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Murcia vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-85 (OT)
7-23 19-18 20-12 24-17 7-15
Position#6
Record8-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game78.9
vs
Position#4
Record8-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game77.5
SpainACBRound 13· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Murcia v Valencia
21 May 2027
MUR v VAL
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
MUR92
VAL80
15 Dec 2024
MUR88
VAL96
22 May 2024
MUR72
VAL83
10 Dec 2023
MUR77
VAL85
19 Apr 2023
MUR90
VAL82
27 Mar 2022
MUR71
VAL72
30 Apr 2021
MUR66
VAL80
07 Oct 2018
MUR68
VAL81
22 Oct 2017
MUR91
VAL93
08 Jan 2017
MUR75
VAL78
01 May 2016
MUR80
VAL62
05 Oct 2014
MUR85
VAL76
08 Mar 2014
MUR76
VAL85
07 Oct 2012
MUR77
VAL78
20 Nov 2011
MUR83
VAL86
04 Apr 2010
MUR92
VAL96
07 Dec 2008
MUR68
VAL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
W
95-69
95
69
+26
70avg 71
H21/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
76-82
76
82
-6
63avg 71
A28/10
ACB
Igokea
#49
W
72-47
72
47
+25
70avg 71
H01/11
Champions League
Manresa
#9
W
87-74
87
74
+13
80avg 71
H05/11
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
76-66
76
66
+10
68avg 71
A11/11
ACB
Tofas
#34
W
115-89
115
89
+26
113avg 71
H14/11
Champions League
Barcelona
#3
W
82-73
82
73
+9
71avg 71
H19/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
105-73
105
73
+32
103avg 71
H25/11
ACB
Igokea
#49
W
79-63
79
63
+16
73avg 71
A28/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 71
A02/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
27-19
22-25
26-6
11-15
17-23
28-11
20-33
19-11
16-8
23-19
14-9
23-16
22-22
31-24
11-12
21-20
19-18
19-18
17-10
31-21
23-23
31-22
30-23
23-20
12-18
23-24
24-11
29-20
24-15
30-15
22-23
17-21
33-11
16-17
13-14
17-19
21-15
13-26
25-22
158.1Avg total
86.3Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.878.9164.7+6.867%
Season at home (6)89.572.2161.7+17.3100%
Season away (6)82.085.7167.7-3.733%
Last 10 (10)86.371.8158.1+14.580%
Last 5 (5)91.476.0167.4+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.296.0176.2-15.820%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.173.7156.8+9.483%
vs Weaker (12)82.975.8158.8+7.158%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
76-69
76
69
+7
69avg 74
H12/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
73-76
73
76
-3
63avg 74
H14/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
70-74
70
74
-4
55avg 74
A17/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 74
A19/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#2
L
73-90
73
90
-17
71avg 74
A23/11
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
101-77
101
77
+24
101avg 74
A25/11
ACB
Baskonia
#9
L
84-98
84
98
-14
71avg 74
H01/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
L
79-85
79
85
-6
67avg 74
H03/12
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
85-81
85
81
+4
75avg 74
H06/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
78-55
78
55
+23
75avg 74
A08/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
15-20
25-15
14-11
26-24
23-19
13-20
11-13
16-25
17-12
19-17
18-20
19-15
18-21
20-26
17-21
18-27
17-22
18-23
20-18
25-20
31-27
26-17
19-13
21-20
31-24
18-23
14-31
17-19
22-24
20-17
20-25
25-19
31-21
16-25
13-16
18-23
17-10
18-8
25-14
158.1Avg total
79.3Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.777.5158.2+3.267%
Season at home (6)80.078.2158.2+1.867%
Season away (6)81.376.8158.2+4.567%
Last 10 (10)79.378.8158.1+0.540%
Last 5 (5)85.479.2164.6+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.677.1149.7-4.540%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.178.4156.5-0.355%
vs Weaker (9)81.776.0157.7+5.767%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
MurciaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H21/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A28/10
ACB
Igokea
#49
W
35-19
35
19
+16
H01/11
Champions League
Manresa
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H05/11
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A11/11
ACB
Tofas
#34
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H14/11
Champions League
Barcelona
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H19/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H25/11
ACB
Igokea
#49
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A28/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A02/12
ACB
77.9Avg total
42.5Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.537.474.9+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.735.174.8+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)35.339.674.9-4.340%-
