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Valencia vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 76-80
31-24 13-13 17-22 15-21
Position#13
Record4-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#9
Record5-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game78.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 10
European cup2022
Meetings · Valencia v Zalgiris Kaunas
04 Mar 2027
VAL v ZAL
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
VAL91
ZAL87
09 Jan 2024
VAL79
ZAL84
25 Nov 2022
VAL76
ZAL80
27 Jan 2021
VAL78
ZAL79
21 Dec 2017
VAL63
ZAL71
19 Jan 2011
VAL73
ZAL59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
68avg 77
A20/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
no box
A23/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#17
W
87-73
87
73
+14
79avg 77
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
80-92
80
92
-12
72avg 77
H30/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 77
A04/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
W
88-83
88
83
+5
82avg 77
A06/11
ACB
Monaco
#4
W
89-84
89
84
+5
86avg 77
H11/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
59-89
59
89
-30
44avg 77
A17/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
78-94
78
94
-16
69avg 77
A19/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 77
H22/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
18-14
15-26
19-19
27-27
21-14
18-18
18-25
23-20
27-19
22-16
15-18
18-23
22-32
20-22
20-15
22-28
12-19
24-24
25-11
18-24
30-17
17-27
23-15
20-20
21-20
23-14
25-30
8-24
17-18
17-24
17-23
17-27
19-23
18-23
24-21
19-31
12-10
15-18
27-21
167.1Avg total
81.7Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.681.8160.3-3.244%
Season at home (5)79.279.0158.2+0.240%
Season away (4)77.885.2163.0-7.550%
Last 10 (10)81.785.4167.1-3.750%
Last 5 (5)77.486.0163.4-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.485.4165.8-5.038%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.681.4162.1-0.850%
vs Weaker (8)85.479.0164.4+6.475%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
W
73-72
73
72
+1
62avg 76
H20/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
93-75
93
75
+18
95avg 76
H23/10
LKL
Partizan
#6
L
76-87
76
87
-11
71avg 76
A27/10
Euroleague
Juventus
#5
W
109-76
109
76
+33
116avg 76
H30/10
LKL
Alba Berlin
#17
W
88-81
88
81
+7
79avg 76
H04/11
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
85-89
85
89
-4
85avg 76
A06/11
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
93-76
93
76
+17
100avg 76
A10/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
71-62
71
62
+9
68avg 76
H18/11
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
92-59
92
59
+33
95avg 76
A20/11
LKL
Baskonia
#8
L
73-93
73
93
-20
63avg 76
A23/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
24-16
11-21
18-16
28-22
20-15
26-21
19-17
22-20
14-24
21-16
19-27
24-17
22-22
29-12
34-25
13-25
19-19
22-17
34-20
27-23
21-20
21-20
16-26
22-24
28-22
19-21
24-9
16-11
18-13
15-15
22-23
24-14
23-13
25-21
20-11
20-21
24-21
14-22
15-29
162.3Avg total
85.3Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.378.9157.2-0.656%
Season at home (4)75.070.0145.0+5.0100%
Season away (5)81.086.0167.0-5.020%
Last 10 (10)85.377.0162.3+8.370%
Last 5 (5)82.875.8158.6+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.085.2162.2-8.220%
vs Similar ◀ (7)71.073.7144.7-2.757%
vs Weaker (18)87.672.6160.1+15.083%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.8+1.8
ValenciaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A20/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A23/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#17
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H30/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A04/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A06/11
ACB
Monaco
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H11/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A17/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A19/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H22/11
Euroleague
82.6Avg total
39.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.581.4+0.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.140.681.7+0.662%-
Last 30 away (14)40.740.481.1+0.457%-
Last 10 (10)39.643.082.6-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.242.879.0-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.943.981.8-6.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.040.082.0+2.071%-
vs Weaker (8)42.137.980.0+4.275%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H20/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H23/10
LKL
Partizan
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A27/10
Euroleague
Juventus
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H30/10
LKL
Alba Berlin
#17
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H04/11
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A06/11
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A10/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H18/11
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A20/11
LKL
Baskonia
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A23/11
Euroleague
81.0Avg total
42.9Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.137.179.2+5.070%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.634.277.9+9.479%-
Last 30 away (16)40.839.680.3+1.262%-
Last 10 (10)42.938.181.0+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)44.636.481.0+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.442.283.6-0.860%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)33.337.971.1-4.629%-
vs Weaker (18)45.735.381.1+10.489%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.016.5
50.0%
53.5%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.2
37.2%
36.2%33.6
🏀 Free throws15.512.8
82.6%
78.5%12.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.0
57.3%
53.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.8
38.7%
36.2%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.015.1
79.5%
78.5%15.1
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LLLWWWLWWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWWWLWWLWW
#13
League position
#9
-6.5
Net rating
+11.6
109.3
Offensive rating
117.7
115.7
Defensive rating
106.1
52.8%
Effective FG%
57.6%
57.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
18.8%
Turnover %
19.7%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.2%
3-point %
38.7%
61.7%
Assist %
65.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 117.7Defence115.7 · 106.1Shooting52.8% · 57.6%3-point %37.2% · 38.7%Ball care18.8% · 19.7%Off. rebounds31.6% · 34.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Valencia   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valencia wins
3
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/22HReal Madrid73-80
19/11/22ATenerife78-94
17/11/22AVirtus Bologna59-89
11/11/22HMonaco89-84
06/11/22ABreogan88-83
04/11/22AOlympiacos83-82
30/10/22HBarcelona80-92
27/10/22HAlba Berlin87-73
23/10/22AObradoiro CAB103-98 OT
20/10/22AFenerbahce77-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/22ABaskonia73-93
20/11/22APieno Zvaigzdes92-59
18/11/22HOlimpia Milano71-62
10/11/22ALyon-Villeurbanne93-76
06/11/22ARytas85-89
04/11/22HAlba Berlin88-81
30/10/22HJuventus109-76
27/10/22APartizan76-87
23/10/22HNevezis93-75
20/10/22HBarcelona73-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL44%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game78.679.277.8
Allowed / game81.879.085.2
Point differential-3.2+0.2-7.5
Avg total160.3158.2163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL56%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%100%20%
Points / game78.375.081.0
Allowed / game78.970.086.0
Point differential-0.6+5.0-5.0
Avg total157.2145.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce109190%86.975.4+11.5
2 Olympiacos107370%85.378.8+6.5
3 Real Madrid107370%84.678.7+5.9
4 Barcelona107370%80.376.2+4.1
5 Monaco107370%83.380.7+2.6
6 Zalgiris Kaunas95456%78.378.9-0.6
7 Anadolu Efes105550%83.680.0+3.6
8 Baskonia105550%87.985.9+2.0
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv105550%81.883.3-1.5
10 Valencia94544%78.681.8-3.2
11 Virtus Bologna104640%75.177.0-1.9
12 Partizan104640%84.286.9-2.7
13 Panathinaikos104640%79.383.2-3.9
14 Crvena zvezda104640%72.778.2-5.5
15 Alba Berlin103730%81.181.9-0.8
16 Bayern103730%73.677.6-4.0
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne103730%71.777.3-5.6
18 Olimpia Milano103730%68.375.2-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia3113171576
Zalgiris Kaunas2413222180
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