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Valencia vs Granada Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-72
20-18 18-16 24-18 18-20
Position#8
Record12-10
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#16
Record7-15
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game87.6
SpainACBRound 23
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Valencia v Granada
22 Mar 2026
VAL107
GRA91
11 Jan 2025
VAL120
GRA94
23 Dec 2023
VAL75
GRA81
19 Mar 2023
VAL80
GRA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Granada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#15
W
92-91
92
91
+1
88avg 76
A10/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
82-76
82
76
+6
73avg 76
H12/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#4
L
85-86
85
86
-1
no box
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
85-92
85
92
-7
75avg 76
H24/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
75-114
75
114
-39
55avg 76
A03/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
77-72
77
72
+5
71avg 76
H05/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
84-88
84
88
-4
72avg 76
H07/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
91-95
91
95
-4
81avg 76
A09/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
79-75
79
75
+4
74avg 76
A12/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
82-80
82
80
+2
73avg 76
H16/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
21-23
27-19
23-23
16-22
23-18
17-19
26-17
13-21
21-20
24-22
27-23
25-15
20-20
13-30
27-27
24-27
24-30
16-24
11-33
19-24
16-20
22-8
20-20
21-17
21-22
13-26
29-23
20-24
20-25
25-22
26-24
26-19
20-13
9-20
24-23
22-21
21-21
18-18
21-20
170.1Avg total
83.2Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.883.6168.4+1.155%
Season at home (10)86.881.8168.6+5.070%
Season away (12)83.185.2168.2-2.142%
Last 10 (10)83.286.9170.1-3.750%
Last 5 (5)82.682.0164.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.187.5170.6-4.442%
vs Similar (12)86.285.1171.2+1.158%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)97.680.6178.2+17.0100%
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GranadaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGranada
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
L
66-98
66
98
-32
48avg 67
A29/12
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
84-95
84
95
-11
72avg 67
H03/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
72-90
72
90
-18
59avg 67
A07/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
62-82
62
82
-20
47avg 67
H15/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
L
78-92
78
92
-14
66avg 67
H22/01
ACB
Breogan
#10
L
67-99
67
99
-32
61avg 67
A28/01
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
83-71
83
71
+12
81avg 67
H05/02
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
73-90
73
90
-17
60avg 67
A11/02
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
81-105
81
105
-24
70avg 67
A05/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
80-66
80
66
+14
82avg 67
H11/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-35
18-17
12-24
19-22
20-25
18-16
20-30
26-24
13-21
24-20
16-33
19-16
14-19
10-13
22-25
16-25
16-23
28-15
16-22
18-32
12-29
12-30
18-24
25-16
26-21
23-11
17-24
17-15
18-20
16-22
21-22
18-26
19-22
20-34
24-23
18-26
19-13
20-7
21-20
20-26
163.4Avg total
74.6Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.587.6165.1-10.232%
Season at home (11)80.983.8164.7-2.945%
Season away (11)74.091.5165.5-17.518%
Last 10 (10)74.688.8163.4-14.220%
Last 5 (5)76.886.2163.0-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)77.589.5166.9-12.026%
vs Similar (2)68.072.0140.0-4.050%
vs Weaker (9)79.671.8151.3+7.867%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -3.2-3.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -3.2-3.2
ValenciaGranada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#15
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A10/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H12/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Olympiacos
#1
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H24/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A03/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H05/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H07/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A09/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A12/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H16/03
Euroleague
84.2Avg total
41.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.441.083.4+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.639.080.6+2.675%-
Last 30 away (14)43.343.386.6+0.043%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.884.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.282.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.641.382.9+0.258%-
vs Similar (12)43.241.885.1+1.458%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)44.038.282.2+5.880%-
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GranadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A29/12
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H03/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A07/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H15/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H22/01
ACB
Breogan
#10
L
24-59
24
59
-35
A28/01
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H05/02
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A11/02
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A05/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
39-20
39
20
+19
H11/03
ACB
77.6Avg total
36.3Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.278.8-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.735.376.0+5.360%-
Last 30 away (15)36.545.181.6-8.727%-
Last 10 (10)36.341.377.6-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.041.878.8-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.443.381.7-4.937%-
vs Similar (2)26.528.054.5-1.550%-
vs Weaker (9)41.636.478.0+5.156%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.5
51.3%
52.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.7
39.5%
34.5%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.314.1
77.0%
73.9%14.1
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Granadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Granada: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.2
50.4%
52.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.4
31.4%
34.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.813.2
70.2%
73.9%13.2
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWLLWLLLWW
Granada
WLLWLLLLLL
#8
League position
#16
-6.3
Net rating
-19.7
108.8
Offensive rating
97.0
115.1
Defensive rating
116.7
54.8%
Effective FG%
49.1%
59.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
17.0%
Turnover %
21.8%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
39.5%
3-point %
31.4%
58.5%
Assist %
52.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 97.0Defence115.1 · 116.7Shooting54.8% · 49.1%3-point %39.5% · 31.4%Ball care17.0% · 21.8%Off. rebounds22.7% · 30.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Valencia   ■ Granada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valencia wins
0
Granada wins
DateGameScore
18/12/22Granada v Valencia81-110
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/23HFenerbahce82-80
12/03/23ABasquet Girona79-75
09/03/23AReal Madrid91-95
07/03/23HOlimpia Milano84-88
05/03/23HTenerife77-72
03/03/23ABaskonia75-114
24/02/23HOlympiacos85-92
16/02/23AReal Madrid85-86
12/02/23HGran Canaria82-76
10/02/23APanathinaikos92-91
Granadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23HGran Canaria80-66
05/03/23ABaskonia81-105
11/02/23ABilbao73-90
05/02/23HFuenlabrada83-71
28/01/23ABreogan67-99
22/01/23HBasquet Girona78-92
15/01/23HReal Madrid62-82
07/01/23AJoventut Badalona72-90
03/01/23HBaskonia84-95
29/12/22ATenerife66-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW55%
HomeWWWWW70%
AwayLLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %55%70%42%
Points / game84.886.883.1
Allowed / game83.681.885.2
Point differential+1.1+5.0-2.1
Avg total168.4168.6168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%30%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)67% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %9%10%8%
Granada
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW32%
HomeLLLWW45%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%45%18%
Points / game77.580.974.0
Allowed / game87.683.891.5
Point differential-10.2-2.9-17.5
Avg total165.1164.7165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2219386%87.775.2+12.5
2 Barcelona2319483%84.373.3+11.0
3 Baskonia2218482%90.781.7+9.0
4 Tenerife2216673%82.272.1+10.1
5 Joventut Badalona2315865%82.177.4+4.7
6 Unicaja2314961%86.278.0+8.2
7 Gran Canaria2314961%83.978.7+5.2
8 Valencia22121055%84.883.6+1.1
9 Breogan23111248%78.979.8-0.9
10 Obradoiro CAB23111248%78.381.6-3.3
11 Bilbao23101343%76.579.7-3.2
12 Murcia2391439%79.684.7-5.1
13 Basket Zaragoza2381535%78.480.7-2.3
14 Basquet Girona2381535%76.180.5-4.4
15 Granada2271532%77.587.6-10.2
16 Manresa2251723%82.090.9-9.0
17 Real Betis2351822%77.385.7-8.5
18 Fuenlabrada2332013%77.191.5-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2018241880
Granada1816182072
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