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Valencia vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 84-72
21-19 11-21 29-19 23-13
Position#14
Record10-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#12
Record9-12
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game76.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 22· Font de Sant Lluis
European cup2023
Meetings · Valencia v Olimpia Milano
03 Feb 2027
VAL v MIL
upcoming
07 Apr 2026
VAL102
MIL96
19 Jan 2024
VAL84
MIL72
07 Mar 2023
VAL84
MIL88
06 Nov 2020
VAL86
MIL81
15 Nov 2017
VAL98
MIL103
11 Nov 2010
VAL69
MIL80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
79-71
79
71
+8
78avg 72
H21/12
Euroleague
Granada
#17
L
75-81
75
81
-6
69avg 72
H23/12
ACB
Bayern
#15
L
84-85
84
85
-1
80avg 72
A28/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-83
74
83
-9
63avg 72
A31/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
93-88
93
88
+5
90avg 72
H03/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
81-82
81
82
-1
79avg 72
H05/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
79-86
79
86
-7
77avg 72
H07/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
79-84
79
84
-5
73avg 72
H09/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
86-96 OT
86
96
-10
77avg 72
A11/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
88-80
88
80
+8
80avg 72
H14/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
11-26
23-7
19-17
20-18
15-19
14-23
26-21
16-16
23-22
23-22
22-25
15-20
19-21
19-26
21-16
18-18
25-27
28-21
22-22
23-22
24-25
22-19
12-16
24-17
16-20
19-24
20-25
21-27
21-21
22-14
15-22
24-16
16-19
15-23
27-24
24-24
18-23
17-21
29-12
165.4Avg total
81.8Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.677.0153.5-0.448%
Season at home (12)78.577.3155.8+1.258%
Season away (9)74.076.4150.4-2.433%
Last 10 (10)81.883.6165.4-1.830%
Last 5 (5)82.685.6168.2-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.379.6153.9-5.314%
vs Similar ◀ (16)79.279.0158.2+0.256%
vs Weaker (7)82.077.6159.6+4.457%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 77
H22/12
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
W
74-51
74
51
+23
75avg 77
H24/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
W
76-67
76
67
+9
73avg 77
H28/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
L
64-72
64
72
-8
49avg 77
A30/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
74-79
74
79
-5
69avg 77
A02/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
76-62
76
62
+14
71avg 77
H05/01
Euroleague
Trento
#6
W
79-74
79
74
+5
74avg 77
A07/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
82-76
82
76
+6
74avg 77
H09/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
62-76
62
76
-14
54avg 77
H11/01
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
83-82
83
82
+1
82avg 77
H14/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
17-19
15-18
12-17
16-11
16-11
22-25
20-4
20-12
26-19
14-17
16-19
18-15
14-18
16-19
16-20
19-18
16-22
15-23
24-16
19-12
15-15
16-20
26-15
14-25
24-16
19-14
22-19
16-17
21-18
23-23
22-18
15-23
16-24
16-10
15-19
20-18
22-17
16-21
25-26
145.3Avg total
73.8Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.076.4154.4+1.643%
Season at home (12)76.271.0147.2+5.258%
Season away (9)80.483.7164.1-3.222%
Last 10 (10)73.871.5145.3+2.360%
Last 5 (5)76.474.0150.4+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.076.0144.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.176.8155.9+2.447%
vs Weaker (12)79.974.8154.8+5.158%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
ValenciaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H21/12
Euroleague
Granada
#17
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H23/12
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A28/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A31/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H03/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H05/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H07/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H09/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A11/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H14/01
ACB
82.1Avg total
39.9Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.380.0+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.941.383.2+0.647%-
Last 30 away (13)39.136.875.8+2.369%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.282.1-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)42.242.885.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.039.778.7-0.743%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.138.179.2+2.969%-
vs Weaker (7)41.441.783.1-0.343%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H22/12
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H24/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H28/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A30/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A02/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H05/01
Euroleague
Trento
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A07/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H09/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H11/01
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/01
Lega A
72.0Avg total
36.8Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.677.6+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.536.678.2+4.982%-
Last 30 away (13)38.138.876.9-0.831%-
Last 10 (10)36.835.272.0+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.073.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.041.082.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.538.478.9+2.159%-
vs Weaker (12)39.236.275.4+3.167%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.122.9
54.4%
53.4%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.17.5
35.5%
36.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.313.2
72.1%
77.4%13.2
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.5
53.7%
53.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.9
35.1%
36.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws13.910.7
77.0%
77.4%10.7
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLLLLWLLLW
Olimpia Milano
WLWWWLLWWL
#14
League position
#12
-1.2
Net rating
+4.7
108.7
Offensive rating
105.3
109.9
Defensive rating
100.5
54.0%
Effective FG%
53.3%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
18.6%
Turnover %
18.4%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.5%
3-point %
35.1%
57.9%
Assist %
60.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 105.3Defence109.9 · 100.5Shooting54.0% · 53.3%3-point %35.5% · 35.1%Ball care18.6% · 18.4%Off. rebounds30.4% · 25.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Valencia   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valencia wins
6
Olimpia Milano wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24HBreogan88-80
11/01/24AReal Madrid86-96 OT
09/01/24HZalgiris Kaunas79-84
07/01/24HGran Canaria79-86
05/01/24HPanathinaikos81-82
03/01/24HAnadolu Efes93-88
31/12/23AReal Madrid74-83
28/12/23ABayern84-85
23/12/23HGranada75-81
21/12/23HVirtus Bologna79-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24HTortona83-82
11/01/24HCrvena zvezda62-76
09/01/24HAlba Berlin82-76
07/01/24ATrento79-74
05/01/24HBayern76-62
02/01/24AOlympiacos74-79
30/12/23ABrescia64-72
28/12/23HBaskonia76-67
24/12/23HCremona74-51
22/12/23HPanathinaikos68-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL48%
HomeLWWLL58%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %48%58%33%
Points / game76.678.574.0
Allowed / game77.077.376.4
Point differential-0.4+1.2-2.4
Avg total153.5155.8150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)50% (8)0% (3)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL43%
HomeLWWWL58%
AwayWLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %43%58%22%
Points / game78.076.280.4
Allowed / game76.471.083.7
Point differential+1.6+5.2-3.2
Avg total154.4147.2164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%42%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)-25% (4)
Overtime %10%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2219386%89.078.7+10.3
2 Barcelona2215768%83.079.8+3.1
3 Virtus Bologna2215768%81.680.6+1.0
4 Panathinaikos2214864%82.178.0+4.0
5 Fenerbahce2213959%83.982.0+1.8
6 Olympiacos22121055%77.574.6+2.9
7 Monaco22121055%81.580.0+1.5
8 Baskonia22121055%82.382.7-0.4
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv22121055%85.687.3-1.7
10 Partizan22111150%83.984.1-0.2
11 Valencia21101148%76.677.0-0.4
12 Olimpia Milano2191243%78.076.4+1.6
13 Crvena zvezda2291341%82.080.5+1.5
14 Bayern2291341%79.281.9-2.7
15 Anadolu Efes2291341%84.988.0-3.0
16 Zalgiris Kaunas2281436%79.481.3-2.0
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2241818%78.687.0-8.4
18 Alba Berlin2241818%75.484.2-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2111292384
Olimpia Milano1921191372
← all games of the day
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