Barcelona vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	95.0	99.5	194.5	-4.5	50%
Season at home	no games
Season away (2)	95.0	99.5	194.5	-4.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	90.4	89.1	179.5	+1.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	94.0	179.0	-9.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	85.0	92.0	177.0	-7.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	87.9	89.2	177.1	-1.4	50%
vs Weaker (12)	95.7	85.3	181.0	+10.3	83%

This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormValencia

Date

Competition

Tenerife

105-74

105

+31

105avg 91

H12/06

ACB

Tenerife

94-87

90avg 91

A14/06

ACB

Real Madrid

75-89

-14

56avg 91

A20/06

ACB

Real Madrid

96-102 OT

102

-6

86avg 91

A22/06

ACB

Real Madrid

70-81

-11

56avg 91

H25/06

ACB

Unicaja

93-87

86avg 91

A27/09

Supercopa ACB

Real Madrid

98-94

87avg 91

A28/09

Supercopa ACB

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#20

80-77

75avg 91

A01/10

Euroleague

Virtus Bologna

#17

103-94

103

100avg 91

H03/10

Euroleague

Barcelona

93-81

+12

96avg 91

H05/10

ACB

23-10

32-25

20-22

30-17

20-29

19-16

33-15

22-27

15-19

17-16

28-29

15-25

25-22

20-26

23-21

21-20

19-23

21-16

9-21

21-21

18-26

25-18

30-27

20-16

24-27

27-17

18-25

29-25

19-18

15-17

26-26

20-16

26-23

23-23

26-25

28-23

24-15

22-18

23-25

24-23

177.3Avg total

90.7Scored

86.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	91.5	85.5	177.0	+6.0	100%
Season at home (1)	103.0	94.0	197.0	+9.0	100%
Season away (1)	80.0	77.0	157.0	+3.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	90.7	86.6	177.3	+4.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	93.4	86.6	180.0	+6.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	82.5	92.0	174.5	-9.5	0%
vs Weaker (25)	95.5	83.0	178.5	+12.5	84%

This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BarcelonaValencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	21.8	44.9	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	22.3	45.4	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.1	21.3	44.4	+1.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	20.8	43.8	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.4	43.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	22.0	22.3	44.3	-0.3	38%	-
vs Weaker (12)	25.2	21.0	46.2	+4.2	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.5	41.7	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	18.6	40.4	+3.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	22.7	43.1	-2.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.2	42.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.8	44.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	19.8	22.8	42.5	-3.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (25)	21.5	19.9	41.4	+1.6	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.5	43.3	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	18.6	40.4	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	24.1	45.8	-2.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	22.4	43.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.4	43.2	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	22.0	38.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.4	21.4	42.8	+0.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (12)	23.2	21.7	44.8	+1.5	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	20.5	43.8	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	22.0	45.2	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.5	18.8	42.3	+4.7	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	19.2	41.3	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.6	41.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	20.5	19.2	39.8	+1.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (25)	23.7	20.8	44.5	+2.9	64%	-

BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Forca Lleida

#16

53-35

+18

H11/05

ACB

Baskonia

44-57

-13

A18/05

ACB

Basquet Girona

#14

53-35

+18

H25/05

ACB

Bilbao

#15

45-30

+15

A30/05

ACB

Unicaja

37-46

-9

A03/06

ACB

Unicaja

35-44

-9

H06/06

ACB

Unicaja

42-43

-1

A08/06

ACB

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

45-51

-6

A30/09

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

51-45

A03/10

Euroleague

Valencia

33-46

-13

A05/10

ACB

87.0Avg total

43.8Scored

43.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.9	43.3	88.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.9	40.9	85.9	+4.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.9	45.4	90.2	-0.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	43.2	87.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	45.8	87.0	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	36.0	44.0	80.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	43.4	43.7	87.1	-0.3	38%	-
vs Weaker (12)	48.4	42.7	91.1	+5.8	75%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tenerife

