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Valencia vs Olimpia Milano Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 03 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 19:45
Scheduled
Position#5
Record6-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game97.1
Allowed / game90.9
vs
Position#19
Record1-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game90.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 26· Roig Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Valencia v Olimpia Milano
03 Feb 2027
VAL v MIL
upcoming
07 Apr 2026
VAL102
MIL96
19 Jan 2024
VAL84
MIL72
07 Mar 2023
VAL84
MIL88
06 Nov 2020
VAL86
MIL81
15 Nov 2017
VAL98
MIL103
11 Nov 2010
VAL69
MIL80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#8
W
97-82
97
82
+15
A04/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
H08/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#7
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A11/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
H13/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#14
W
116-93
116
93
+23
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#16
W
104-93
104
93
+11
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#9
L
94-98
94
98
-4
A30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
15-17
30-28
31-15
29-17
18-23
27-17
19-25
26-19
14-20
20-29
26-21
31-17
28-17
12-25
19-31
23-31
25-19
24-21
16-20
25-14
33-22
28-24
30-33
32-26
25-28
26-16
21-23
27-19
14-16
18-18
25-22
19-9
17-16
24-21
26-32
25-30
17-14
26-25
26-29
182.8Avg total
94.5Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)97.190.9188.0+6.267%
Season at home (5)95.088.2183.2+6.860%
Season away (4)99.894.2194.0+5.575%
Last 10 (10)94.588.3182.8+6.260%
Last 5 (5)96.887.4184.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)89.386.3175.6+3.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)98.287.5185.7+10.778%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#7
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A05/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
79-97
79
97
-18
A08/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#3
W
106-77
106
77
+29
H11/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#4
L
89-98
89
98
-9
H13/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
L
97-101
97
101
-4
H15/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#2
W
98-82
98
82
+16
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#9
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
17-23
15-14
19-17
20-24
25-27
17-23
17-23
27-28
33-11
20-21
26-17
25-21
15-32
27-31
22-14
23-29
26-27
19-27
29-18
18-25
23-13
25-23
32-21
21-23
19-21
24-27
17-18
22-20
30-17
15-22
14-22
19-18
18-22
24-20
14-20
19-25
25-19
17-25
17-15
175.0Avg total
86.9Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.090.2172.2-8.211%
Season at home (4)88.593.2181.8-4.825%
Season away (5)76.887.8164.6-11.00%
Last 10 (10)86.988.1175.0-1.220%
Last 5 (5)85.286.6171.8-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)83.790.2173.9-6.611%
vs Similar (3)84.388.3172.7-4.033%
vs Weaker (18)89.980.4170.3+9.678%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
ValenciaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A04/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H08/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#7
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A11/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
W
59-34
59
34
+25
H13/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#14
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#16
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A30/10
Euroleague
86.0Avg total
46.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.140.687.8+6.573%-
Last 30 at home (18)48.039.387.3+8.772%-
Last 30 away (12)45.842.688.4+3.275%-
Last 10 (10)46.439.686.0+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)46.838.885.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)45.137.682.7+7.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)47.741.689.3+6.274%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A05/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A08/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#3
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H11/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#4
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H13/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H15/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#9
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A30/10
Euroleague
89.2Avg total
44.6Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.342.087.4+3.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.241.290.4+8.073%-
Last 30 away (15)41.542.984.3-1.427%-
Last 10 (10)44.644.689.2+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.683.4+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)43.344.988.2-1.622%-
vs Similar (3)40.744.385.0-3.733%-
vs Weaker (18)47.140.287.3+6.967%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 94.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.623.6
55.4%
55.2%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.7
35.4%
35.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.615.2
73.8%
77.1%15.2
They take 72.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.3
56.8%
55.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.9
36.0%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.718.6
81.9%
77.1%18.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LWWWWLLLWW
Olimpia Milano
LLLLWLLWLL
#5
League position
#19
+7.0
Net rating
-1.4
106.7
Offensive rating
100.0
99.7
Defensive rating
101.4
54.5%
Effective FG%
55.5%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
8.7%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.4%
3-point %
36.0%
52.5%
Assist %
66.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 100.0Defence99.7 · 101.4Shooting54.5% · 55.5%3-point %35.4% · 36.0%Ball care8.7% · 16.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Valencia   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Valencia wins
5
Olimpia Milano wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ABarcelona94-98
27/10/26HFenerbahce86-78
25/10/26HBaskonia84-75
23/10/26AParis104-93
18/10/26HMurcia116-93
15/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv88-91
13/10/26HOlympiacos97-102 OT
11/10/26ABarcelona86-89
08/10/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv93-82
04/10/26ABasket Zaragoza97-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AOlympiacos78-84
27/10/26APanathinaikos75-80
25/10/26HVirtus Bologna94-98 OT
22/10/26HBarcelona81-89
18/10/26ABasket Napoli98-82
15/10/26HDubai97-101
13/10/26HReal Madrid89-98
11/10/26HTreviso106-77
08/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv79-97
05/10/26AVerona72-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL67%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game97.195.099.8
Allowed / game90.988.294.2
Point differential+6.2+6.8+5.5
Avg total188.0183.2194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%20%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %11%25%0%
Points / game82.088.576.8
Allowed / game90.293.287.8
Point differential-8.2-4.8-11.0
Avg total172.2181.8164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos97278%84.675.0+9.6
2 Olympiacos97278%90.683.8+6.8
3 Crvena zvezda96367%85.677.0+8.6
4 Real Madrid96367%96.288.0+8.2
5 Valencia96367%97.190.9+6.2
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv96367%92.387.3+5.0
7 Fenerbahce96367%79.976.6+3.3
8 Dubai96367%87.485.1+2.3
9 Barcelona96367%90.888.6+2.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas95456%85.984.0+1.9
11 Besiktas94544%90.091.8-1.8
12 Partizan94544%78.480.2-1.8
13 Virtus Bologna94544%86.889.1-2.3
14 Anadolu Efes94544%83.686.2-2.7
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne94544%87.692.3-4.8
16 Paris93633%88.392.9-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv92722%86.794.7-8.0
18 Bayern92722%85.494.4-9.0
19 Olimpia Milano91811%82.090.2-8.2
20 Baskonia91811%83.194.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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