Real Madrid vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	72.0	71.0	143.0	+1.0	100%
Season at home (1)	72.0	71.0	143.0	+1.0	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	89.7	81.2	170.9	+8.5	90%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	78.2	164.2	+7.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (14)	86.5	82.5	169.0	+4.0	71%
vs Weaker (15)	87.8	79.0	166.8	+8.8	93%

This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormValencia

Date

Competition

Breogan

#13

108-61

108

+47

116avg 91

H30/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

98-74

+24

84avg 91

H02/06

ACB

Gran Canaria

102-94 OT

102

94avg 91

A04/06

ACB

Tenerife

83-65

+18

80avg 91

H10/06

ACB

Tenerife

105-74

105

+31

105avg 91

H12/06

ACB

Tenerife

94-87

90avg 91

A14/06

ACB

Real Madrid

75-89

-14

56avg 91

A20/06

ACB

Real Madrid

96-102 OT

102

-6

86avg 91

A22/06

ACB

Real Madrid

70-81

-11

56avg 91

H25/06

ACB

Unicaja

93-87

86avg 91

A27/09

Supercopa ACB

25-13

22-18

29-12

32-18

26-15

18-26

34-8

20-25

16-24

27-22

24-26

23-18

23-19

24-18

20-22

16-6

23-10

32-25

20-22

30-17

20-29

19-16

33-15

22-27

15-19

17-16

28-29

15-25

25-22

20-26

23-21

21-20

19-23

21-16

9-21

21-21

18-26

25-18

30-27

20-16

173.8Avg total

92.4Scored

81.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	93.0	87.0	180.0	+6.0	100%
Season at home	no games
Season away (1)	93.0	87.0	180.0	+6.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	92.4	81.4	173.8	+11.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	89.2	174.8	-3.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	82.5	92.0	174.5	-9.5	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	96.5	83.2	179.7	+13.2	79%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridValencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	19.4	41.8	+3.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.8	19.0	42.8	+4.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (14)	23.7	19.9	43.6	+3.8	64%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.5	19.1	40.6	+2.5	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.8	41.5	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	19.4	40.5	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	22.3	42.7	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	23.8	43.2	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	19.8	22.8	42.5	-3.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.3	20.3	41.6	+1.0	54%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.9	39.9	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	18.7	39.0	+1.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.8	43.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.4	41.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (14)	19.5	21.4	40.9	-1.9	36%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.5	18.1	38.6	+2.5	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	21.2	44.9	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.5	22.8	46.3	+0.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.1	19.3	43.4	+4.8	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	20.1	42.6	+2.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	20.5	19.2	39.8	+1.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	24.6	21.6	46.2	+3.0	67%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baskonia

37-38

-1

H03/06

ACB

Baskonia

54-56

-2

A06/06

ACB

Unicaja

51-31

+20

H11/06

ACB

Unicaja

46-41

H13/06

ACB

Unicaja

34-48

-14

A15/06

ACB

Unicaja

39-43

-4

A17/06

ACB

Valencia

35-32

H20/06

ACB

Valencia

48-45

H22/06

ACB

Valencia

39-40

-1

A25/06

ACB

Tenerife

35-45

-10

H27/09

Supercopa ACB

83.7Avg total

41.8Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	39.3	81.7	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.4	40.0	83.4	+3.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.2	38.6	79.8	+2.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	41.9	83.7	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	41.0	80.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (14)	43.2	41.3	84.5	+1.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (15)	42.1	37.1	79.2	+4.9	67%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Breogan

#13

47-31

+16

H30/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

44-41

H02/06

ACB

Gran Canaria

43-46

-3

A04/06

ACB

Tenerife

47-37

+10

H10/06

ACB

Tenerife

55-35

+20

H12/06

ACB

Tenerife

39-45

-6

A14/06

ACB

Real Madrid

32-35

-3

A20/06

ACB

Real Madrid

45-48

-3

A22/06

ACB

Real Madrid

40-39

H25/06

ACB

Unicaja

43-44

-1

A27/09

Supercopa ACB

83.6Avg total

43.5Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.5	41.9	86.5	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.6	42.2	86.8	+2.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.5	41.6	86.1	+2.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	40.1	83.6	+3.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	42.2	82.0	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	40.2	42.0	82.2	-1.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	45.9	41.9	87.8	+4.0	62%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	20.7	43.2	+1.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	20.5	43.7	+2.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.7	21.0	42.7	+0.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	19.4	43.4	+4.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (14)	20.9	20.4	41.4	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	24.1	21.4	45.5	+2.7	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.6	20.6	45.2	+3.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.4	18.7	43.1	+5.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.8	22.9	47.6	+1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	20.3	45.3	+4.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	22.6	47.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	19.8	24.8	44.5	-5.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	25.3	19.5	44.8	+5.8	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.1	41.4	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	20.3	42.1	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	19.2	41.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	16.8	38.4	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (14)	21.4	20.3	41.7	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.6	20.5	42.1	+1.1	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	20.1	42.8	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.7	19.6	43.2	+4.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	20.8	42.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	19.3	41.3	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	20.8	22.0	42.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	23.5	20.2	43.7	+3.2	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	40.8	84.7	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.9	40.8	85.8	+4.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.6	40.8	83.4	+1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.6	38.6	85.2	+8.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	35.8	80.0	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (14)	42.4	40.7	83.1	+1.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (15)	45.7	41.9	87.6	+3.9	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.2	40.8	88.0	+6.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	48.1	38.2	86.3	+9.8	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	46.3	43.6	89.9	+2.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.0	39.6	86.6	+7.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	44.4	88.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	40.5	46.8	87.2	-6.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	48.8	39.8	88.5	+9.0	79%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 88.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	20.8	57.6%	-	41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	9.9	34.1%	-	29.7
🏀 Free throws	22.0	17.6	80.0%	-	17.6