Last 10 (10)42.535.477.9+7.180%-
Last 5 (5)46.036.682.6+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.443.477.8-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.734.972.6+2.875%-
vs Weaker (12)38.737.075.7+1.758%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H12/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H14/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A17/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A19/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A23/11
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A25/11
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H01/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H03/12
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H06/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A08/12
Euroleague
84.4Avg total
42.9Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.077.8+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.138.778.8+1.456%-
Last 30 away (14)39.437.176.6+2.364%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.584.4+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)47.641.489.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.338.975.2-2.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.737.380.0+5.582%-
vs Weaker (9)40.137.877.9+2.356%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.8
57.2%
53.0%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.4
31.2%
34.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws15.411.9
77.3%
75.6%11.9
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.8
51.2%
53.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.3
31.9%
34.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.314.8
76.7%
75.6%14.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LWWWWWWWLW
Valencia
WWLLWLLLLW
#6
League position
#4
+19.5
Net rating
+0.1
112.4
Offensive rating
107.9
92.9
Defensive rating
107.8
53.6%
Effective FG%
50.0%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
16.0%
Turnover %
16.8%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.2%
3-point %
31.9%
55.1%
Assist %
59.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 107.9Defence92.9 · 107.8Shooting53.6% · 50.0%3-point %31.2% · 31.9%Ball care16.0% · 16.8%Off. rebounds32.8% · 31.9%Free throws0.22 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Murcia   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Murcia wins
5
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
19/04/23Murcia v Valencia90-82
16/10/22Valencia v Murcia74-75
27/03/22Murcia v Valencia71-72
18/02/22Valencia v Murcia83-86
26/09/21Valencia v Murcia86-91
30/04/21Murcia v Valencia66-80
20/12/20Valencia v Murcia89-78
10/03/19Valencia v Murcia89-65
07/10/18Murcia v Valencia68-81
01/04/18Valencia v Murcia73-84
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23ABasket Zaragoza76-82
28/11/23AIgokea79-63
25/11/23HJoventut Badalona105-73
19/11/23HBarcelona82-73
14/11/23HTofas115-89
11/11/23APalencia76-66
05/11/23HManresa87-74
01/11/23HIgokea72-47
28/10/23ABasquet Girona76-82
21/10/23HGran Canaria95-69
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/23ALyon-Villeurbanne78-55
06/12/23HCrvena zvezda85-81
03/12/23HBilbao79-85
01/12/23HBaskonia84-98
25/11/23APalencia101-77
23/11/23APanathinaikos73-90
19/11/23ABaskonia74-83
17/11/23ABarcelona70-74
14/11/23HReal Madrid73-76
12/11/23HBasket Zaragoza76-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game85.889.582.0
Allowed / game78.972.285.7
Point differential+6.8+17.3-3.7
Avg total164.7161.7167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%83%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Valencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL67%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game80.780.081.3
Allowed / game77.578.276.8
Point differential+3.2+1.8+4.5
Avg total158.2158.2158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1312192%91.577.8+13.7
2 Unicaja1310377%87.878.8+9.0
3 Barcelona129375%86.078.0+8.0
4 Murcia128467%85.878.9+6.8
5 Valencia128467%80.777.5+3.2
6 Manresa137654%85.885.5+0.3
7 Gran Canaria137654%82.585.0-2.5
8 Basquet Girona137654%84.487.2-2.8
9 Joventut Badalona137654%81.086.5-5.5
10 Tenerife126650%82.882.2+0.6
11 Baskonia126650%83.684.2-0.7
12 Obradoiro CAB135838%80.882.6-1.8
13 Bilbao135838%77.881.2-3.3
14 Basket Zaragoza124833%81.683.2-1.6
15 Granada134931%86.387.5-1.2
16 MoraBanc Andorra134931%82.284.7-2.5
17 Breogan134931%73.079.2-6.2
18 Palencia131128%74.786.9-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Murcia7192024777
Valencia231812171585
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