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Valencia vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 84-88
21-17 21-22 13-26 29-23
Position#13
Record13-13
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game85.3
Valencia
vs
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Position#12
Record10-15
FormWLWWW
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game76.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 27
European cup2022
Meetings · Valencia v Olimpia Milano
03 Feb 2027
VAL v MIL
upcoming
07 Apr 2026
VAL102
MIL96
19 Jan 2024
VAL84
MIL72
07 Mar 2023
VAL84
MIL88
06 Nov 2020
VAL86
MIL81
15 Nov 2017
VAL98
MIL103
11 Nov 2010
VAL69
MIL80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
L
86-102
86
102
-16
75avg 77
A29/01
ACB
Bayern
#16
W
82-73
82
73
+9
76avg 77
H31/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
93-94
93
94
-1
83avg 77
H02/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
75-81
75
81
-6
70avg 77
A05/02
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
92-91
92
91
+1
88avg 77
A10/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
82-76
82
76
+6
73avg 77
H12/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#4
L
85-86
85
86
-1
no box
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
85-92
85
92
-7
75avg 77
H24/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
75-114
75
114
-39
55avg 77
A03/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
77-72
77
72
+5
71avg 77
H05/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
18-28
32-24
21-31
16-14
17-18
28-24
21-17
28-24
27-21
23-34
15-15
24-14
19-18
16-25
16-24
21-26
21-23
27-19
23-23
16-22
23-18
17-19
26-17
13-21
21-20
24-22
27-23
25-15
20-20
13-30
27-27
24-27
24-30
16-24
11-33
19-24
16-20
22-8
20-20
171.3Avg total
83.2Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)82.785.3167.9-2.650%
Season at home (14)82.581.2163.7+1.350%
Season away (12)82.890.0172.8-7.250%
Last 10 (10)83.288.1171.3-4.940%
Last 5 (5)80.888.0168.8-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)80.186.9167.0-6.936%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.484.8171.2+1.564%
vs Weaker (4)102.282.0184.2+20.2100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
L
88-101
88
101
-13
83avg 72
A26/01
Euroleague
Trento
#7
W
78-65
78
65
+13
70avg 72
H29/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
89-83
89
83
+6
no box
H31/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
74-68
74
68
+6
no box
H02/02
Euroleague
Trieste
#15
W
65-59
65
59
+6
56avg 72
A05/02
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
87-75
87
75
+12
89avg 72
A12/02
Lega A
Brescia
#1
L
72-75
72
75
-3
no box
H15/02
Italian Cup
Panathinaikos
#15
W
78-76
78
76
+2
74avg 72
H23/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
83-62
83
62
+21
80avg 72
H03/03
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
92avg 72
H05/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
28-28
24-23
14-21
28-15
15-22
13-17
22-11
18-17
22-17
22-26
27-23
22-18
23-14
14-17
15-19
12-15
21-20
18-16
14-8
21-22
24-23
23-18
19-12
19-20
10-25
26-11
17-19
20-21
20-18
24-21
14-16
20-17
15-15
26-14
22-16
26-21
26-18
25-12
12-29
154.7Avg total
80.3Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)72.376.6148.9-4.240%
Season at home (14)73.675.0148.6-1.443%
Season away (11)70.678.5149.2-7.936%
Last 10 (10)80.374.4154.7+5.980%
Last 5 (5)81.873.6155.4+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.877.3151.2-3.533%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.777.5155.2+0.260%
vs Weaker (13)81.372.9154.2+8.469%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
ValenciaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A29/01
ACB
Bayern
#16
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H31/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H02/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A05/02
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A10/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H12/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Olympiacos
#1
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H24/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A03/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H05/03
ACB
82.9Avg total
40.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.881.7+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.139.280.3+1.967%-
Last 30 away (15)40.742.383.1-1.633%-
Last 10 (10)40.742.282.9-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.483.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.840.078.8-1.243%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.442.185.5+1.355%-
