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Breogan vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 90-113
27-19 20-35 27-30 16-29
Position#11
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game87.0
Breogan
Spain
vs
Valencia 🏆
Spain
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game81.0
SpainACBRound 2· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Breogan v Valencia
24 Jan 2027
BRE v VAL
upcoming
12 Oct 2025
BRE90
VAL113
13 Oct 2024
BRE75
VAL87
15 Oct 2023
BRE59
VAL61
06 Nov 2022
BRE83
VAL88
13 Feb 2022
BRE99
VAL82
20 Jan 2019
BRE65
VAL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#16
L
81-94
81
94
-13
72avg 69
A05/04
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
85-91
85
91
-6
77avg 69
A12/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
85avg 69
H20/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
50avg 69
H26/04
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
104-93
104
93
+11
90avg 69
A03/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
69-79
69
79
-10
56avg 69
H11/05
ACB
Granada
#17
L
82-91
82
91
-9
67avg 69
A17/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
74-82
74
82
-8
59avg 69
H25/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
61-108
61
108
-47
40avg 69
A30/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
L
68-87
68
87
-19
45avg 69
A04/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
17-19
15-24
19-28
16-27
19-18
19-18
31-28
24-23
18-19
22-23
26-20
7-20
18-24
20-19
20-19
30-15
29-20
26-26
19-32
13-24
14-10
27-25
15-20
16-23
24-26
18-22
24-20
18-27
18-13
17-32
21-10
13-25
18-22
12-29
18-32
15-23
15-22
16-19
22-23
167.1Avg total
77.9Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)68.087.0155.0-19.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)68.087.0155.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)77.989.2167.1-11.320%
Last 5 (5)70.889.4160.2-18.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)79.685.9165.5-6.341%
vs Similar (7)84.088.6172.6-4.643%
vs Weaker (1)68.087.0155.0-19.00%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
W
94-87
94
87
+7
90avg 92
A14/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
56avg 92
A20/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
96-102 OT
96
102
-6
86avg 92
A22/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
70-81
70
81
-11
56avg 92
H25/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
93-87
93
87
+6
86avg 92
A27/09
Supercopa ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
98-94
98
94
+4
87avg 92
A28/09
Supercopa ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
80-77
80
77
+3
75avg 92
A01/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
103-94
103
94
+9
100avg 92
H03/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
93-81
93
81
+12
96avg 92
H05/10
ACB
Barcelona
#8
L
102-108
102
108
-6
97avg 92
A10/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
19-16
33-15
22-27
15-19
17-16
28-29
15-25
25-22
20-26
23-21
21-20
19-23
21-16
9-21
21-21
18-26
25-18
30-27
20-16
24-27
27-17
18-25
29-25
19-18
15-17
26-26
20-16
26-23
23-23
26-25
28-23
24-15
22-18
23-25
24-23
25-26
24-22
26-30
27-30
180.4Avg total
90.4Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)93.081.0174.0+12.0100%
Season at home (1)93.081.0174.0+12.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.490.0180.4+0.460%
Last 5 (5)95.290.8186.0+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)86.495.2181.6-8.80%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)95.883.5179.3+12.283%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.1+0.1
BreoganValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#16
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A05/04
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A12/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H20/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H26/04
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
59-35
59
35
+24
A03/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H11/05
ACB
Granada
#17
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A17/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H25/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A30/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A04/10
ACB
79.5Avg total
37.2Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.979.9-1.927%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.838.575.3-1.727%-
Last 30 away (15)41.243.384.5-2.127%-
Last 10 (10)37.242.379.5-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)32.843.075.8-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.140.378.4-2.223%-
vs Similar (7)43.142.185.3+1.043%-
vs Weaker (1)30.045.075.0-15.00%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A14/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A20/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A22/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H25/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A27/09
Supercopa ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A28/09
Supercopa ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A01/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H03/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H05/10
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A10/10
Euroleague
84.5Avg total
42.8Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.741.486.1+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.340.886.1+4.573%-
Last 30 away (15)44.241.986.1+2.347%-
Last 10 (10)42.841.784.5+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.287.0+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)42.043.285.2-1.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.440.986.2+4.567%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.015.2
46.1%
50.0%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.810.9
34.3%
42.2%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.413.9
75.5%
74.7%13.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.8
56.1%
50.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.911.6
36.4%
42.2%34.8
🏀 Free throws20.316.6
81.8%
74.7%16.6
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LLLLLWLWLL
Valencia
LWWWWWLLLW
#11
League position
#1
-15.5
Net rating
-1.3
101.0
Offensive rating
119.9
116.5
Defensive rating
121.3
48.7%
Effective FG%
55.4%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.4%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.3%
3-point %
36.4%
60.2%
Assist %
57.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 119.9Defence116.5 · 121.3Shooting48.7% · 55.4%3-point %34.3% · 36.4%Ball care17.5% · 16.4%Off. rebounds26.2% · 33.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Breogan   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Breogan wins
7
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
30/05/25Valencia v Breogan108-61
13/10/24Breogan v Valencia75-87
14/01/24Valencia v Breogan88-80
15/10/23Breogan v Valencia59-61
24/05/23Valencia v Breogan77-80
06/11/22Breogan v Valencia83-88
13/02/22Breogan v Valencia99-82
19/12/21Valencia v Breogan97-98
04/05/19Valencia v Breogan83-82
20/01/19Breogan v Valencia65-77
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25AForca Lleida68-87
30/05/25AValencia61-108
25/05/25HGran Canaria74-82
17/05/25AGranada82-91
11/05/25HReal Madrid69-79
03/05/25AManresa104-93
26/04/25HJoventut Badalona65-82
20/04/25HBasket Zaragoza90-85
12/04/25ABasquet Girona85-91
05/04/25AForca Lleida81-94
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25ABarcelona102-108
05/10/25HBarcelona93-81
03/10/25HVirtus Bologna103-94
01/10/25ALyon-Villeurbanne80-77
28/09/25AReal Madrid98-94
27/09/25AUnicaja93-87
25/06/25HReal Madrid70-81
22/06/25AReal Madrid96-102 OT
20/06/25AReal Madrid75-89
14/06/25ATenerife94-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game68.0-68.0
Allowed / game87.0-87.0
Point differential-19.0--19.0
Avg total155.0-155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Valencia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game93.093.0-
Allowed / game81.081.0-
Point differential+12.0+12.0-
Avg total174.0174.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murcia220100%94.067.5+26.5
2 Tenerife220100%100.078.5+21.5
3 San Pablo Burgos110100%97.079.0+18.0
4 Unicaja220100%83.570.0+13.5
5 Forca Lleida220100%89.077.0+12.0
6 Valencia110100%93.081.0+12.0
7 Real Madrid110100%81.071.0+10.0
8 Joventut Badalona220100%88.080.5+7.5
9 Basket Zaragoza21150%96.588.5+8.0
10 Manresa21150%88.086.0+2.0
11 Barcelona2020%83.592.0-8.5
12 Gran Canaria2020%71.581.0-9.5
13 Granada2020%71.585.0-13.5
14 Bilbao1010%68.086.0-18.0
15 Baskonia1010%88.0107.0-19.0
16 Breogan1010%68.087.0-19.0
17 Basquet Girona2020%75.095.0-20.0
18 MoraBanc Andorra2020%64.095.5-31.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan2720271690
Valencia19353029113
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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