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Valencia vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 79-84
21-27 21-21 22-14 15-22
Position#14
Record10-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game75.6
vs
Position#13
Record6-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game81.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 20· Font de Sant Lluis
European cup2023
Meetings · Valencia v Zalgiris Kaunas
04 Mar 2027
VAL v ZAL
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
VAL91
ZAL87
09 Jan 2024
VAL79
ZAL84
25 Nov 2022
VAL76
ZAL80
27 Jan 2021
VAL78
ZAL79
21 Dec 2017
VAL63
ZAL71
19 Jan 2011
VAL73
ZAL59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
W
63-56
63
56
+7
58avg 72
A15/12
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
86-82
86
82
+4
87avg 72
H17/12
ACB
Partizan
#11
L
67-72
67
72
-5
62avg 72
H19/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
79-71
79
71
+8
78avg 72
H21/12
Euroleague
Granada
#17
L
75-81
75
81
-6
69avg 72
H23/12
ACB
Bayern
#15
L
84-85
84
85
-1
80avg 72
A28/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-83
74
83
-9
63avg 72
A31/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
93-88
93
88
+5
90avg 72
H03/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
81-82
81
82
-1
79avg 72
H05/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
79-86
79
86
-7
77avg 72
H07/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
21-11
12-12
16-18
19-20
13-18
29-27
25-17
14-19
20-14
10-20
23-19
26-21
11-26
23-7
19-17
20-18
15-19
14-23
26-21
16-16
23-22
23-22
22-25
15-20
19-21
19-26
21-16
18-18
25-27
28-21
22-22
23-22
24-25
22-19
12-16
24-17
16-20
19-24
20-25
156.7Avg total
78.1Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.975.6151.5+0.453%
Season at home (11)78.576.7155.2+1.764%
Season away (8)72.574.0146.5-1.538%
Last 10 (10)78.178.6156.7-0.540%
Last 5 (5)82.284.8167.0-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.775.3148.0-2.629%
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.878.6157.4+0.256%
vs Weaker (7)78.174.6152.7+3.657%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
102-98
102
98
+4
97avg 76
H10/12
LKL
Partizan
#11
L
85-93
85
93
-8
79avg 76
H14/12
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
W
79-55
79
55
+24
71avg 76
H17/12
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
78-80
78
80
-2
78avg 76
A20/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
80-85
80
85
-5
77avg 76
H22/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
70-78
70
78
-8
55avg 76
H28/12
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#13
W
95-76
95
76
+19
94avg 76
A30/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Alba Berlin
#18
W
77-71
77
71
+6
68avg 76
H02/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
79-93
79
93
-14
65avg 76
A04/01
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
75-67
75
67
+8
76avg 76
A07/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
23-32
37-15
19-26
21-29
23-29
20-18
21-17
18-10
23-15
21-20
17-10
26-22
22-15
14-19
16-24
22-28
29-28
22-14
7-15
18-16
15-16
16-29
21-17
28-13
22-25
17-16
28-22
22-25
26-16
13-11
16-19
17-23
26-28
16-21
20-21
16-15
25-13
17-17
17-22
161.6Avg total
82.0Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.581.3159.7-2.832%
Season at home (9)78.281.7159.9-3.433%
Season away (10)78.780.9159.6-2.230%
Last 10 (10)82.079.6161.6+2.450%
Last 5 (5)79.277.0156.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.083.0158.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.580.5160.1-1.038%
vs Weaker (15)79.874.8154.6+5.067%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
ValenciaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A15/12
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H17/12
ACB
Partizan
#11
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H19/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H21/12
Euroleague
Granada
#17
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H23/12
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A28/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A31/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H03/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H05/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H07/01
ACB
76.5Avg total
37.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.977.7+1.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.339.881.1+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)38.035.973.9+2.171%-
Last 10 (10)37.638.976.5-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.682.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.038.976.9-0.943%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.937.578.4+3.475%-
vs Weaker (7)38.938.076.9+0.957%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H10/12
LKL
Partizan
#11
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H14/12
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H17/12
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A20/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H22/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H28/12
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#13
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A30/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Alba Berlin
#18
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H02/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A04/01
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A07/01
LKL
86.8Avg total
44.5Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.080.7+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.742.684.3-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)39.937.377.2+2.567%-
Last 10 (10)44.542.386.8+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.081.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.044.585.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.142.081.1-2.938%-
vs Weaker (15)42.237.679.8+4.673%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.9
54.3%
53.4%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.5
36.4%
36.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws16.711.5
68.9%
77.4%11.5
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.919.0
56.0%
53.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.1
36.0%
36.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.215.9
78.7%
77.4%15.9
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LLWLLLWLWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWWLLLWLW
#14
League position
#13
+0.5
Net rating
+3.4
106.6
Offensive rating
113.4
106.1
Defensive rating
110.1
54.4%
Effective FG%
55.2%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
20.5%
Turnover %
18.8%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.4%
3-point %
36.0%
57.5%
Assist %
60.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 113.4Defence106.1 · 110.1Shooting54.4% · 55.2%3-point %36.4% · 36.0%Ball care20.5% · 18.8%Off. rebounds31.6% · 31.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Valencia   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valencia wins
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24HGran Canaria79-86
05/01/24HPanathinaikos81-82
03/01/24HAnadolu Efes93-88
31/12/23AReal Madrid74-83
28/12/23ABayern84-85
23/12/23HGranada75-81
21/12/23HVirtus Bologna79-71
19/12/23HPartizan67-72
17/12/23HMoraBanc Andorra86-82
15/12/23AOlympiacos63-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24AJonava75-67
04/01/24ALyon-Villeurbanne79-93
02/01/24HAlba Berlin77-71
30/12/23ABC Wolves95-76
28/12/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv70-78
22/12/23HBarcelona80-85
20/12/23AFenerbahce78-80
17/12/23HBC Wolves79-55
14/12/23HPartizan85-93
10/12/23HNevezis102-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL53%
HomeWLWWL64%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %53%64%38%
Points / game75.978.572.5
Allowed / game75.676.774.0
Point differential+0.4+1.7-1.5
Avg total151.5155.2146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)57% (7)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL32%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %32%33%30%
Points / game78.578.278.7
Allowed / game81.381.780.9
Point differential-2.8-3.4-2.2
Avg total159.7159.9159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)40% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2018290%89.377.3+12.0
2 Virtus Bologna1914574%82.679.8+2.7
3 Barcelona1913668%82.879.3+3.5
4 Fenerbahce2012860%83.680.8+2.8
5 Panathinaikos2012860%81.779.2+2.5
6 Olympiacos1911858%77.473.9+3.5
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv1911858%86.287.7-1.5
8 Monaco2011955%81.579.9+1.6
9 Valencia1910953%75.975.6+0.4
10 Partizan20101050%84.384.3-0.1
11 Baskonia20101050%82.083.0-1.1
12 Olimpia Milano1981142%78.676.5+2.2
13 Crvena zvezda1981142%81.479.9+1.5
14 Bayern2081240%78.581.9-3.5
15 Anadolu Efes2071335%83.589.3-5.8
16 Zalgiris Kaunas1961332%78.581.3-2.8
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1931616%79.187.4-8.3
18 Alba Berlin1931616%75.385.6-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2121221579
Zalgiris Kaunas2721142284
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