Valur vs Alftanes Result & Analysis

Valur host Alftanes in a Premier league clash on 12 November 2026, a contest where the edge is razor-thin as both sides boast strong recent form; Valur sit 2nd with a perfect 5-0 record, averaging 87.4 points and conceding 78.6, while Alftanes trail 4th with 4-1, 112.4 points and 96.4 allowed. Valur have never lost at home, going 3-0 on the floor with 86.0 points per game and 78.3 allowed, and they have won all five of their last games, including a 93-85 victory over Njardvik on 22 October. Alftanes have won both of their road outings, 113.5 points and 96.5 allowed, and they have secured four of their last five, highlighted by a 130-110 win over Keflavik on 23 October. Historically Valur have dominated, winning five of six meetings and their last encounter on 20 February 2026 with a 108-87 triumph. Pythia projects a 54% chance for Valur to win against 46% for Alftanes, with a 92-91 scoreline and a total of 182.0 points; the home team line is 6.0 and the model sees a 73% probability of covering, while the over on 183.0 carries a 46% chance, and there is a 5% likelihood of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Alftanes can keep the gap down and force Valur to defend a narrow lead.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winLost

53.5%fair 1.87

Best odds2.90

Implied36.3%

Edge+17.2pp

Alftanes winWon

46.5%fair 2.15

Best odds1.46

Implied63.7%

Edge-17.2pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 22:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valur

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormValur

Date

Competition

Grindavik

81-82

-1

74avg 81

A22/04

Premier league

Grindavik

79-72

72avg 81

H26/04

Premier league

Grindavik

67-93

-26

65avg 81

A30/04

Premier league

Grindavik

85-79

80avg 81

H04/05

Premier league

Grindavik

82-109

109

-27

78avg 81

A06/05

Premier league

Stjarnan

90-77

+13

81avg 81

H08/10

Premier league

Grindavik

81-74

71avg 81

H16/10

Premier league

Njardvik

93-85

85avg 81

A22/10

Premier league

Armann

#12

87-84

82avg 81

H30/10

Premier league

Sindri

#11

86-73

+13

no box

A06/11

Premier league

20-11

19-18

25-29

17-24

19-19

22-22

19-16

19-15

20-26

20-22

12-18

15-27

23-18

24-21

22-24

16-16

28-20

12-30

23-31

19-28

22-22

24-19

23-18

21-18

29-26

16-28

17-14

19-6

25-18

21-20

26-24

21-23

23-21

29-18

18-26

17-19

25-19

23-25

13-12

25-17

165.9Avg total

83.1Scored

82.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	87.4	78.6	166.0	+8.8	100%
Season at home (3)	86.0	78.3	164.3	+7.7	100%
Season away (2)	89.5	79.0	168.5	+10.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	83.1	82.8	165.9	+0.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	78.6	166.0	+8.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	83.9	89.6	173.5	-5.8	38%
vs Similar (15)	88.0	85.7	173.7	+2.3	67%
vs Weaker (6)	87.5	82.0	169.5	+5.5	83%

This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alftanes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAlftanes

Date

Competition

Valur

87-108

108

-21

75avg 92

H20/02

Premier league

Keflavik

96-106

106

-10

76avg 92

H06/03

Premier league

IR Reykjavik

89-93

-4

83avg 92

H12/03

Premier league

Tindastoll

104-115

104

115

-11

96avg 92

A21/03

Premier league

Stjarnan

124-115

124

115

119avg 92

H26/03

Premier league

Hottur

111-77

111

+34

111avg 92

H08/10

Premier league

IR Reykjavik

#10

119-88

119

+31

117avg 92

A15/10

Premier league

Keflavik

130-110

130

110

+20

137avg 92

H23/10

Premier league

Tindastoll

108-105 OT

108

105

108avg 92

A29/10

Premier league

KR Basket

94-102

102

-8

no box

H05/11

Premier league

23-26

18-23

24-34

22-25

20-17

16-28

33-39

27-22

23-31

29-23

24-25

13-14

31-25

31-29

23-30

19-31

29-30

30-33

30-35

35-17

26-26

31-17

24-15

30-19

31-25

29-27

31-19

28-17

29-32

34-29

32-32

35-17

19-27

25-23

33-36

19-10

20-28

21-23

33-22

20-29

208.1Avg total

106.2Scored

101.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	112.4	96.4	208.8	+16.0	80%
Season at home (3)	111.7	96.3	208.0	+15.3	67%
Season away (2)	113.5	96.5	210.0	+17.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	106.2	101.9	208.1	+4.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	112.4	96.4	208.8	+16.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	94.0	105.9	199.9	-11.9	12%
vs Similar (11)	90.8	97.1	187.9	-6.3	18%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	104.8	82.8	187.6	+22.0	90%