55-35

+20

H12/06

ACB

Tenerife

39-45

-6

A14/06

ACB

Real Madrid

32-35

-3

A20/06

ACB

Real Madrid

45-48

-3

A22/06

ACB

Real Madrid

40-39

H25/06

ACB

Unicaja

43-44

-1

A27/09

Supercopa ACB

Real Madrid

51-44

A28/09

Supercopa ACB

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#20

34-35

-1

A01/10

Euroleague

Virtus Bologna

#17

49-46

H03/10

Euroleague

Barcelona

46-33

+13

H05/10

ACB

83.8Avg total

43.4Scored

40.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.5	41.0	85.5	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.1	40.6	85.6	+4.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.9	41.5	85.4	+2.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	40.4	83.8	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	40.4	85.0	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	40.2	42.0	82.2	-1.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (25)	45.2	40.7	86.0	+4.5	68%	-

This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	22.3	45.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	22.7	45.9	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.8	21.9	45.8	+1.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	20.7	44.7	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.2	44.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	24.5	48.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	22.1	22.6	44.7	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (12)	25.4	21.5	46.9	+3.9	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.5	20.8	45.3	+3.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.3	18.6	42.9	+5.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.6	23.4	48.0	+1.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	23.6	47.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	25.6	50.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	19.8	24.8	44.5	-5.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (25)	25.0	19.9	44.9	+5.1	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.4	42.9	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	20.6	42.4	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	22.2	43.4	-1.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.7	42.6	-2.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	23.4	43.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	25.5	23.5	49.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.8	21.4	42.1	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.8	21.2	43.0	+0.7	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	20.8	43.9	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.9	19.9	43.8	+3.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	21.9	44.0	+0.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	21.3	44.3	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	20.6	44.8	+3.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	20.8	22.0	42.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (25)	23.6	20.8	44.4	+2.7	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.0	43.7	88.7	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.0	43.3	88.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	45.0	44.1	89.1	+0.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	43.4	87.3	+0.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	45.6	87.2	-4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	49.0	48.0	97.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	42.8	44.0	86.8	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (12)	47.2	42.7	89.9	+4.6	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.5	41.6	89.2	+5.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	48.2	38.5	86.7	+9.7	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	46.8	45.2	92.0	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.6	44.9	91.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.8	46.2	95.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	40.5	46.8	87.2	-6.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (25)	48.6	40.8	89.3	+7.8	72%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 89.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game

48%

38%

14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	19.0	53.7%	60.4%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	12.0	44.6%	35.9%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	19.0	15.2	80.0%	78.2%	15.2

They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 89.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀41%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game

48%

38%

14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.4	18.4	55.1%	60.4%	36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.5	11.9	36.6%	35.9%	35.7
🏀 Free throws	20.7	17.0	82.1%	78.2%	17.0

They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.0	22.7	55.4%	60.4%	45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	9.3	35.2%	35.9%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	19.0	15.3	80.5%	78.2%	15.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	23.1	59.1%	60.4%	46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.4	9.0	32.8%	35.9%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	17.8	13.2	74.2%	78.2%	13.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	21.8	57.7%	60.4%	43.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.7	10.4	40.3%	35.9%	31.1
🏀 Free throws	19.0	15.1	79.6%	78.2%	15.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.1	20.1	57.4%	60.4%	40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.4	12.4	37.0%	35.9%	37.1
🏀 Free throws	19.4	15.5	79.6%	78.2%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	22.2	57.1%	60.4%	44.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	9.3	34.8%	35.9%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	18.9	14.6	77.3%	78.2%	14.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.4	20.9	54.3%	60.4%	41.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.1	9.6	33.0%	35.9%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	17.1	13.1	77.0%	78.2%	13.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Barcelona

