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Granada vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 69-97
21-21 5-23 26-23 17-30
Position#17
Record6-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game86.5
Granada
Spain
vs
Valencia 🏆
Spain
Position#2
Record18-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game98.3
Allowed / game86.0
SpainACBRound 25· Palacio de Deportes
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Granada v Valencia
09 Nov 2025
GRA85
VAL79
30 Mar 2025
GRA69
VAL97
14 Apr 2024
GRA81
VAL88
18 Dec 2022
GRA81
VAL110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Granada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GranadaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGranada
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
74avg 70
H08/01
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
94-120
94
120
-26
82avg 70
A11/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
97-91
97
91
+6
92avg 70
H19/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
82-96
82
96
-14
74avg 70
A25/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
78-74
78
74
+4
67avg 70
H01/02
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
82-103
82
103
-21
60avg 70
A09/02
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
82-88
82
88
-6
71avg 70
H01/03
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
78-95
78
95
-17
70avg 70
A08/03
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
72avg 70
H16/03
ACB
Bilbao
#15
L
88-91
88
91
-3
78avg 70
A23/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
23-20
16-18
15-28
19-33
23-34
26-26
26-27
22-17
25-20
19-28
31-26
18-21
18-22
30-24
16-29
22-15
13-18
18-24
25-17
21-26
17-33
26-19
18-25
22-18
19-22
21-24
20-24
27-21
21-22
23-26
7-26
21-12
22-19
16-16
14-26
22-18
24-28
13-26
29-19
176.9Avg total
84.2Scored
92.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.486.5166.9-6.025%
Season at home (12)79.683.5163.1-3.933%
Season away (12)81.289.4170.7-8.217%
Last 10 (10)84.292.7176.9-8.520%
Last 5 (5)82.492.4174.8-10.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)80.389.6169.9-9.317%
vs Similar (12)81.579.7161.2+1.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#12
W
100-98
100
98
+2
99avg 90
H05/02
Eurocup
Barcelona
#5
L
86-100
86
100
-14
77avg 90
H09/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
65-79
65
79
-14
no box
A14/02
Spanish Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
115-71
115
71
+44
123avg 90
A01/03
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
89-70
89
70
+19
93avg 90
H08/03
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
98-74
98
74
+24
101avg 90
H12/03
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
104-89
104
89
+15
103avg 90
A15/03
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
127-81
127
81
+46
140avg 90
H22/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
91-82
91
82
+9
84avg 90
H25/03
Eurocup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
87avg 90
A28/03
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
32-27
22-22
28-22
19-25
18-27
28-30
21-18
15-19
16-21
20-25
14-14
29-20
34-20
26-19
26-12
19-14
23-23
21-17
26-16
30-15
23-21
17-16
28-22
21-26
29-18
29-19
25-26
26-17
27-27
42-19
32-18
20-24
22-24
23-11
26-23
21-23
28-31
22-22
20-20
180.6Avg total
96.6Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)98.386.0184.4+12.375%
Season at home (12)100.383.8184.2+16.592%
Season away (12)96.388.2184.6+8.158%
Last 10 (10)96.684.0180.6+12.670%
Last 5 (5)102.284.4186.6+17.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)85.084.0169.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)98.385.2183.6+13.175%
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +5.5+5.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +5.5+5.5
GranadaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GranadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H08/01
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
42-67
42
67
-25
A11/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H19/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A25/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H01/02
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
38-59
38
59
-21
A09/02
ACB
Murcia
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H01/03
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A08/03
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H16/03
ACB
Bilbao
#15
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A23/03
ACB
86.1Avg total
42.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.980.2-3.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.738.376.0-0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)38.945.584.5-6.627%-
Last 10 (10)42.443.786.1-1.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.887.0-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.443.782.1-5.339%-
vs Similar (12)38.239.377.5-1.242%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#12
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H05/02
Eurocup
Barcelona
#5
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H09/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A14/02
Spanish Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
63-40
63
40
+23
A01/03
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H08/03
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H12/03
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A15/03
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H22/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H25/03
Eurocup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A28/03
Eurocup
91.9Avg total
47.0Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.142.890.9+5.370%-
Last 30 at home (17)51.142.393.4+8.876%-
Last 30 away (13)44.243.487.5+0.862%-
Last 10 (10)47.044.991.9+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)49.445.294.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)40.030.070.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)49.043.392.3+5.771%-
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Granadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Granada: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.8
50.9%
54.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.1
33.0%
35.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.818.6
78.2%
76.4%18.6
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 97.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.521.2
63.3%
54.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.813.7
40.5%
35.6%41.1
🏀 Free throws18.314.2
77.6%
76.4%14.2
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Granada
LLLLLWLWLL
Valencia
LWWWWWWLLW
#17
League position
#2
-10.7
Net rating
+18.2
106.5
Offensive rating
125.3
117.2
Defensive rating
107.1
50.3%
Effective FG%
62.0%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
19.1%
Turnover %
18.3%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.0%
3-point %
40.5%
53.8%
Assist %
67.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 125.3Defence117.2 · 107.1Shooting50.3% · 62.0%3-point %33.0% · 40.5%Ball care19.1% · 18.3%Off. rebounds32.3% · 35.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Granada   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Granada wins
4
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
11/01/25Valencia v Granada120-94
14/04/24Granada v Valencia81-88
23/12/23Valencia v Granada75-81
19/03/23Valencia v Granada80-72
18/12/22Granada v Valencia81-110
Granadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25ABilbao88-91
16/03/25HForca Lleida82-85 OT
08/03/25AUnicaja78-95
01/03/25HMurcia82-88
09/02/25ABaskonia82-103
01/02/25HBasquet Girona78-74
25/01/25AJoventut Badalona82-96
19/01/25HBasket Zaragoza97-91
11/01/25AValencia94-120
08/01/25HReal Madrid79-84
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv91-96
25/03/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv91-82
22/03/25HLeyma Coruna127-81
15/03/25AJoventut Badalona104-89
12/03/25HCluj-Napoca98-74
08/03/25HBilbao89-70
01/03/25ABasket Zaragoza115-71
14/02/25AGran Canaria65-79
09/02/25HBarcelona86-100
05/02/25HJL Bourg100-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Granada
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %25%33%17%
Points / game80.479.681.2
Allowed / game86.583.589.4
Point differential-6.0-3.9-8.2
Avg total166.9163.1170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%8%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)40% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Valencia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeWWLWW92%
AwayWLLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %75%92%58%
Points / game98.3100.396.3
Allowed / game86.083.888.2
Point differential+12.3+16.5+8.1
Avg total184.4184.2184.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2420483%87.877.8+10.0
2 Tenerife2520580%87.482.2+5.2
3 Valencia2418675%98.386.0+12.3
4 Unicaja2417771%88.983.8+5.0
5 Barcelona24141058%91.786.9+4.8
6 Joventut Badalona24141058%85.083.6+1.4
7 Gran Canaria24131154%83.082.4+0.7
8 Manresa25131252%88.085.1+2.8
9 Baskonia24121250%86.286.7-0.5
10 Basket Zaragoza25111444%89.889.9-0.1
11 Murcia25111444%80.581.5-1.0
12 Breogan24101442%78.985.9-7.0
13 Bilbao2491538%81.283.1-1.9
14 Forca Lleida2591636%84.187.8-3.7
15 MoraBanc Andorra2591636%86.691.3-4.8
16 Basquet Girona2591636%81.187.5-6.4
17 Granada2461825%80.486.5-6.0
18 Leyma Coruna2552020%85.495.5-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Granada215261769
Valencia2123233097
← all games of the day
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