This opponent (Valur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 176Actual: Under 176

Over 176

63.5%

Under 176

36.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 181 · main lineActual: Under 181

Over 181

51.4%

@ 1.87+1.4pp

Under 181

48.6%

@ 2.10-1.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.87

SBO

1.86

1xBet

1.78

Bet365

1.66

Under

Bet365

2.10

Pinnacle

1.87

SBO

1.80

1xBet

1.72

Over/Under 186Actual: Under 186

Over 186

39.3%

@ 2.16-2.9pp

Under 186

60.7%

@ 1.66+2.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.16

Bet365

2.10

Under

Bet365

1.66

Pinnacle

1.58

📊 3. Team Totals

Valur total 83.5Actual: Valur under 83.5

Over 83.5

77.8%

@ 1.40+12.2pp

Under 83.5

22.2%

@ 2.72-12.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.40

Bet365

1.40

1xBet

1.39

Under

Bet365

2.72

Betano

2.67

1xBet

2.37

Valur total 87.5 · main lineActual: Valur under 87.5

Over 87.5

64.7%

@ 1.80+13.9pp

Under 87.5

35.3%

@ 2.02-13.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.80

1xBet

1.72

Betano

1.67

Under

Betano

2.02

Bet365

1.86

1xBet

1.72

Valur total 91.5Actual: Valur under 91.5

Over 91.5

49.6%

@ 2.34+9.4pp

Under 91.5

50.4%

@ 1.55-9.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.34

Bet365

2.30

Betano

2.25

Under

Betano

1.55

Bet365

1.55

1xBet

1.39

Alftanes total 90.5Actual: Alftanes under 90.5

Over 90.5

49.5%

@ 1.49-14.4pp

Under 90.5

50.5%

@ 2.60+14.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.49

Bet365

1.45

Betano

1.44

Under

Bet365

2.60

Betano

2.55

1xBet

2.08

Alftanes total 94.5 · main lineActual: Alftanes under 94.5

Over 94.5

34.7%

@ 1.92-15.3pp

Under 94.5

65.3%

@ 1.88+15.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.92

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.80

Under

Betano

1.88

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.57

Alftanes total 98.5Actual: Alftanes under 98.5

Over 98.5

22.0%

@ 2.72-15.8pp

Under 98.5

78.0%

@ 1.52+15.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.72

Betano

2.42

Bet365

2.40

Under

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.31

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Valur +2.5Actual: Alftanes -2.5

