PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Unicaja vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 87-70
15-22 29-11 17-18 26-19
Position#2
Record3-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game84.7
Unicaja 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#16
Record1-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game77.2
SpainACBRound 7· Palacio de Deportes José María Martín Carpena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Unicaja v Breogan
31 Jan 2027
UNI v BRE
upcoming
23 May 2026
UNI101
BRE83
28 Dec 2024
UNI86
BRE77
28 Oct 2023
UNI87
BRE70
14 Jan 2023
UNI100
BRE66
09 Oct 2021
UNI72
BRE64
11 Nov 2018
UNI78
BRE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Unicaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UnicajaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnicaja
Date
Competition
Murcia
#3
W
79-74
79
74
+5
70avg 79
A16/09
Supercopa ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
81-88
81
88
-7
68avg 79
H17/09
Supercopa ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
98-75
98
75
+23
83avg 79
H23/09
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
92-100
92
100
-8
88avg 79
A27/09
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
76-82
76
82
-6
59avg 79
H30/09
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
69-76
69
76
-7
61avg 79
A08/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
113-91
113
91
+22
119avg 79
H14/10
ACB
Szombathely
#40
W
87-78
87
78
+9
83avg 79
A18/10
Champions League
Baskonia
#8
W
93-84
93
84
+9
88avg 79
A22/10
ACB
Le Mans
#35
W
83-74
83
74
+9
74avg 79
H24/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
21-17
19-19
19-18
17-21
14-23
25-17
25-27
24-26
21-14
26-21
27-14
24-23
26-25
22-27
20-25
26-21
12-16
17-21
21-24
22-21
14-25
22-12
11-18
23-22
35-24
29-18
26-27
30-26
13-15
23-21
21-16
25-19
19-25
29-16
20-24
15-16
25-11
17-19
26-28
169.3Avg total
87.1Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.284.7174.8+5.550%
Season at home (3)95.782.7178.3+13.067%
Season away (3)84.786.7171.3-2.033%
Last 10 (10)87.182.2169.3+4.960%
Last 5 (5)89.080.6169.6+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.088.0169.0-7.00%
vs Similar (10)80.379.9160.2+0.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)90.778.1168.8+12.683%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#12
L
66-83
66
83
-17
57avg 63
A10/05
ACB
Manresa
#14
L
81-82
81
82
-1
64avg 63
H14/05
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
68avg 63
A24/05
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
79-88
79
88
-9
67avg 63
H24/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
69-63
69
63
+6
57avg 63
A29/09
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
no box
H01/10
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
no box
A07/10
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
59-61
59
61
-2
44avg 63
H15/10
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
W
68-48
68
48
+20
64avg 63
H18/10
Champions League
Palencia
#18
L
59-74
59
74
-15
39avg 63
A21/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
21-22
12-27
18-17
19-22
23-14
19-23
20-23
18-20
18-14
20-19
24-24
19-23
18-26
20-18
22-21
17-17
19-23
13-17
20-6
18-28
25-21
21-10
13-18
24-18
3-11
15-14
32-31
15-11
6-13
20-16
18-21
23-17
12-5
10-15
23-11
17-12
8-24
20-24
14-14
148.0Avg total
72.7Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)72.077.2149.2-5.217%
Season at home (3)74.379.3153.7-5.00%
Season away (3)69.775.0144.7-5.333%
Last 10 (10)72.775.3148.0-2.630%
Last 5 (5)70.472.0142.4-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)71.884.8156.5-13.08%
vs Similar (13)79.679.2158.8+0.554%
vs Weaker (4)79.565.5145.0+14.075%
This opponent (Unicaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +1.8+1.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +1.8+1.8
UnicajaBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UnicajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#3
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A16/09
Supercopa ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H17/09
Supercopa ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H23/09
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A27/09
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H30/09
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A08/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H14/10
ACB
Szombathely
#40
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A18/10
Champions League
Baskonia
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A22/10
ACB
Le Mans
#35
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H24/10
Champions League
83.6Avg total
42.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.439.180.5+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.538.880.3+2.762%-
