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Valparaiso vs Bradley Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 79-72
0-0 35-35 0-0 44-37
Position#170
Record14-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game71.0
vs
Position#91
Record18-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game72.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valparaiso v Bradley
18 Feb 2026
VALP79
BRAD72
26 Feb 2025
VALP65
BRAD76
03 Jan 2024
VALP61
BRAD86
22 Feb 2023
VALP66
BRAD76
26 Jan 2022
VALP56
BRAD71
10 Feb 2021
VALP52
BRAD76
28 Jan 2021
VALP91
BRAD85
29 Dec 2020
VALP v BRAD
upcoming
22 Feb 2020
VALP90
BRAD78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bradley winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#25
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A14/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H17/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H22/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
77-78
77
78
-1
H29/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
76-72 OT
76
72
+4
A31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A04/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
70-63 OT
70
63
+7
H07/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A10/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
64-86
64
86
-22
A13/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H15/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
39-41
0-0
35-37
0-0
22-18
0-0
32-26
0-0
39-20
0-0
30-43
0-0
38-42
0-0
39-36
0-0
27-37
0-0
39-29
0-0
33-40
0-0
32-32
0-0
28-26
0-0
30-32
0-0
38-40
0-0
43-36
0-0
34-34
0-0
30-52
0-0
49-43
0-0
27-32
141.3Avg total
70.6Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)71.371.0142.3+0.452%
Season at home (15)71.964.3136.1+7.673%
Season away (12)70.779.3150.0-8.725%
Last 10 (10)70.670.7141.3-0.160%
Last 5 (5)71.274.4145.6-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)65.371.5136.8-6.336%
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.272.8145.0-0.754%
vs Weaker (6)77.760.8138.5+16.883%
This opponent (Bradley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BradleyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#88
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H10/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
A14/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
62-88
62
88
-26
A17/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H22/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H25/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
87-73
87
73
+14
A31/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H04/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A07/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
95-84 OT
95
84
+11
H10/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A15/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
40-37
0-0
35-32
0-0
29-36
0-0
50-43
0-0
29-44
0-0
33-44
0-0
34-36
0-0
41-32
0-0
28-39
0-0
42-46
0-0
41-35
0-0
46-38
0-0
40-33
0-0
32-32
0-0
23-30
0-0
26-31
0-0
31-33
0-0
49-47
0-0
28-28
0-0
42-32
149.2Avg total
74.9Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.172.4149.5+4.767%
Season at home (17)78.968.6147.5+10.382%
Season away (10)74.178.9153.0-4.840%
Last 10 (10)74.974.3149.2+0.670%
Last 5 (5)74.668.6143.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)86.586.0172.5+0.550%
vs Similar ◀ (17)70.772.3143.0-1.647%
vs Weaker (9)84.670.6155.1+14.0100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
ValparaisoBradley
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#25
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A14/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
22-18
22
18
+4
H17/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
39-20
39
20
+19
H22/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H29/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A04/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H07/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A13/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H15/02
NCAA
68.8Avg total
34.7Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.731.865.5+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.628.563.1+6.173%-
Last 30 away (15)32.835.167.9-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)34.734.168.8+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.436.673.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.333.166.4+0.245%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.532.666.2+0.954%-
vs Weaker (6)34.827.762.5+7.267%-
This opponent (Bradley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BradleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#88
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A14/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A17/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H22/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H25/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A31/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H04/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A07/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H10/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A15/02
NCAA
67.4Avg total
32.3Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.233.868.9+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.732.168.8+4.763%-
Last 30 away (11)32.536.769.2-4.327%-
Last 10 (10)32.335.167.4-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)32.631.864.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.037.572.5-2.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)34.734.369.0+0.459%-
vs Weaker (9)34.433.968.3+0.633%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valparaiso wins
10
Bradley wins
DateGameScore
04/02/26Bradley v Valparaiso72-65
08/03/25Bradley v Valparaiso70-65
27/02/25Valparaiso v Bradley65-76
29/12/24Bradley v Valparaiso81-75 OT
04/01/24Valparaiso v Bradley61-86
23/02/23Valparaiso v Bradley66-76
07/01/23Bradley v Valparaiso88-66
27/02/22Bradley v Valparaiso79-55
27/01/22Valparaiso v Bradley56-71
11/02/21Valparaiso v Bradley52-76
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26HIndiana State76-75
13/02/26AIllinois State64-86
10/02/26ADrake81-76
07/02/26HEvansville70-63 OT
04/02/26ABradley65-72
31/01/26AIndiana State76-72 OT
29/01/26HBelmont77-78
22/01/26HSouthern Illinois69-63
17/01/26HNorthern Iowa54-44
14/01/26ABelmont74-78
Bradleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26ASouthern Illinois70-60
10/02/26HBelmont95-84 OT
07/02/26ANorthern Iowa49-61
04/02/26HValparaiso72-65
31/01/26ADrake87-73
25/01/26HIllinois (Chi.)70-85
22/01/26HIndiana State75-68
17/01/26AIllinois State62-88
14/01/26AEvansville94-90 OT
10/01/26HNorthern Iowa75-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW52%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayLWLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %52%73%25%
Points / game71.371.970.7
Allowed / game71.064.379.3
Point differential+0.4+7.6-8.7
Avg total142.3136.1150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%27%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)60% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %11%7%17%
Bradley
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWLWW82%
AwayWLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271710
Win %67%82%40%
Points / game77.178.974.1
Allowed / game72.468.678.9
Point differential+4.7+10.3-4.8
Avg total149.5147.5153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%47%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %11%6%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont2924583%82.773.5+9.2
2 Murray State2819968%84.379.5+4.8
3 Bradley2718967%77.172.4+4.7
4 Illinois State27171063%76.468.1+8.3
5 Northern Iowa27171063%69.161.2+7.9
6 Illinois (Chi.)27151256%75.169.7+5.3
7 Valparaiso27141352%71.371.0+0.4
8 Southern Illinois27121544%74.171.1+3.0
9 Drake28121643%76.875.5+1.2
10 Indiana State27101737%75.174.9+0.2
11 Evansville2662023%67.475.0-7.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valparaiso03504479
Bradley03503772
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