VALU +2.5

60.7%

@ 2.50+21.7pp

ALFT -2.5

39.3%

@ 1.53-21.7pp

Best 5 market prices

VALU

Bet365

2.50

Betano

2.27

1xBet

2.27

ALFT

Betano

1.53

Bet365

1.50

1xBet

1.45

Spread Valur +5.5 · main lineActual: Alftanes -5.5

VALU +5.5

70.7%

@ 1.95+21.3pp

ALFT -5.5

29.3%

@ 1.84-21.3pp

Best 5 market prices

VALU

Bet365

1.95

Betano

1.90

Pinnacle

1.89

SBO

1.87

Betfair

1.83

ALFT

Pinnacle

1.84

Betfair

1.83

SBO

1.81

Betano

1.78

1xBet

1.77

Spread Valur +8.5Actual: Alftanes -8.5

VALU +8.5

79.3%

@ 1.64+18.8pp

ALFT -8.5

20.7%

@ 2.35-18.8pp

Best 5 market prices

VALU

Bet365

1.64

Betano

1.62

Pinnacle

1.53

1xBet

1.47

ALFT

Pinnacle

2.35

1xBet

2.23

Betano

2.12

Bet365

2.12

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValurAlftanes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 46.5
Last 30 (30)	22.1	21.6	43.8	+0.5	50%	33%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	21.6	43.4	+0.1	50%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	22.6	21.6	44.2	+0.9	50%	36%
Last 10 (10)	23.4	20.0	43.4	+3.4	70%	20%
Last 5 (5)	24.8	21.2	46.0	+3.6	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	22.2	20.8	43.0	+1.5	50%	25%
vs Similar (15)	22.2	22.1	44.3	+0.1	47%	40%
vs Weaker (6)	21.3	20.8	42.2	+0.5	67%	17%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 46.5
Last 30 (30)	23.9	24.5	48.5	-0.6	33%	73%
Last 30 at home (15)	24.3	25.2	49.5	-0.9	20%	80%
Last 30 away (15)	23.5	23.9	47.4	-0.3	47%	67%
Last 10 (10)	25.1	26.7	51.8	-1.6	30%	80%
Last 5 (5)	25.0	27.6	52.6	-2.6	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	24.2	25.0	49.2	-0.8	25%	62%
vs Similar (11)	22.8	26.5	49.3	-3.6	18%	91%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	25.2	21.9	47.1	+3.3	60%	60%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 45.5
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.8	42.5	-1.1	47%	33%
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	21.4	43.6	+0.7	56%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	22.2	41.4	-3.1	36%	36%
Last 10 (10)	21.0	22.3	43.3	-1.3	50%	20%
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.0	44.6	+0.6	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.5	23.5	42.0	-5.0	25%	12%
vs Similar (15)	21.7	21.5	43.1	+0.2	60%	40%
vs Weaker (6)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	33%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 45.5
Last 30 (30)	23.9	22.5	46.4	+1.4	63%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	25.3	23.8	49.1	+1.5	53%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	21.2	43.7	+1.3	73%	40%
Last 10 (10)	26.4	25.5	51.9	+0.9	60%	70%
Last 5 (5)	28.0	23.8	51.8	+4.2	80%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	25.2	27.2	52.5	-2.0	50%	75%
vs Similar (11)	21.4	22.3	43.6	-0.9	45%	36%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	25.5	19.3	44.8	+6.2	90%	50%

ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Grindavik

39-29

+10

A22/04

Premier league

Grindavik

41-41

H26/04

Premier league

Grindavik

40-48

-8

A30/04

Premier league

Grindavik

47-39

H04/05

Premier league

Grindavik

40-50

-10

A06/05

Premier league

Stjarnan

46-41

H08/10

Premier league

Grindavik

45-54

-9

H16/10

Premier league

Njardvik

46-38

A22/10

Premier league

Armann

#12

52-39

+13

H30/10

Premier league

Sindri

#11

48-44

A06/11

Premier league

86.7Avg total

44.4Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 91.5
Last 30 (30)	42.9	43.4	86.3	-0.6	50%	23%
Last 30 at home (16)	43.9	43.1	86.9	+0.8	50%	25%
Last 30 away (14)	41.7	43.9	85.6	-2.1	50%	21%
Last 10 (10)	44.4	42.3	86.7	+2.1	60%	20%
Last 5 (5)	47.4	43.2	90.6	+4.2	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	40.8	44.2	85.0	-3.5	38%	25%
vs Similar (15)	43.9	43.6	87.5	+0.3	53%	27%
vs Weaker (6)	42.5	41.8	84.3	+0.7	50%	17%

This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valur

41-49

-8

H20/02

Premier league

Keflavik

36-45

-9

H06/03

Premier league

IR Reykjavik

52-54

-2

H12/03

Premier league

Tindastoll

62-54

A21/03

Premier league

Stjarnan

59-63

-4

H26/03

Premier league

Hottur

57-43

+14

H08/10

Premier league

IR Reykjavik

#10

60-52

A15/10

Premier league

Keflavik

63-61

H23/10

Premier league

Tindastoll

44-50

-6

A29/10

Premier league

KR Basket

41-51

-10

H05/11

Premier league

103.7Avg total

51.5Scored

52.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 91.5
Last 30 (30)	47.8	47.0	94.9	+0.8	40%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	49.7	49.0	98.7	+0.7	40%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	46.0	45.1	91.1	+0.9	40%	47%
Last 10 (10)	51.5	52.2	103.7	-0.7	40%	80%
Last 5 (5)	53.0	51.4	104.4	+1.6	60%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	49.5	52.2	101.8	-2.8	25%	62%
vs Similar (11)	44.2	48.7	92.9	-4.5	9%	55%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	50.7	41.2	91.9	+9.5	80%	50%

This opponent (Valur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Alftanes win

VALU win

no forecast

@ 2.55

ALFT win

no forecast

@ 1.53

1st half Spread Valur +3.5 · main lineActual: Valur +3.5

VALU +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

ALFT -3.5

no forecast

@ 2.00

1st half Over/Under 91.5 · main lineActual: Under 91.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.98

