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Utah State vs UNLV Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 80-60
37-23 43-37
Position#20
Record25-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game71.1
Utah State 🏆
USA
vs
UNLV
USA
Position#192
Record17-15
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game78.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Utah State v UNLV
12 Mar 2026
UTAH80
UNLV60
20 Jan 2026
UTAH76
UNLV86
13 Mar 2025
UTAH70
UNLV58
29 Jan 2025
UTAH76
UNLV71
17 Jan 2023
UTAH75
UNLV71
05 Feb 2022
UTAH90
UNLV75
11 Mar 2021
UTAH74
UNLV53
05 Feb 2020
UTAH69
UNLV54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UNLV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#50
W
86-66
86
66
+20
A05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H11/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
99-75
99
75
+24
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H19/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A22/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A26/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H01/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
65-92
65
92
-27
A04/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
94-90
94
90
+4
H07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-33
50-33
39-35
46-48
47-35
44-43
48-34
51-41
30-23
45-33
40-38
37-42
33-46
39-43
41-27
33-42
24-32
41-60
42-43
52-47
159.6Avg total
81.8Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)83.071.1154.1+11.981%
Season at home (17)85.670.2155.9+15.494%
Season away (14)79.972.1152.0+7.764%
Last 10 (10)81.877.8159.6+4.070%
Last 5 (5)76.484.0160.4-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)80.276.8157.0+3.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)82.470.9153.3+11.581%
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#95
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H07/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H11/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
A14/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
86-91
86
91
-5
H19/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
91-66
91
66
+25
A21/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
85-83 OT
85
83
+2
H01/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
92-65
92
65
+27
H04/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A07/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
44-34
36-44
45-41
37-34
29-40
48-37
39-47
47-44
34-31
57-35
24-42
43-38
35-37
39-37
32-24
60-41
39-42
47-47
44-31
29-39
160.8Avg total
82.8Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)80.078.5158.5+1.553%
Season at home (17)81.975.4157.3+6.665%
Season away (15)77.882.1159.9-4.340%
Last 10 (10)82.878.0160.8+4.870%
Last 5 (5)80.677.4158.0+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)75.281.6156.8-6.527%
vs Similar (12)84.584.8169.2-0.267%
vs Weaker (7)76.763.3140.0+13.471%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +4.7+4.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +4.7+4.7
Utah StateUNLV
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#50
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H11/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H19/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A22/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H01/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A04/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H07/03
NCAA
72.6Avg total
38.0Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.633.572.2+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.532.873.2+7.869%-
Last 30 away (14)36.534.470.9+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)38.034.672.6+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)36.037.273.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)35.838.274.0-2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)39.132.871.9+6.365%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#95
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H07/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H11/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A14/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H19/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A26/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H01/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H04/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A07/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H11/03
NCAA
73.4Avg total
36.5Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.036.773.7+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.735.374.0+3.560%-
Last 30 away (15)35.338.173.4-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)36.536.973.4-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.835.270.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)33.638.171.7-4.527%-
vs Similar (12)39.040.079.0-1.042%-
vs Weaker (7)38.928.967.7+10.0100%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Utah State wins
3
UNLV wins
DateGameScore
04/03/26UNLV v Utah State92-65
21/01/26Utah State v UNLV76-86
14/03/25Utah State v UNLV70-58
30/01/25Utah State v UNLV76-71
16/01/25UNLV v Utah State65-62
13/01/24UNLV v Utah State86-87
02/03/23UNLV v Utah State66-91
18/01/23Utah State v UNLV75-71
05/02/22Utah State v UNLV90-75
12/03/21Utah State v UNLV74-53
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HNew Mexico94-90
04/03/26AUNLV65-92
01/03/26HGrand Canyon74-69
26/02/26ASan Diego State72-89
22/02/26ANevada77-80
19/02/26HBoise State75-56
15/02/26HMemphis99-75
11/02/26HFresno State91-78
08/02/26AWyoming85-83
05/02/26ANew Mexico86-66
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HWyoming73-70
07/03/26ASan Diego State86-89
04/03/26HUtah State92-65
01/03/26HNevada85-83 OT
26/02/26AGrand Canyon67-80
21/02/26AAir Force91-66
19/02/26HColorado State86-91
14/02/26ABoise State86-83 OT
11/02/26HSan Jose State82-75
07/02/26HGrand Canyon80-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW81%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWLLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %81%94%64%
Points / game83.085.679.9
Allowed / game71.170.272.1
Point differential+11.9+15.4+7.7
Avg total154.1155.9152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%53%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)100% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
UNLV
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW53%
HomeWLWWW65%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %53%65%40%
Points / game80.081.977.8
Allowed / game78.575.482.1
Point differential+1.5+6.6-4.3
Avg total158.5157.3159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%35%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)57% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %9%12%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State3125681%83.071.1+11.9
2 New Mexico3122971%80.770.8+9.9
3 San Diego State30201067%79.471.5+7.9
4 Colorado State32211166%76.571.1+5.4
5 Nevada32211166%76.071.1+4.9
6 Grand Canyon31201165%75.568.2+7.3
7 Boise State32201262%78.273.5+4.7
8 Wyoming32181456%77.173.0+4.1
9 UNLV32171553%80.078.5+1.5
10 Fresno State32131941%72.872.8+0.0
11 San Jose State3292328%71.878.1-6.2
12 Air Force323299%61.579.9-18.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah State374380
UNLV233760
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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