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Valencia vs Granada Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-81
20-18 15-19 14-23 26-21
Position#4
Record10-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game77.8
Valencia
Spain
vs
Granada 🏆
Spain
Position#17
Record4-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game87.9
SpainACBRound 15· Font de Sant Lluis
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Valencia v Granada
22 Mar 2026
VAL107
GRA91
11 Jan 2025
VAL120
GRA94
23 Dec 2023
VAL75
GRA81
19 Mar 2023
VAL80
GRA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Granada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Palencia
#18
W
101-77
101
77
+24
101avg 72
A25/11
ACB
Baskonia
#9
L
84-98
84
98
-14
71avg 72
H01/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
L
79-85
79
85
-6
67avg 72
H03/12
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
85-81
85
81
+4
75avg 72
H06/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
78-55
78
55
+23
75avg 72
A08/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
W
85-77 OT
85
77
+8
no box
A10/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
63-56
63
56
+7
58avg 72
A15/12
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
86-82
86
82
+4
87avg 72
H17/12
ACB
Partizan
#11
L
67-72
67
72
-5
62avg 72
H19/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
79-71
79
71
+8
78avg 72
H21/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
31-27
26-17
19-13
21-20
31-24
18-23
14-31
17-19
22-24
20-17
20-25
25-19
31-21
16-25
13-16
18-23
17-10
18-8
25-14
23-7
18-19
12-20
17-24
14-15
21-11
12-12
16-18
19-20
13-18
29-27
25-17
14-19
20-14
10-20
23-19
26-21
11-26
23-7
19-17
156.1Avg total
80.7Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.477.8159.1+3.671%
Season at home (7)80.978.7159.6+2.171%
Season away (7)81.976.9158.7+5.071%
Last 10 (10)80.775.4156.1+5.370%
Last 5 (5)76.071.6147.6+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.972.1145.0+0.862%
vs Similar (14)78.577.4155.9+1.164%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)80.276.1156.4+4.162%
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GranadaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGranada
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#13
L
93-94
93
94
-1
84avg 68
A14/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
78-70
78
70
+8
77avg 68
H22/10
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
84-90
84
90
-6
71avg 68
A29/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
64avg 68
H05/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
75-89
75
89
-14
67avg 68
A12/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
91-88
91
88
+3
90avg 68
H19/11
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
94-77
94
77
+17
87avg 68
A25/11
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
69-80
69
80
-11
57avg 68
A03/12
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
109-85
109
85
+24
106avg 68
H09/12
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
70-92
70
92
-22
60avg 68
A16/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
20-25
25-23
25-25
26-21
14-11
19-16
19-22
14-24
18-21
22-24
30-21
13-25
21-15
31-22
11-21
14-29
17-16
23-25
21-19
28-20
21-23
19-17
23-28
24-15
19-25
29-24
22-13
15-11
16-24
23-19
15-26
26-20
29-17
35-27
19-21
9-18
21-32
23-20
17-22
168.7Avg total
83.9Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.187.9173.0-2.729%
Season at home (7)89.688.9178.4+0.743%
Season away (7)80.786.9167.6-6.114%
Last 10 (10)83.984.8168.7-0.940%
Last 5 (5)86.684.4171.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)76.885.3162.1-8.523%
vs Similar (7)90.985.6176.4+5.357%
vs Weaker (1)83.071.0154.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.6-1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.6-1.6
ValenciaGranada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#18
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A25/11
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H01/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H03/12
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H06/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A08/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A10/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A15/12
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H17/12
ACB
Partizan
#11
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H19/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H21/12
Euroleague
79.4Avg total
41.7Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.377.0+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.638.779.3+1.962%-
Last 30 away (14)38.835.674.4+3.171%-
Last 10 (10)41.737.779.4+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)35.834.069.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.536.674.1+0.962%-
vs Similar (14)41.437.078.4+4.479%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.138.477.5+0.850%-
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GranadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#13
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A14/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H22/10
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A29/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H05/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A12/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H19/11
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A25/11
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A03/12
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H09/12
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A16/12
ACB
80.1Avg total
38.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.041.378.4-4.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.337.375.6+0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)35.845.381.1-9.513%-
Last 10 (10)38.841.380.1-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.641.082.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)34.141.876.0-7.718%-
vs Similar (7)44.441.185.6+3.357%-
vs Weaker (1)49.032.081.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.2
55.2%
53.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.7
32.1%
34.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.715.2
77.2%
75.6%15.2
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Granadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Granada: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.1
54.1%
53.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.2
38.2%
34.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.413.9
79.9%
75.6%13.9
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLWWWWWLLW
Granada
LWLWWLLLWL
#4
League position
#17
+3.9
Net rating
-1.7
109.1
Offensive rating
111.1
105.2
Defensive rating
112.8
52.4%
Effective FG%
55.5%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
18.7%
Turnover %
20.1%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.1%
3-point %
38.2%
60.9%
Assist %
51.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 111.1Defence105.2 · 112.8Shooting52.4% · 55.5%3-point %32.1% · 38.2%Ball care18.7% · 20.1%Off. rebounds31.5% · 30.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Valencia   ■ Granada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valencia wins
0
Granada wins
DateGameScore
19/03/23Valencia v Granada80-72
18/12/22Granada v Valencia81-110
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/23HVirtus Bologna79-71
19/12/23HPartizan67-72
17/12/23HMoraBanc Andorra86-82
15/12/23AOlympiacos63-56
10/12/23AMurcia85-77 OT
08/12/23ALyon-Villeurbanne78-55
06/12/23HCrvena zvezda85-81
03/12/23HBilbao79-85
01/12/23HBaskonia84-98
25/11/23APalencia101-77
Granadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23AUnicaja70-92
09/12/23HPalencia109-85
03/12/23ABarcelona69-80
25/11/23AObradoiro CAB94-77
19/11/23HMoraBanc Andorra91-88
12/11/23AGran Canaria75-89
05/11/23HReal Madrid76-83
29/10/23AManresa84-90
22/10/23HBasket Zaragoza78-70
14/10/23ABilbao93-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW71%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayWLLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%71%71%
Points / game81.480.981.9
Allowed / game77.878.776.9
Point differential+3.6+2.1+5.0
Avg total159.1159.6158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Granada
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL29%
HomeLWLWW43%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game85.189.680.7
Allowed / game87.988.986.9
Point differential-2.7+0.7-6.1
Avg total173.0178.4167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1413193%91.077.5+13.5
2 Unicaja1512380%88.177.3+10.8
3 Valencia1410471%81.477.8+3.6
4 Barcelona1510567%86.378.8+7.5
5 Murcia159660%83.679.6+4.0
6 Gran Canaria159660%83.583.8-0.3
7 Joventut Badalona148657%81.185.1-4.0
8 Manresa158753%84.784.6+0.1
9 Baskonia158753%84.285.0-0.8
10 Tenerife157847%82.282.2+0.0
11 Basket Zaragoza157847%82.582.7-0.2
12 Basquet Girona157847%82.586.4-3.9
13 Bilbao156940%77.880.8-3.0
14 Obradoiro CAB145936%80.382.8-2.5
15 Granada1441029%85.187.9-2.7
16 Breogan1441029%73.179.4-6.4
17 MoraBanc Andorra1541127%81.985.7-3.8
18 Palencia151147%75.587.5-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2015142675
Granada1819232181
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