Valur 1st half total 44.5 · main lineActual: Valur under 44.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.86

Under

no forecast

@ 1.87

Alftanes 1st half total 47.5 · main lineActual: Alftanes under 47.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.88

1st half: VALU + total 91.5

VALU & over

no forecast

@ 4.75

VALU & under

no forecast

@ 4.90

1st half: Draw + total 91.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: ALFT + total 91.5

ALFT & over

no forecast

@ 2.95

ALFT & under

no forecast

@ 3.00

1st half Spread Valur +2.5Actual: Valur +2.5

VALU +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.93

ALFT -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Spread Valur +4.5Actual: Valur +4.5

VALU +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.67

ALFT -4.5

no forecast

@ 2.10

1st half Over/Under 89.5Actual: Under 89.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.65

Under

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half Over/Under 93.5Actual: Under 93.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.05

Under

no forecast

@ 1.72

1st half Spread Valur +1.5Actual: Valur +1.5

VALU +1.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

ALFT -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.70

1st half Spread Valur +5.5Actual: Valur +5.5

VALU +5.5

no forecast

@ 1.60

ALFT -5.5

no forecast

@ 2.30

1st half Spread Valur +6.5Actual: Valur +6.5

VALU +6.5

no forecast

@ 1.60

ALFT -6.5

no forecast

@ 2.27

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Alftanes (regulation)

VALU

no forecast

@ 2.60

Draw

no forecast

@ 18.00

ALFT

no forecast

@ 1.57

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.9	42.2	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	20.0	42.4	+2.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.2	41.0	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.8	22.1	41.9	-2.4	25%	-
vs Similar (15)	22.5	21.7	44.2	+0.9	47%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.3	18.3	38.7	+2.0	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	24.6	48.5	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.3	25.1	50.4	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	24.2	46.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.7	28.7	57.4	+0.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.6	24.8	55.4	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.6	27.0	47.6	-6.4	12%	-
vs Similar (11)	25.5	24.4	49.9	+1.2	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	25.6	22.9	48.5	+2.7	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.3	41.5	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	18.4	39.1	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.8	22.5	44.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.3	38.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	16.6	37.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.1	20.0	41.1	+1.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.2	20.8	43.0	+1.3	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	22.1	45.2	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	21.9	45.4	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.8	22.2	45.0	+0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.8	20.1	44.9	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	18.4	44.8	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	22.0	24.6	46.6	-2.6	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.1	24.0	45.1	-2.9	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	27.3	17.8	45.1	+9.5	90%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	41.3	83.7	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.0	38.4	81.4	+4.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.8	44.5	86.3	-2.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	40.5	79.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	35.4	75.4	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	40.8	44.1	84.9	-3.4	25%	-
vs Similar (15)	43.6	41.7	85.3	+1.9	53%	-
vs Weaker (6)	42.5	39.2	81.7	+3.3	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.0	46.7	93.7	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.8	47.0	95.8	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.3	46.4	91.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	53.5	48.8	102.3	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	57.0	43.2	100.2	+13.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	42.6	51.6	94.2	-9.0	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	46.6	48.4	95.0	-1.7	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	52.9	40.7	93.6	+12.2	90%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

