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Real Madrid vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 106-69
19-8 24-21 27-19 36-21
Position#1
Record7-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game76.8
vs
Position#13
Record3-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game83.2
SpainACBRound 11· WiZink Center
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Real Madrid v Breogan
18 Apr 2027
MAD v BRE
upcoming
10 May 2026
MAD97
BRE101
15 Dec 2024
MAD106
BRE69
03 Dec 2023
MAD91
BRE58
22 Jan 2023
MAD91
BRE73
17 Apr 2022
MAD90
BRE65
17 Feb 2022
MAD73
BRE67
27 Apr 2019
MAD94
BRE89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
98-86
98
86
+12
97avg 83
H12/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
64-74
64
74
-10
58avg 83
H14/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
85-78
85
78
+7
81avg 83
H17/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
98-84
98
84
+14
102avg 83
H21/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
95avg 83
A28/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
76-80
76
80
-4
67avg 83
A01/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
78-80
78
80
-2
74avg 83
A03/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
64avg 83
H05/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
90-77
90
77
+13
86avg 83
H08/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
83-92
83
92
-9
78avg 83
H12/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
25-24
27-18
18-19
6-19
19-28
24-11
15-16
28-13
23-12
15-34
19-19
23-22
32-33
24-13
19-16
22-17
12-21
20-14
20-22
23-21
22-19
12-19
19-21
26-30
17-21
23-8
12-21
20-12
11-25
16-23
23-22
18-13
21-21
21-18
30-25
19-24
19-30
22-18
23-20
166.2Avg total
83.9Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.576.8163.3+9.770%
Season at home (6)90.075.8165.8+14.2100%
Season away (4)81.278.2159.5+3.025%
Last 10 (10)83.982.3166.2+1.650%
Last 5 (5)79.482.2161.6-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.090.0170.0-10.00%
vs Similar (11)81.683.5165.2-1.936%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.177.0163.1+9.171%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#15
L
72-90
72
90
-18
58avg 67
A29/09
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
54avg 67
H13/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
76-70
76
70
+6
68avg 67
A19/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
L
77-81
77
81
-4
71avg 67
H27/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
53-111
53
111
-58
32avg 67
A02/11
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
78-79
78
79
-1
74avg 67
H07/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
77-70
77
70
+7
68avg 67
H10/11
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
63-79
63
79
-16
53avg 67
A16/11
ACB
Granada
#17
L
74-92
74
92
-18
63avg 67
H30/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
82-73
82
73
+9
76avg 67
A08/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
22-20
22-22
11-26
16-23
25-13
15-37
19-14
18-16
18-19
25-22
15-13
22-29
20-16
15-16
20-20
18-24
11-32
13-28
11-27
21-17
15-20
20-26
22-16
27-17
11-19
18-20
21-14
17-15
9-23
17-22
20-19
16-23
24-25
22-21
12-23
21-19
18-22
20-19
23-13
155.9Avg total
72.7Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.783.2155.9-10.530%
Season at home (5)76.281.8158.0-5.620%
Season away (5)69.284.6153.8-15.440%
Last 10 (10)72.783.2155.9-10.530%
Last 5 (5)74.878.6153.4-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)72.778.9151.6-6.231%
vs Similar (13)77.480.7158.1-3.338%
vs Weaker (1)73.065.0138.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
Real MadridBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H12/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
25-47
25
47
-22
H14/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H17/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H21/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A28/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A01/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A03/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H05/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H08/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H12/12
Euroleague
84.4Avg total
41.4Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.981.4+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.939.282.1+3.767%-
Last 30 away (12)39.640.880.4-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)41.443.084.4-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.282.4-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.049.094.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (11)38.841.980.7-3.127%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.237.981.1+5.376%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#15
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A29/09
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H13/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A19/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H27/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A02/11
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H07/11
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H10/11
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A16/11
ACB
Granada
#17
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H30/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A08/12
ACB
78.0Avg total
36.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.038.875.8-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.137.476.5+1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)34.940.275.1-5.327%-
Last 10 (10)36.641.478.0-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.840.075.8-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.638.374.9-1.750%-
vs Similar (13)37.739.777.4-2.031%-
vs Weaker (1)33.035.068.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.718.7
57.2%
54.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.5
36.2%
35.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.014.4
75.8%
76.4%14.4
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.318.0
45.8%
54.0%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.8
32.8%
35.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws16.712.4
74.3%
76.4%12.4
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LWLLLWWWLW
Breogan
WLLWLLLWLL
#1
League position
#13
+2.9
Net rating
-14.1
111.1
Offensive rating
95.6
108.1
Defensive rating
109.7
55.8%
Effective FG%
47.1%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
18.9%
Turnover %
20.1%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.2%
3-point %
32.8%
65.4%
Assist %
57.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 95.6Defence108.1 · 109.7Shooting55.8% · 47.1%3-point %36.2% · 32.8%Ball care18.9% · 20.1%Off. rebounds27.9% · 27.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Real Madrid wins
2
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
11/02/24Breogan v Real Madrid73-80
03/12/23Real Madrid v Breogan91-58
08/04/23Breogan v Real Madrid96-72
22/01/23Real Madrid v Breogan91-73
17/04/22Real Madrid v Breogan90-65
17/02/22Real Madrid v Breogan73-67
17/10/21Breogan v Real Madrid71-79
27/04/19Real Madrid v Breogan94-89
16/12/18Breogan v Real Madrid84-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/24HZalgiris Kaunas83-92
08/12/24HUnicaja90-77
05/12/24HFenerbahce70-82
03/12/24ALyon-Villeurbanne78-80
01/12/24AJoventut Badalona76-80
28/11/24ABarcelona97-90 OT
21/11/24HAlba Berlin98-84
17/11/24HForca Lleida85-78
14/11/24HAnadolu Efes64-74
12/11/24HVirtus Bologna98-86
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24AGran Canaria82-73
30/11/24HGranada74-92
16/11/24AMurcia63-79
10/11/24HBarcelona77-70
07/11/24HTenerife78-79
02/11/24ABasket Zaragoza53-111
27/10/24HForca Lleida77-81
19/10/24AJoventut Badalona76-70
13/10/24HValencia75-87
29/09/24ABilbao72-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW70%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %70%100%25%
Points / game86.590.081.2
Allowed / game76.875.878.2
Point differential+9.7+14.2+3.0
Avg total163.3165.8159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breogan
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW30%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%20%40%
Points / game72.776.269.2
Allowed / game83.281.884.6
Point differential-10.5-5.6-15.4
Avg total155.9158.0153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia108280%95.683.2+12.4
2 Unicaja118373%88.383.7+4.5
3 Real Madrid107370%86.576.8+9.7
4 Tenerife107370%86.281.8+4.4
5 Gran Canaria117464%81.078.1+2.9
6 Barcelona106460%88.584.6+3.9
7 Basket Zaragoza106460%89.988.4+1.5
8 Manresa116555%86.180.9+5.2
9 Joventut Badalona105550%80.880.0+0.8
10 Murcia105550%79.580.6-1.1
11 MoraBanc Andorra115645%88.388.7-0.5
12 Granada104640%77.880.5-2.7
13 Baskonia104640%86.990.6-3.7
14 Leyma Coruna114736%85.090.6-5.6
15 Bilbao103730%81.684.1-2.5
16 Forca Lleida103730%83.889.0-5.2
17 Breogan103730%72.783.2-10.5
18 Basquet Girona112918%77.089.9-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid19242736106
Breogan821192169
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