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Valencia vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Nov 2020
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 86-81
24-18 18-26 24-17 20-20
Position#8
Record3-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Position#4
Record3-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game77.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 7
European cup2020
Meetings · Valencia v Olimpia Milano
03 Feb 2027
VAL v MIL
upcoming
07 Apr 2026
VAL102
MIL96
19 Jan 2024
VAL84
MIL72
07 Mar 2023
VAL84
MIL88
06 Nov 2020
VAL86
MIL81
15 Nov 2017
VAL98
MIL103
11 Nov 2010
VAL69
MIL80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
65-63
65
63
+2
56avg 75
H01/10
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
L
85-95
85
95
-10
83avg 75
A04/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#7
W
93-77
93
77
+16
89avg 75
A08/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
66-71
66
71
-5
63avg 75
H11/10
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
66-71
66
71
-5
58avg 75
H13/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
94-82
94
82
+12
98avg 75
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
93-84
93
84
+9
86avg 75
H24/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
78-77
78
77
+1
64avg 75
A27/10
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
75-84
75
84
-9
73avg 75
A29/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
71avg 75
H01/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
19-16
13-14
15-16
18-23
24-24
18-18
25-30
17-19
27-20
24-14
25-24
20-18
13-10
18-21
15-22
19-16
16-17
9-21
22-17
22-27
15-18
30-12
27-25
17-27
22-28
23-19
31-10
19-21
20-12
18-22
21-22
16-17
19-27
23-18
17-22
6-28
19-22
30-20
23-16
158.3Avg total
79.3Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.675.4154.0+3.260%
Season at home (2)65.567.0132.5-1.550%
Season away (3)87.381.0168.3+6.367%
Last 10 (10)79.379.0158.3+0.350%
Last 5 (5)83.682.6166.2+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.080.8153.8-7.820%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.272.7156.9+11.689%
vs Weaker (15)85.082.1167.1+2.967%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#13
W
87-71
87
71
+16
82avg 78
A27/09
Lega A
Bayern
#5
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
no box
A02/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#7
W
104-64
104
64
+40
105avg 78
H04/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
87-73
87
73
+14
80avg 78
H09/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
W
87-65
87
65
+22
78avg 78
A11/10
Lega A
Olympiacos
#12
L
75-86
75
86
-11
64avg 78
A14/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
W
78-70
78
70
+8
63avg 78
H16/10
Euroleague
Virtus Roma
#16
W
93-71
93
71
+22
94avg 78
H18/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
82-71
82
71
+11
73avg 78
A25/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
82-75
82
75
+7
72avg 78
H01/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
25-23
20-13
23-18
15-14
17-17
22-24
16-15
24-12
25-22
28-12
27-18
20-17
25-23
16-14
26-19
26-12
19-24
24-9
18-20
21-18
21-18
16-27
17-23
10-19
21-23
23-13
24-15
25-16
28-14
24-17
16-24
20-13
18-29
25-14
19-15
19-12
22-32
19-18
22-13
158.1Avg total
85.6Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.277.0157.2+3.275%
Season at home (2)82.571.5154.0+11.0100%
Season away (2)78.082.5160.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)85.672.5158.1+13.190%
Last 5 (5)82.074.6156.6+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.083.0153.0-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)78.274.8153.0+3.383%
vs Weaker (23)87.071.9158.9+15.191%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.8+2.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.8+2.8
ValenciaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H01/10
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A04/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A08/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H11/10
ACB
Barcelona
#2
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H13/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H24/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A27/10
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A29/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H01/11
ACB
77.3Avg total
36.6Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.578.6-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.137.276.4+1.971%-
Last 30 away (16)39.141.580.6-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)36.640.777.3-4.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.045.480.4-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.038.467.4-9.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.437.776.1+0.844%-
vs Weaker (15)42.741.183.8+1.767%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#13
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A27/09
Lega A
Bayern
#5
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A02/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#7
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H04/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H09/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A11/10
Lega A
Olympiacos
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A14/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H16/10
Euroleague
Virtus Roma
#16
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H18/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A25/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H01/11
Lega A
79.5Avg total
42.0Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.637.079.6+5.673%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.437.480.9+6.075%-
Last 30 away (14)41.636.478.1+5.271%-
Last 10 (10)42.037.579.5+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.879.8+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.046.086.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.335.370.7+0.050%-
vs Weaker (23)44.637.081.6+7.683%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.4
54.4%
52.7%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.6
34.8%
38.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws14.311.7
81.8%
79.3%11.7
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.419.5
47.1%
52.7%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.49.8
41.9%
38.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.316.0
78.8%
79.3%16.0
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LLWWWLLWLW
Olimpia Milano
WWWWLWWWWW
#8
League position
#4
+0.1
Net rating
+18.2
109.1
Offensive rating
114.4
108.9
Defensive rating
96.3
53.5%
Effective FG%
52.8%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
18.6%
Turnover %
13.5%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.8%
3-point %
41.9%
62.4%
Assist %
57.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 114.4Defence108.9 · 96.3Shooting53.5% · 52.8%3-point %34.8% · 41.9%Ball care18.6% · 13.5%Off. rebounds30.7% · 27.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Valencia   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valencia wins
2
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
22/03/18Olimpia Milano v Valencia89-93
15/11/17Valencia v Olimpia Milano98-103 OT
16/12/10Olimpia Milano v Valencia60-75
11/11/10Valencia v Olimpia Milano69-80
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/20HReal Madrid78-86
29/10/20ACSKA Moscow75-84
27/10/20AObradoiro CAB78-77
24/10/20HBasket Zaragoza93-84
22/10/20AZalgiris Kaunas94-82
13/10/20HBarcelona66-71
11/10/20HUnicaja66-71
08/10/20AReal Madrid93-77
04/10/20AReal Betis85-95
01/10/20HLyon-Villeurbanne65-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/20HTrento82-75
25/10/20AFortitudo Bologna82-71
18/10/20HVirtus Roma93-71
16/10/20HReal Madrid78-70
14/10/20AOlympiacos75-86
11/10/20ATrieste87-65
09/10/20HLyon-Villeurbanne87-73
04/10/20HTreviso104-64
02/10/20ABayern81-79 OT
27/09/20AReggiana87-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game78.665.587.3
Allowed / game75.467.081.0
Point differential+3.2-1.5+6.3
Avg total154.0132.5168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game80.282.578.0
Allowed / game77.071.582.5
Point differential+3.2+11.0-4.5
Avg total157.2154.0160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona76186%81.172.1+9.0
2 Olimpia Milano43175%80.277.0+3.2
3 Zalgiris Kaunas75271%81.677.1+4.4
4 Bayern75271%79.976.1+3.7
5 Zenit Petersburg32167%71.071.3-0.3
6 Valencia53260%78.675.4+3.2
7 Fenerbahce74357%75.972.1+3.7
8 Olympiacos74357%76.974.3+2.6
9 CSKA Moscow74357%80.780.3+0.4
10 Anadolu Efes63350%80.280.3-0.2
11 Real Madrid73443%81.383.3-2.0
12 Baskonia52340%76.674.6+2.0
13 Panathinaikos52340%80.681.6-1.0
14 Crvena zvezda62433%74.077.7-3.7
15 Maccabi Tel Aviv72529%79.981.7-1.9
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne41325%74.580.2-5.8
17 Alba Berlin51420%75.490.8-15.4
18 Khimki M.71614%76.083.1-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2418242086
Olimpia Milano1826172081
← all games of the day
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