VALU win + total 181.5

🔒 Pro

ALFT win + total 181.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: VALU leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: ALFT leads at half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Valur +9	81.3%	1.60	Pinnacle 1.61	Bet365 1.60	-	-	-	+24.8pp	Lost
Valur +10	83.6%	1.53	Bet365 1.54	Pinnacle 1.52	-	-	-	+23.8pp	Lost
Valur +9.5	81.8%	1.52	Bet365 1.57	Pinnacle 1.56	Betano 1.55	1xBet 1.39	-	+23.5pp	Lost
Valur +10.5	84.0%	1.44	Bet365 1.50	Pinnacle 1.48	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.32	-	+22.6pp	Lost
Valur +12.5	87.7%	1.38	Betano 1.38	-	-	-	-	+21.4pp	Won
Valur +6	72.9%	1.82	Bet365 1.86	Pinnacle 1.81	SBO 1.79	-	-	+21.3pp	Lost
Valur +5.5	70.7%	1.88	Bet365 1.95	Betano 1.90	Pinnacle 1.89	SBO 1.87	Betfair 1.83	+21.3pp	Lost
Valur +11.5	86.0%	1.42	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.42	-	-	-	+21.3pp	Lost
Valur +13.5	89.3%	1.34	Betano 1.34	-	-	-	-	+20.8pp	Won
Valur +7	76.0%	1.73	Bet365 1.80	Pinnacle 1.67	-	-	-	+20.4pp	Lost
Valur +6.5	73.8%	1.75	Bet365 1.83	Betano 1.80	Pinnacle 1.74	SBO 1.72	1xBet 1.66	+20.2pp	Lost
Valur +14.5	90.8%	1.29	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	-	+19.8pp	Won
Valur +8	78.8%	1.62	Bet365 1.68	Pinnacle 1.57	-	-	-	+19.8pp	Lost
Valur +7.5	76.7%	1.65	Bet365 1.74	Betano 1.70	Pinnacle 1.61	1xBet 1.56	-	+19.2pp	Lost
Valur +8.5	79.3%	1.56	Bet365 1.64	Betano 1.62	Pinnacle 1.53	1xBet 1.47	-	+18.8pp	Lost
Valur +15.5	92.0%	1.25	Betano 1.25	-	-	-	-	+18.6pp	Won
Valur +16.5	93.1%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+16.9pp	Won
Alftanes under 100.5	83.1%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+16.8pp	Won
Alftanes under 98.5	78.0%	1.43	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.31	-	-	+15.8pp	Won
Alftanes under 102.5	87.3%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+15.4pp	Won
Alftanes under 99.5	80.6%	1.40	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	-	+15.2pp	Won
Alftanes under 104.5	90.7%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+14.6pp	Won
Valur over 82.5	80.6%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+14.4pp	Lost
Alftanes under 96.5	72.0%	1.53	Betano 1.65	1xBet 1.42	-	-	-	+13.5pp	Won
Alftanes under 105.5	92.2%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+13.3pp	Won
Alftanes under 97.5	75.1%	1.46	Betano 1.55	1xBet 1.36	-	-	-	+13.3pp	Won
Valur over 84.5	74.8%	1.44	1xBet 1.45	Betano 1.44	-	-	-	+12.9pp	Lost
Valur over 81.5	83.2%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	+12.6pp	Lost
Valur over 83.5	77.8%	1.40	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.39	-	-	+12.2pp	Lost
Valur +21.5	96.8%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+11.8pp	Won
Valur over 79.5	87.6%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+11.5pp	Lost
Valur over 85.5	71.6%	1.52	Bet365 1.54	1xBet 1.53	Betano 1.50	-	-	+11.2pp	Lost
Under 193.5	76.0%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Under 190.5	70.2%	1.42	Betano 1.42	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Under 198.5	83.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Under 208.5	93.7%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Under 203.5	89.7%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Valur under 108.5	94.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Valur under 107.5	93.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.6%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Over 158.5	92.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Lost
Alftanes over 75.5	92.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Valur under 105.5	90.9%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Alftanes +18.5	93.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Alftanes over 76.5	91.1%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Alftanes over 77.5	89.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Won
Over 163.5	86.5%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Lost
Valur under 103.5	87.5%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-0.0pp	Won
Over 168.5	78.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-0.2pp	Lost
Alftanes over 78.5	87.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	-1.1pp	Won
Valur under 101.5	83.2%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-1.2pp	Won
Alftanes over 79.5	85.4%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-1.7pp	Won
Valur under 99.5	78.0%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-2.5pp	Won
Alftanes over 81.5	80.5%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-3.3pp	Lost
Alftanes +13.5	86.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-3.3pp	Won
Alftanes over 80.5	83.1%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-3.5pp	Lost
Valur under 98.5	75.1%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-3.7pp	Won
Valur under 97.5	72.0%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-4.1pp	Won
Alftanes over 83.5	74.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-4.8pp	Lost
Alftanes over 82.5	77.7%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	-5.4pp	Lost
Alftanes over 84.5	71.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-7.4pp	Lost
Alftanes +8.5	74.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-10.9pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 83.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game

50%

31%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.4	21.6	52.2%	56.2%	43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.7	9.0	32.5%	33.0%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	18.5	13.2	71.4%	73.9%	13.2

They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 104.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game

50%

31%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.8	28.8	62.9%	56.2%	57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.6	10.4	35.1%	33.0%	31.2
🏀 Free throws	20.3	15.8	77.8%	73.9%	15.8