vs Weaker (4)43.539.883.2+3.875%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A26/01
Euroleague
Trento
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H29/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H31/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H02/02
Euroleague
Trieste
#15
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A05/02
Lega A
Varese
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A12/02
Lega A
Brescia
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H15/02
Italian Cup
Panathinaikos
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H23/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H03/03
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H05/03
Lega A
80.7Avg total
41.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.577.4+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.536.677.1+3.975%-
Last 30 away (14)39.238.577.7+0.736%-
Last 10 (10)41.239.580.7+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.080.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.235.371.5+0.867%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.439.479.8+1.060%-
vs Weaker (13)42.136.478.5+5.754%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.8
56.1%
53.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.1
38.1%
36.2%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.815.4
77.8%
78.5%15.4
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.2
55.9%
53.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.5
33.2%
36.2%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.114.7
81.2%
78.5%14.7
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLLLWWLLWL
Olimpia Milano
WWWLWWWWWL
#13
League position
#12
-5.7
Net rating
+9.1
114.0
Offensive rating
110.9
119.7
Defensive rating
101.8
56.6%
Effective FG%
53.6%
59.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
15.4%
Turnover %
17.7%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.1%
3-point %
33.2%
61.6%
Assist %
55.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 110.9Defence119.7 · 101.8Shooting56.6% · 53.6%3-point %38.1% · 33.2%Ball care15.4% · 17.7%Off. rebounds21.6% · 28.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Valencia   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valencia wins
4
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
29/12/22Olimpia Milano v Valencia90-79
12/01/21Olimpia Milano v Valencia95-80
06/11/20Valencia v Olimpia Milano86-81
22/03/18Olimpia Milano v Valencia89-93
15/11/17Valencia v Olimpia Milano98-103 OT
16/12/10Olimpia Milano v Valencia60-75
11/11/10Valencia v Olimpia Milano69-80
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/23HTenerife77-72
03/03/23ABaskonia75-114
24/02/23HOlympiacos85-92
16/02/23AReal Madrid85-86
12/02/23HGran Canaria82-76
10/02/23APanathinaikos92-91
05/02/23ABarcelona75-81
02/02/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv93-94
31/01/23HBayern82-73
29/01/23AUnicaja86-102
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/23HScafati89-80
03/03/23HOlympiacos83-62
23/02/23HPanathinaikos78-76
15/02/23HBrescia72-75
12/02/23AVarese87-75
05/02/23ATrieste65-59
02/02/23HCrvena zvezda74-68
31/01/23HBaskonia89-83
29/01/23HTrento78-65
26/01/23AMonaco88-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game82.782.582.8
Allowed / game85.381.290.0
Point differential-2.6+1.3-7.2
Avg total167.9163.7172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)43% (7)71% (7)
Overtime %8%7%8%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW40%
HomeLWWWW43%
AwayLWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %40%43%36%
Points / game72.373.670.6
Allowed / game76.675.078.5
Point differential-4.2-1.4-7.9
Avg total148.9148.6149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)33% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %8%7%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2518772%84.276.9+7.3
2 Olympiacos2719870%84.475.9+8.5
3 Barcelona2718967%80.977.1+3.7
4 Fenerbahce2516964%85.281.0+4.2
5 Monaco26161062%83.382.1+1.2
6 Baskonia26141254%86.483.2+3.2
7 Partizan26141254%84.882.8+2.0
8 Anadolu Efes25131252%82.879.7+3.0
9 Zalgiris Kaunas27141352%75.278.0-2.9
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv26131350%82.283.0-0.9
11 Valencia26131350%82.785.3-2.6
12 Virtus Bologna26121446%78.081.3-3.3
13 Crvena zvezda26111542%75.778.8-3.1
14 Olimpia Milano25101540%72.376.6-4.2
15 Bayern26101638%77.079.2-2.2
16 Panathinaikos2681831%79.583.3-3.8
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2681831%75.180.4-5.3
18 Alba Berlin2772026%80.084.6-4.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2121132984
Olimpia Milano1722262388
← all games of the day
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