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Valencia vs Granada Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 107-91
23-16 32-23 19-21 33-31
Position#1
Record16-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game81.4
vs
Position#18
Record2-20
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game90.9
SpainACBRound 23· Roig Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Valencia v Granada
22 Mar 2026
VAL107
GRA91
11 Jan 2025
VAL120
GRA94
23 Dec 2023
VAL75
GRA81
19 Mar 2023
VAL80
GRA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Granada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Valencia
4.7out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 92.3
82.6▼ 9.7
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.3
84.4▲ 0.1
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 60%
62%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 20.0
18.2▼ 1.8
🔥 Form · Granada
4.8out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.3
78.2▼ 3.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 90.4
91.0▲ 0.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
55%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 14.3
13.0▼ 1.3
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
104-99 OT
104
99
+5
A05/02
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
87-90
87
90
-3
A08/02
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
82-67
82
67
+15
H12/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
107-75
107
75
+32
A15/02
ACB
Baskonia
#18
W
108-79
108
79
+29
A26/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
91-87
91
87
+4
H05/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#4
W
110-84
110
84
+26
H08/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
79-96
79
96
-17
A12/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
71-89
71
89
-18
A14/03
ACB
Barcelona
#8
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H19/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
12-28
25-24
27-15
18-24
27-23
22-25
20-18
22-17
22-16
19-12
19-22
25-23
32-16
26-14
24-22
35-16
33-19
25-23
15-21
25-13
25-26
21-25
20-23
30-19
25-20
35-23
20-22
19-20
24-31
22-24
14-21
20-25
8-23
20-16
23-25
15-18
18-17
19-18
10-13
173.3Avg total
90.1Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)94.781.4176.1+13.373%
Season at home (11)97.577.9175.4+19.591%
Season away (11)92.084.9176.9+7.155%
Last 10 (10)90.183.2173.3+6.960%
Last 5 (5)82.684.4167.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)89.089.0178.0+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)92.481.7174.1+10.764%
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GranadaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#8
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A30/12
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
90-107
90
107
-17
H03/01
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
71-108
71
108
-37
A11/01
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A17/01
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
H24/01
ACB
Breogan
#11
L
64-83
64
83
-19
H31/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
79-94
79
94
-15
A08/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
L
83-90
83
90
-7
H14/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
73-109
73
109
-36
A08/03
ACB
Manresa
#10
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H15/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
19-20
22-23
15-19
19-33
22-22
33-24
16-28
22-26
12-35
16-25
21-22
12-24
26-13
21-24
20-27
19-20
19-23
25-24
15-11
19-17
17-17
10-26
18-23
19-24
17-16
18-30
25-24
20-18
24-24
23-26
16-22
28-16
11-37
17-20
17-36
18-21
17-14
28-26
29-18
171.6Avg total
79.0Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.390.9171.1-10.69%
Season at home (11)83.289.5172.7-6.418%
Season away (11)77.492.2169.5-14.80%
Last 10 (10)79.092.6171.6-13.610%
Last 5 (5)78.291.0169.2-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)80.490.0170.4-9.617%
vs Similar (6)85.290.2175.3-5.017%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -3.8-3.8
ValenciaGranada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A05/02
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A08/02
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H12/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A15/02
ACB
Baskonia
#18
W
68-35
68
35
+33
A26/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H05/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#4
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H08/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A12/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A14/03
ACB
Barcelona
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H19/03
Euroleague
87.4Avg total
45.9Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.142.987.9+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.341.387.6+5.064%-
Last 30 away (16)44.044.288.2-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)45.941.587.4+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.484.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)42.644.587.1-1.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.042.388.2+3.755%-
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GranadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#8
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A30/12
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H03/01
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
34-61
34
61
-27
A11/01
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A17/01
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H24/01
ACB
Breogan
#11
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H31/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A08/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H14/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A08/03
ACB
Manresa
#10
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H15/03
ACB
81.7Avg total
37.9Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.943.982.9-5.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.743.883.5-4.133%-
Last 30 away (15)38.144.182.2-5.920%-
Last 10 (10)37.943.881.7-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.878.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)38.543.782.2-5.225%-
vs Similar (6)40.745.085.7-4.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.419.3
63.5%
50.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.7
38.5%
42.2%32.1
🏀 Free throws13.99.6
69.1%
74.7%9.6
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Granadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Granada: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.1
51.1%
50.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.4
31.6%
42.2%22.2
🏀 Free throws25.520.1
78.8%
74.7%20.1
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LLLWWWWWLW
Granada
WLLLLLLLLL
#1
League position
#18
+8.9
Net rating
-14.5
87.8
Offensive rating
92.6
79.0
Defensive rating
107.1
60.7%
Effective FG%
49.7%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
58.7%
13.8%
Turnover %
19.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.43
38.5%
3-point %
31.6%
65.3%
Assist %
51.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence87.8 · 92.6Defence79.0 · 107.1Shooting60.7% · 49.7%3-point %38.5% · 31.6%Ball care13.8% · 19.7%Off. rebounds- · 20.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Valencia   ■ Granada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Valencia wins
2
Granada wins
DateGameScore
09/11/25Granada v Valencia85-79
30/03/25Granada v Valencia69-97
11/01/25Valencia v Granada120-94
14/04/24Granada v Valencia81-88
23/12/23Valencia v Granada75-81
19/03/23Valencia v Granada80-72
18/12/22Granada v Valencia81-110
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/26HBarcelona62-66
14/03/26ATenerife71-89
12/03/26AReal Madrid79-96
08/03/26HMurcia110-84
05/03/26HZalgiris Kaunas91-87
26/02/26ABaskonia108-79
15/02/26AMoraBanc Andorra107-75
12/02/26HLyon-Villeurbanne82-67
08/02/26AJoventut Badalona87-90
05/02/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv104-99 OT
Granadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HManresa92-79
08/03/26AJoventut Badalona73-109
14/02/26HGran Canaria83-90
08/02/26AReal Madrid79-94
31/01/26HBreogan64-83
24/01/26HBilbao84-88 OT
17/01/26AUnicaja79-88
11/01/26ABarcelona71-108
03/01/26HSan Pablo Burgos90-107
30/12/25ATenerife75-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL73%
HomeWLWWW91%
AwayLWLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %73%91%55%
Points / game94.797.592.0
Allowed / game81.477.984.9
Point differential+13.3+19.5+7.1
Avg total176.1175.4176.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%82%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Granada
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW9%
HomeLLLLW18%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %9%18%0%
Points / game80.383.277.4
Allowed / game90.989.592.2
Point differential-10.6-6.4-14.8
Avg total171.1172.7169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2220291%92.482.2+10.1
2 Valencia2216673%94.781.4+13.3
3 Murcia2316770%88.983.5+5.3
4 Barcelona2215768%88.880.1+8.7
5 Baskonia2114767%93.188.1+5.0
6 Joventut Badalona2315865%85.080.5+4.5
7 Unicaja2315865%88.785.3+3.3
8 Tenerife2314961%87.483.2+4.2
9 Bilbao24141058%85.886.3-0.5
10 Basquet Girona22111150%86.689.4-2.7
11 Breogan2391439%89.393.1-3.7
12 Manresa2391439%84.791.9-7.2
13 Forca Lleida2381535%82.088.2-6.2
14 Gran Canaria2371630%79.184.1-5.0
15 Basket Zaragoza2371630%87.792.9-5.2
16 San Pablo Burgos2361726%89.093.3-4.3
17 MoraBanc Andorra2361726%85.593.3-7.8
18 Granada222209%80.390.9-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia23321933107
Granada1623213191
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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