They take 75.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.3	19.6	52.5%	56.2%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	38.1	11.1	29.1%	33.0%	33.3
🏀 Free throws	15.5	10.6	68.4%	73.9%	10.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	21.4	54.2%	56.2%	42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.5	12.8	40.6%	33.0%	38.4
🏀 Free throws	25.1	18.6	74.1%	73.9%	18.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.7	23.2	53.0%	56.2%	46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	9.5	32.8%	33.0%	28.6
🏀 Free throws	17.7	12.6	71.5%	73.9%	12.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.3	25.5	57.5%	56.2%	51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	9.6	34.4%	33.0%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	21.7	15.9	73.3%	73.9%	15.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	20.2	52.5%	56.2%	40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.0	10.2	30.9%	33.0%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.6	73.7%	73.9%	14.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	20.7	53.3%	56.2%	41.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.4	12.0	37.0%	33.0%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	22.1	16.5	74.4%	73.9%	16.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Valur

WWWWWLWLWL

Alftanes

LWWWWWLLLL

League position

+0.3

Net rating

+4.9

91.9

Offensive rating

107.5

91.5

Defensive rating

102.5

50.8%

Effective FG%

58.9%

48.1%

Opp. effective FG%

57.2%

13.3%

Turnover %

13.7%

0.27

Free-throw rate

0.27

32.5%

3-point %

35.1%

62.1%

Assist %

55.4%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Valur ■ Alftanes

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valur wins

Alftanes wins

Date	Game	Score
20/02/26	Alftanes v Valur	87-108
14/11/25	Valur v Alftanes	92-80
16/01/25	Valur v Alftanes	87-81
17/10/24	Alftanes v Valur	100-103 OT
07/03/24	Valur v Alftanes	89-71
23/11/23	Alftanes v Valur	73-67

Valurlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/11/26	A	Sindri	86-73
30/10/26	H	Armann	87-84
22/10/26	A	Njardvik	93-85
16/10/26	H	Grindavik	81-74
08/10/26	H	Stjarnan	90-77
06/05/26	A	Grindavik	82-109
04/05/26	H	Grindavik	85-79
30/04/26	A	Grindavik	67-93
26/04/26	H	Grindavik	79-72
22/04/26	A	Grindavik	81-82

Alftaneslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/11/26	H	KR Basket	94-102
29/10/26	A	Tindastoll	108-105 OT
23/10/26	H	Keflavik	130-110
15/10/26	A	IR Reykjavik	119-88
08/10/26	H	Hottur	111-77
26/03/26	H	Stjarnan	124-115
21/03/26	A	Tindastoll	104-115
12/03/26	H	IR Reykjavik	89-93
06/03/26	H	Keflavik	96-106
20/02/26	H	Valur	87-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur

Premier league 2026-27

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	87.4	86.0	89.5
Allowed / game	78.6	78.3	79.0
Point differential	+8.8	+7.7	+10.5
Avg total	166.0	164.3	168.5
Over 181	0%	0%	0%
Win by 10+	40%	33%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Alftanes

Premier league 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	80%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	80%	67%	100%
Points / game	112.4	111.7	113.5
Allowed / game	96.4	96.3	96.5
Point differential	+16.0	+15.3	+17.0
Avg total	208.8	208.0	210.0
Over 181	100%	100%	100%
Win by 10+	60%	67%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	20%	0%	50%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	KR Basket	5	5	0	100%	98.4	84.6	+13.8
2	Valur	5	5	0	100%	87.4	78.6	+8.8
3	Tindastoll	6	5	1	83%	91.8	83.7	+8.2
4	Alftanes	5	4	1	80%	112.4	96.4	+16.0
5	Keflavik	5	4	1	80%	107.2	99.8	+7.4
6	Grindavik	5	3	2	60%	91.2	89.6	+1.6
7	Stjarnan	5	2	3	40%	94.4	93.2	+1.2
8	Hottur	5	2	3	40%	92.0	99.4	-7.4
9	IR Reykjavik	6	1	5	17%	92.3	102.3	-10.0
10	Sindri	5	0	5	0%	85.4	94.8	-9.4
11	Njardvik	5	0	5	0%	83.4	93.8	-10.4
12	Armann	5	0	5	0%	83.0	102.4	-19.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valur	9	32	15	12	68
Alftanes	21	20	18	21	80

← all games of the day

Valur vs Alftanes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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