LWLLLWWWLW

Valencia

WWWWWLLLWW

League position

+0.8

Net rating

+4.2

119.2

Offensive rating

120.9

118.4

Defensive rating

116.7

59.4%

Effective FG%

55.0%

54.4%

Opp. effective FG%

55.0%

19.0%

Turnover %

16.1%

34.0%

Off. rebound %

34.1%

0.30

Free-throw rate

0.31

44.6%

3-point %

36.6%

56.1%

Assist %

57.1%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

70%

Profile

■ Barcelona ■ Valencia

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Barcelona wins

Valencia wins

Date	Game	Score
05/10/25	Valencia v Barcelona	93-81
09/02/25	Valencia v Barcelona	86-100
17/11/24	Barcelona v Valencia	102-99
07/03/24	Valencia v Barcelona	78-88
04/02/24	Barcelona v Valencia	76-79
17/11/23	Barcelona v Valencia	74-70
29/10/23	Valencia v Barcelona	71-68
02/06/23	Valencia v Barcelona	64-87
29/05/23	Barcelona v Valencia	84-74
14/04/23	Barcelona v Valencia	85-71

Barcelonalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/10/25	A	Valencia	81-93
03/10/25	A	Panathinaikos	103-96
30/09/25	A	Hapoel Tel-Aviv	87-103
08/06/25	A	Unicaja	95-97 OT
06/06/25	H	Unicaja	59-81
03/06/25	A	Unicaja	101-97 OT
30/05/25	A	Bilbao	85-68
25/05/25	H	Basquet Girona	97-74
18/05/25	A	Baskonia	98-110
11/05/25	H	Forca Lleida	98-72

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/10/25	H	Barcelona	93-81
03/10/25	H	Virtus Bologna	103-94
01/10/25	A	Lyon-Villeurbanne	80-77
28/09/25	A	Real Madrid	98-94
27/09/25	A	Unicaja	93-87
25/06/25	H	Real Madrid	70-81
22/06/25	A	Real Madrid	96-102 OT
20/06/25	A	Real Madrid	75-89
14/06/25	A	Tenerife	94-87
12/06/25	H	Tenerife	105-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona

Euroleague 2025

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LW	50%
Home	-	-
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	-	2
Win %	50%	-	50%
Points / game	95.0	-	95.0
Allowed / game	99.5	-	99.5
Point differential	-4.5	-	-4.5
Avg total	194.5	-	194.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	-	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Valencia

Euroleague 2025

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	91.5	103.0	80.0
Allowed / game	85.5	94.0	77.0
Point differential	+6.0	+9.0	+3.0
Avg total	177.0	197.0	157.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Valencia	2	2	0	100%	91.5	85.5	+6.0
2	Zalgiris Kaunas	2	2	0	100%	86.5	82.5	+4.0
3	Monaco	3	2	1	67%	89.7	83.0	+6.7
4	Real Madrid	3	2	1	67%	80.7	74.3	+6.3
5	Olympiacos	3	2	1	67%	88.3	84.0	+4.3
6	Hapoel Tel-Aviv	3	2	1	67%	93.3	90.3	+3.0
7	Panathinaikos	3	2	1	67%	89.7	88.7	+1.0
8	Paris	3	2	1	67%	89.3	89.7	-0.3
9	Partizan	3	2	1	67%	83.0	84.7	-1.7
10	Bayern	2	1	1	50%	88.0	87.5	+0.5
11	Barcelona	2	1	1	50%	95.0	99.5	-4.5
12	Fenerbahce	3	1	2	33%	86.0	82.3	+3.7
13	Olimpia Milano	3	1	2	33%	83.0	81.3	+1.7
14	Maccabi Tel Aviv	3	1	2	33%	91.7	92.0	-0.3
15	Anadolu Efes	3	1	2	33%	84.3	86.0	-1.7
16	Lyon-Villeurbanne	3	1	2	33%	83.7	86.7	-3.0
17	Crvena zvezda	3	1	2	33%	85.3	90.0	-4.7
18	Virtus Bologna	3	1	2	33%	82.3	87.0	-4.7
19	Dubai	3	1	2	33%	79.0	88.3	-9.3
20	Baskonia	3	0	3	0%	91.7	96.7	-5.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Barcelona	26	22	30	30	108
Valencia	25	24	26	27	102

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Barcelona vs Valencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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