A15/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
77-74
77
74
+3
69avg 65
H21/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
18-19
25-22
15-13
22-29
20-16
15-16
20-20
18-24
11-32
13-28
11-27
21-17
15-20
20-26
22-16
27-17
11-19
18-20
21-14
17-15
9-23
17-22
20-19
16-23
24-25
22-21
12-23
21-19
18-22
20-19
23-13
8-19
21-24
19-27
21-36
16-24
26-8
17-27
18-15
156.1Avg total
72.6Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)72.884.3157.1-11.633%
Season at home (6)76.380.5156.8-4.233%
Season away (6)69.288.2157.3-19.033%
Last 10 (10)72.683.5156.1-10.940%
Last 5 (5)73.084.8157.8-11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)72.580.5153.0-8.129%
vs Similar (12)76.580.9157.4-4.433%
vs Weaker (1)73.065.0138.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Unicaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
UnicajaBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UnicajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A02/11
ACB
Petkim Spor
#11
W
48-22
48
22
+26
A06/11
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A09/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A17/11
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H30/11
ACB
Oostende
#32
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H03/12
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A08/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H14/12
ACB
Szczecin
#49
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A17/12
Champions League
Baskonia
#7
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A22/12
ACB
77.3Avg total
41.1Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.336.479.7+6.980%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.636.779.3+5.985%-
Last 30 away (17)43.836.279.9+7.676%-
Last 10 (10)41.136.277.3+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)42.236.879.0+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.039.073.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (4)38.242.080.2-3.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.835.380.1+9.492%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A19/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H27/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A02/11
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H07/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H10/11
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A16/11
ACB
Granada
#17
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H30/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A08/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A15/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H21/12
ACB
76.8Avg total
35.7Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.338.674.9-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.336.674.9+1.757%-
Last 30 away (16)34.540.474.9-5.925%-
Last 10 (10)35.741.176.8-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)35.240.475.6-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.238.674.8-2.447%-
vs Similar (12)36.738.975.6-2.233%-
vs Weaker (1)33.035.068.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Unicaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Unicajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Unicaja: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.8
52.7%
54.0%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.4
35.5%
35.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.516.3
79.5%
76.4%16.3
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.517.6
45.7%
54.0%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.8
32.0%
35.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws16.913.3
78.7%
76.4%13.3
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Unicaja
WWLLWWWWWL
Breogan
WLWLLWLLLW
#4
League position
#13
+7.1
Net rating
-14.6
113.7
Offensive rating
96.9
106.6
Defensive rating
111.5
52.9%
Effective FG%
46.6%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
15.9%
Turnover %
19.9%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.5%
3-point %
32.0%
68.3%
Assist %
56.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 96.9Defence106.6 · 111.5Shooting52.9% · 46.6%3-point %35.5% · 32.0%Ball care15.9% · 19.9%Off. rebounds31.0% · 28.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Unicaja   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Unicaja wins
2
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
09/03/24Breogan v Unicaja65-76
28/10/23Unicaja v Breogan87-70
20/04/23Breogan v Unicaja74-90
14/01/23Unicaja v Breogan100-66
14/05/22Breogan v Unicaja93-84
09/10/21Unicaja v Breogan72-64
21/04/19Breogan v Unicaja83-75
11/11/18Unicaja v Breogan78-72
Unicajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24ABaskonia90-88
17/12/24ASzczecin91-67
14/12/24HGran Canaria88-94
08/12/24AReal Madrid77-90
03/12/24HOostende98-82
30/11/24HTenerife84-81
17/11/24AMoraBanc Andorra106-89
09/11/24AJoventut Badalona79-75
06/11/24APetkim Spor108-56
02/11/24AManresa69-109
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HBasquet Girona77-74
15/12/24AReal Madrid69-106
08/12/24AGran Canaria82-73
30/11/24HGranada74-92
16/11/24AMurcia63-79
10/11/24HBarcelona77-70
07/11/24HTenerife78-79
02/11/24ABasket Zaragoza53-111
27/10/24HForca Lleida77-81
19/10/24AJoventut Badalona76-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Unicaja
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW75%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %75%80%71%
Points / game88.493.285.0
Allowed / game84.181.486.0
Point differential+4.3+11.8-1.0
Avg total172.5174.6171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breogan
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game72.876.369.2
Allowed / game84.380.588.2
Point differential-11.6-4.2-19.0
Avg total157.1156.8157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia1310377%94.784.7+10.0
2 Unicaja129375%88.484.1+4.3
3 Gran Canaria139469%83.480.5+2.8
4 Real Madrid128467%87.976.8+11.1
5 Tenerife128467%85.882.1+3.8
6 Joventut Badalona138562%83.680.2+3.4
7 Barcelona127558%90.486.1+4.3
8 Basket Zaragoza127558%91.889.6+2.2
9 Manresa126650%85.081.5+3.5
10 Murcia125742%79.882.0-2.2
11 MoraBanc Andorra125742%87.590.1-2.6
12 Baskonia125742%86.089.1-3.1
13 Forca Lleida135838%83.286.3-3.2
14 Bilbao124833%80.883.2-2.3
15 Granada124833%77.180.6-3.5
16 Leyma Coruna124833%85.090.9-5.9
17 Breogan124833%72.884.3-11.6
18 Basquet Girona1221017%76.888.8-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Unicaja2221281586
Breogan1921191877
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