They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 91.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀41%

🏀🏀🏀43%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.1	18.9	55.4%	-	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.4	13.2	38.4%	-	39.6
🏀 Free throws	17.9	14.4	80.4%	-	14.4

They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	19.2	51.3%	-	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.3	9.6	32.8%	-	28.8
🏀 Free throws	16.8	13.2	78.6%	-	13.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.4	20.0	50.8%	-	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.5	9.2	31.2%	-	27.6
🏀 Free throws	17.1	13.0	76.0%	-	13.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	21.2	58.4%	-	42.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	9.3	34.6%	-	28.0
🏀 Free throws	20.7	15.5	74.9%	-	15.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.8	20.1	57.9%	-	40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.3	12.8	37.3%	-	38.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.6	78.6%	-	14.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.9	18.5	50.2%	-	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.2	9.6	32.8%	-	28.8
🏀 Free throws	17.8	13.7	77.0%	-	13.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.3	21.0	53.4%	-	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.0	9.6	32.0%	-	28.8
🏀 Free throws	17.1	12.9	75.6%	-	12.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Real Madrid

WWWWWLWWWW

Valencia

WLLLWWWWWW

League position

+11.3

Net rating

+14.7

118.1

Offensive rating

120.3

106.8

Defensive rating

105.6

54.8%

Effective FG%

56.5%

50.4%

Opp. effective FG%

49.1%

15.5%

Turnover %

15.9%

32.7%

Off. rebound %

32.8%

0.34

Free-throw rate

0.26

34.1%

3-point %

38.4%

47.9%

Assist %

54.5%

90%

Form (last 10/10)

70%

Profile

■ Real Madrid ■ Valencia

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Valencia wins

Date	Game	Score
25/06/25	Valencia v Real Madrid	70-81
22/06/25	Real Madrid v Valencia	102-96 OT
20/06/25	Real Madrid v Valencia	89-75
04/05/25	Real Madrid v Valencia	96-89
22/12/24	Valencia v Real Madrid	85-84
10/05/24	Valencia v Real Madrid	99-93
17/02/24	Real Madrid v Valencia	95-76
11/01/24	Real Madrid v Valencia	96-86 OT
31/12/23	Real Madrid v Valencia	83-74
14/11/23	Valencia v Real Madrid	73-76

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/09/25	H	Tenerife	72-71
25/06/25	A	Valencia	81-70
22/06/25	H	Valencia	102-96 OT
20/06/25	H	Valencia	89-75
17/06/25	A	Unicaja	86-79
15/06/25	A	Unicaja	84-86
13/06/25	H	Unicaja	90-75
11/06/25	H	Unicaja	99-81
06/06/25	A	Baskonia	112-103
03/06/25	H	Baskonia	82-76

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/09/25	A	Unicaja	93-87
25/06/25	H	Real Madrid	70-81
22/06/25	A	Real Madrid	96-102 OT
20/06/25	A	Real Madrid	75-89
14/06/25	A	Tenerife	94-87
12/06/25	H	Tenerife	105-74
10/06/25	H	Tenerife	83-65
04/06/25	A	Gran Canaria	102-94 OT
02/06/25	H	Gran Canaria	98-74
30/05/25	H	Breogan	108-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

Supercopa ACB 2025

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	72.0	72.0	-
Allowed / game	71.0	71.0	-
Point differential	+1.0	+1.0	-
Avg total	143.0	143.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

Valencia

Supercopa ACB 2025

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	-	-
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	-	1
Win %	100%	-	100%
Points / game	93.0	-	93.0
Allowed / game	87.0	-	87.0
Point differential	+6.0	-	+6.0
Avg total	180.0	-	180.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	-	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Valencia	1	1	0	100%	93.0	87.0	+6.0
2	Real Madrid	1	1	0	100%	72.0	71.0	+1.0
3	Tenerife	1	0	1	0%	71.0	72.0	-1.0
4	Unicaja	1	0	1	0%	87.0	93.0	-6.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Madrid	27	17	25	25	94
Valencia	24	27	18	29	98

← all games of the day

Real Madrid vs Valencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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