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Valencia vs Olimpia Milano Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 03 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 19:45
Scheduled
Position#3
Record8-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game88.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
3.7/10
Below normal
Position#19
Record1-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game89.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 26· Roig Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Valencia v Olimpia Milano
03 Feb 2027
VAL v MIL
upcoming
07 Apr 2026
VAL102
MIL96
19 Jan 2024
VAL84
MIL72
07 Mar 2023
VAL84
MIL88
06 Nov 2020
VAL86
MIL81
15 Nov 2017
VAL98
MIL103
11 Nov 2010
VAL69
MIL80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Murcia
#10
W
116-93
116
93
+23
113avg 95
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
104-93
104
93
+11
98avg 95
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
84-75
84
75
+9
69avg 95
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
73avg 95
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 95
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
111-79
111
79
+32
107avg 95
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
A08/11
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
102-87
102
87
+15
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
111-97
111
97
+14
no box
H15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
33-22
28-24
30-33
32-26
25-28
26-16
21-23
27-19
14-16
18-18
25-22
19-9
17-16
24-21
26-32
25-30
17-14
26-25
26-29
20-21
26-18
31-29
34-11
24-15
16-22
11-22
33-14
22-27
19-25
30-20
29-21
29-19
23-22
21-24
29-22
27-24
36-24
27-24
21-25
185.8Avg total
99.2Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)96.488.9185.3+7.573%
Season at home (6)96.288.0184.2+8.267%
Season away (5)96.690.0186.6+6.680%
Last 10 (10)99.286.6185.8+12.690%
Last 5 (5)101.685.8187.4+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)89.085.0174.0+4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)99.387.6186.9+11.781%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#2
W
98-82
98
82
+16
93avg 82
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#4
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 82
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
80avg 82
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 82
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
75avg 82
A30/10
Euroleague
Cantu
#16
W
95-82
95
82
+13
no box
A02/11
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H05/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
88-86
88
86
+2
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
83-86
83
86
-3
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Udine
#9
W
83-70
83
70
+13
no box
A15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
23-13
25-23
32-21
21-23
19-21
24-27
17-18
22-20
30-17
15-22
14-22
19-18
18-22
24-20
14-20
19-25
25-19
17-25
17-15
23-27
28-20
21-17
23-18
15-24
22-16
22-11
14-33
26-28
30-20
19-22
13-16
25-18
16-27
11-18
31-23
22-15
15-20
22-23
24-12
168.9Avg total
84.8Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.389.3170.5-8.09%
Season at home (6)85.090.5175.5-5.517%
Season away (5)76.887.8164.6-11.00%
Last 10 (10)84.884.1168.9+0.740%
Last 5 (5)84.481.6166.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)81.589.2170.8-7.80%
vs Similar (6)86.287.8174.0-1.750%
vs Weaker (16)89.278.9168.1+10.381%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
ValenciaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#10
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A08/11
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H12/11
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
63-48
63
48
+15
H15/11
ACB
88.7Avg total
47.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.641.188.6+6.577%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.040.190.1+9.981%-
Last 30 away (14)44.842.186.9+2.671%-
Last 10 (10)47.641.188.7+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)48.443.491.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)45.331.376.7+14.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)47.842.190.0+5.774%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A30/10
Euroleague
Cantu
#16
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A02/11
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H05/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H08/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/11
Euroleague
Udine
#9
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A15/11
Lega A
85.4Avg total
43.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.386.8+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.741.989.6+5.862%-
Last 30 away (14)41.042.783.7-1.736%-
Last 10 (10)43.641.885.4+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.087.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.545.586.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (6)43.242.085.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker (16)47.140.887.9+6.475%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.025.0
56.8%
55.2%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.1
34.6%
35.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.715.6
75.4%
77.1%15.6
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.3
56.8%
55.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.9
36.0%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.718.6
81.9%
77.1%18.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWWWLWWWW
Olimpia Milano
WLWLWLLLLW
#3
League position
#19
+8.9
Net rating
-1.4
108.3
Offensive rating
100.0
99.4
Defensive rating
101.4
54.8%
Effective FG%
55.5%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
8.8%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.6%
3-point %
36.0%
51.0%
Assist %
66.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 100.0Defence99.4 · 101.4Shooting54.8% · 55.5%3-point %34.6% · 36.0%Ball care8.8% · 16.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Valencia   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valencia wins
4
Olimpia Milano wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HLeyma Coruna111-97
12/11/26HBayern102-87
08/11/26ASan Pablo Burgos100-93
05/11/26AOlimpia Milano84-73
01/11/26AMoraBanc Andorra111-79
30/10/26ABarcelona94-98
27/10/26HFenerbahce86-78
25/10/26HBaskonia84-75
23/10/26AParis104-93
18/10/26HMurcia116-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AUdine83-70
12/11/26HZalgiris Kaunas83-86
08/11/26HTrento88-86
05/11/26HValencia73-84
02/11/26ACantu95-82
30/10/26AOlympiacos78-84
27/10/26APanathinaikos75-80
25/10/26HVirtus Bologna94-98 OT
22/10/26HBarcelona81-89
18/10/26ABasket Napoli98-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%67%80%
Points / game96.496.296.6
Allowed / game88.988.090.0
Point differential+7.5+8.2+6.6
Avg total185.3184.2186.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%50%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %9%17%0%
Points / game81.385.076.8
Allowed / game89.390.587.8
Point differential-8.0-5.5-11.0
Avg total170.5175.5164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos118373%86.478.5+7.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Valencia118373%96.488.9+7.5
4 Barcelona118373%89.687.4+2.3
5 Real Madrid117464%98.590.1+8.4
6 Crvena zvezda117464%83.377.7+5.5
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%85.682.4+3.3
9 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Anadolu Efes115645%85.987.5-1.5
13 Besiktas115645%88.490.9-2.5
14 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne114736%88.593.2-4.6
16 Virtus Bologna114736%86.190.7-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
18 Bayern113827%86.895.2-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano111109%81.389.3-8.0
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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