Last 30 away (14)41.339.480.7+1.957%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.083.6+1.670%-
Last 5 (5)44.240.885.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.044.075.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (10)38.240.078.2-1.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.838.482.2+5.372%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A10/05
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H14/05
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A24/05
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H24/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A29/09
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H01/10
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A07/10
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
21-24
21
24
-3
H15/10
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H18/10
Champions League
Palencia
#18
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A21/10
ACB
69.6Avg total
33.8Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.238.473.6-3.227%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.837.173.9-0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)33.739.773.4-6.113%-
Last 10 (10)33.835.869.6-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)30.232.062.2-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)31.840.472.2-8.58%-
vs Similar (13)37.438.976.3-1.538%-
vs Weaker (4)39.230.269.5+9.050%-
This opponent (Unicaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Unicajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Unicaja: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.0
52.5%
53.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.6
36.0%
34.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.317.5
78.5%
75.6%17.5
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 68.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.819.1
44.6%
53.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.3
27.8%
34.9%18.9
🏀 Free throws18.211.6
63.7%
75.6%11.6
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Unicaja
WWWWLLLWLW
Breogan
LWLLLWLWLL
#2
League position
#16
+6.4
Net rating
-6.1
113.2
Offensive rating
96.8
106.8
Defensive rating
102.9
53.1%
Effective FG%
43.6%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
14.3%
Turnover %
15.7%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.0%
3-point %
27.8%
61.8%
Assist %
50.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 96.8Defence106.8 · 102.9Shooting53.1% · 43.6%3-point %36.0% · 27.8%Ball care14.3% · 15.7%Off. rebounds27.4% · 33.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Unicaja   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Unicaja wins
2
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
20/04/23Breogan v Unicaja74-90
14/01/23Unicaja v Breogan100-66
14/05/22Breogan v Unicaja93-84
09/10/21Unicaja v Breogan72-64
21/04/19Breogan v Unicaja83-75
11/11/18Unicaja v Breogan78-72
Unicajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/23HLe Mans83-74
22/10/23ABaskonia93-84
18/10/23ASzombathely87-78
14/10/23HJoventut Badalona113-91
08/10/23AGran Canaria69-76
30/09/23HValencia76-82
27/09/23ABasket Zaragoza92-100
23/09/23HTenerife98-75
17/09/23HReal Madrid81-88
16/09/23AMurcia79-74
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23APalencia59-74
18/10/23HBursaspor68-48
15/10/23HValencia59-61
07/10/23ATenerife81-88 OT
01/10/23HManresa85-89 OT
29/09/23AMoraBanc Andorra69-63
24/09/23HBaskonia79-88
24/05/23AValencia80-77
14/05/23HManresa81-82
10/05/23ABilbao66-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Unicaja
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game90.295.784.7
Allowed / game84.782.786.7
Point differential+5.5+13.0-2.0
Avg total174.8178.3171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breogan
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%0%33%
Points / game72.074.369.7
Allowed / game77.279.375.0
Point differential-5.2-5.0-5.3
Avg total149.2153.7144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %33%33%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid660100%93.779.8+13.8
2 Barcelona65183%87.281.7+5.5
3 Valencia65183%81.878.0+3.8
4 Murcia64267%87.882.8+5.0
5 Baskonia64267%85.882.2+3.7
6 Bilbao64267%83.082.3+0.7
7 Unicaja63350%90.284.7+5.5
8 Obradoiro CAB63350%82.378.3+4.0
9 Basquet Girona63350%83.082.8+0.2
10 Manresa63350%86.887.7-0.8
11 MoraBanc Andorra63350%82.783.7-1.0
12 Joventut Badalona63350%84.087.7-3.7
13 Tenerife62433%78.783.5-4.8
14 Gran Canaria62433%75.786.0-10.3
15 Granada61517%87.391.0-3.7
16 Palencia61517%75.880.2-4.3
17 Breogan61517%72.077.2-5.2
18 Basket Zaragoza61517%77.886.2-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Unicaja1529172687
Breogan2211181970
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.